Short Trade on ARB

The 07 Apr 2025 at 05:01:04

With 2129.739 ARB at 0.2645$ per unit.

Position size of 563.316 $

Take profit at 0.2589 (2.12 %) and Stop Loss at 0.2683 (1.44 %)

That's a 1.47 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.56
Prediction Score:
Prediction 1 Probability
n/a
Prediction 2 Probability
n/a
Prediction 3 Probability
n/a
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime
BTC Correlation Score

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.08
  4. atr: 0.002504219168
Details
  1. score: 1.08
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 - 0.262605
  4. ema21 - 0.271319
  5. ema50 - 0.285529
  6. price_ema9_diff - 0.00698277
  7. ema9_ema21_diff - -0.0321181
  8. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.0497659
  9. all_emas_in_trend - True
  10. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  11. rsi - 0.415303
  12. kc_percentage - 0.321393
  13. kc_width_percentage - 0.129403
  14. ¸
  15. 15m
  16. ema9 - 0.259311
  17. ema21 - 0.260113
  18. ema50 - 0.265762
  19. price_ema9_diff - 0.0199456
  20. ema9_ema21_diff - -0.00308037
  21. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.0212564
  22. all_emas_in_trend - True
  23. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  24. rsi - 0.546571
  25. kc_percentage - 0.75098
  26. kc_width_percentage - 0.0685643
  27. ¸
  28. 5m
  29. ema9 - 0.261692
  30. ema21 - 0.258733
  31. ema50 - 0.25898
  32. price_ema9_diff - 0.0108499
  33. ema9_ema21_diff - 0.0114387
  34. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.000955023
  35. all_emas_in_trend - False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  37. rsi - 0.668809
  38. kc_percentage - 1.07621
  39. kc_width_percentage - 0.0370473
  40. ¸

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
07 Apr 2025
05:01:04
07 Apr 2025
06:15:00
1 hour

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.2645 0.2683 0.2589 1.47 0.2094
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.2645
  • Stop Loss: 0.2683
  • Take Profit: 0.2589

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.2683 - 0.2645 = 0.0038

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.2645 - 0.2589 = 0.0056

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0056 / 0.0038 = 1.4737

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
563.316 100 2129.739 5.63
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0038

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0038 = 2105.26

Taille de position USD = 2105.26 x 0.2645 = 556.84

Donc, tu peux acheter 2105.26 avec un stoploss a 0.2683

Avec un position size USD de 556.84$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 2105.26 x 0.0038 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 2105.26 x 0.0056 = 11.79

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 11.79$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 2105.26
  • Taille de position USD 556.84
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 11.79
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.4737

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.12 % 11.93 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
1.44 % 8.09 $
PNL PNL %
-8.09 $ -1.44
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.5879017013232 % 0 % 0

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.2589
            [entry_price] => 0.2645
            [stop_loss] => 0.26868
            [rr_ratio] => 1.34
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-04-07 06:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.2589
            [entry_price] => 0.2645
            [stop_loss] => 0.26906
            [rr_ratio] => 1.23
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-04-07 06:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.2589
            [entry_price] => 0.2645
            [stop_loss] => 0.26944
            [rr_ratio] => 1.13
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-04-07 08:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.2589
            [entry_price] => 0.2645
            [stop_loss] => 0.2702
            [rr_ratio] => 0.98
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-04-07 08:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0029
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0049
            [rr_ratio] => 0.59
            [high] => 0.26940000
            [low] => 0.26160000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.1
            [mae_pct] => 1.85
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.59
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-04-07T05:01:04-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-04-07T07:01:04-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0029
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0211
            [rr_ratio] => 0.14
            [high] => 0.28560000
            [low] => 0.26160000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.1
            [mae_pct] => 7.98
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.14
            [candles_analyzed] => 72
            [start_at] => 2025-04-07T05:01:04-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-04-07T11:01:04-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 0.27010000
            [high_after] => 0.28560000
            [low_before] => 0.24200000
            [low_after] => 0.26160000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)