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Short Trade on ARB

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Short Trade on ARB 01 Jul 2025 at 15:38:00

Take profit at 0.3259 (0.7 %) and Stop Loss at 0.3297 (0.46 %)

Short Trade on ARB

The 01 Jul 2025 at 15:38:00

With 5219.7711 ARB at 0.3282$ per unit.

Position size of 1713.1289 $

Take profit at 0.3259 (0.7 %) and Stop Loss at 0.3297 (0.46 %)

That's a 1.53 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 80
ML Pullback Score: 10
Prediction Score: 1.335
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.51
Prediction 2 Probability
2 0.37
Prediction 3 Probability
n/a
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.431931

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.1
  4. atr: 0.001021756176
Details
  1. score: 1.1
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 0.326968
  4. ema21 : 0.330386
  5. ema50 : 0.333319
  6. ema100 : 0.329291
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00376724
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0103474
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0087996
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.00331348
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. rsi : 0.442571
  14. kc_percentage : 0.398556
  15. kc_width_percentage : 0.0567335
  16. volume_ema_diff : -0.587846
  17. volume_ema1 : 901521.83181073
  18. volume_ema2 : 2187342.2449551
    19. ¸
  19. 15m
  20. ema9 : 0.325942
  21. ema21 : 0.326183
  22. ema50 : 0.327397
  23. ema100 : 0.330007
  24. price_ema9_diff : 0.00692674
  25. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.000739996
  26. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00370811
  27. price_ema100_diff : -0.00547818
  28. all_emas_in_trend : True
  29. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  30. rsi : 0.527626
  31. kc_percentage : 0.761496
  32. kc_width_percentage : 0.0237755
  33. volume_ema_diff : -0.463006
  34. volume_ema1 : 178351.01048806
  35. volume_ema2 : 332129.03553571
    36. ¸
  36. 5m
  37. ema9 : 0.326354
  38. ema21 : 0.325774
  39. ema50 : 0.325987
  40. ema100 : 0.326288
  41. price_ema9_diff : 0.00565373
  42. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00178023
  43. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.000650976
  44. price_ema100_diff : 0.00585866
  45. all_emas_in_trend : False
  46. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  47. rsi : 0.687311
  48. kc_percentage : 1.09686
  49. kc_width_percentage : 0.0123285
  50. volume_ema_diff : -0.218203
  51. volume_ema1 : 61827.115300381
  52. volume_ema2 : 79083.359237908
    53. ¸
  53. btc_indicators
  54. btc_indicators
  55. 5m_ema100: 
    106088
  56. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00467797
  57. 5m_price: 
    105591
  58. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.431931
  59. btc_indicators
  60. 15m_ema100: 
    106562
  61. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00914324
  62. 15m_price: 
    105588
  63. btc_indicators
  64. 1H_ema100: 
    107168
  65. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0147161
  66. 1H_price: 
    105591
    67. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
01 Jul 2025
15:38:00		 01 Jul 2025
16:00:00		 22 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.3282 0.3297 0.3259 1.53 0.1042
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.3282
  • Stop Loss: 0.3297
  • Take Profit: 0.3259

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.3297 - 0.3282 = 0.0015

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.3282 - 0.3259 = 0.0023

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0023 / 0.0015 = 1.5333

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1713.1289 100 5219.7711 17.13
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0015

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0015 = 5333.33

Taille de position USD = 5333.33 x 0.3282 = 1750.4

Donc, tu peux acheter 5333.33 avec un stoploss a 0.3297

Avec un position size USD de 1750.4$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 5333.33 x 0.0015 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 5333.33 x 0.0023 = 12.27

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 12.27$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 5333.33
  • Taille de position USD 1750.4
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 12.27
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.5333

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.7 % 12.01 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.46 % 7.83 $
PNL PNL %
12.01 $ 0.70
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.1828 % 40 % 3

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.3252
            [stop_loss] => 0.3297
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-07-01 16:10:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.32445
            [stop_loss] => 0.3297
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-07-01 16:10:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.3237
            [stop_loss] => 0.3297
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-07-01 21:15:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.32295
            [stop_loss] => 0.3297
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-07-01 21:15:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.3222
            [stop_loss] => 0.3297
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-07-01 21:15:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0044
            [max_drawdown] => 0.00059999999999999
            [rr_ratio] => 7.33
            [high] => 0.32880000
            [low] => 0.32380000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.34
            [mae_pct] => 0.18
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 7.33
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-07-01T15:38:00-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-07-01T17:38:00-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0063
            [max_drawdown] => 0.00059999999999999
            [rr_ratio] => 10.5
            [high] => 0.32880000
            [low] => 0.32190000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.92
            [mae_pct] => 0.18
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 10.5
            [candles_analyzed] => 72
            [start_at] => 2025-07-01T15:38:00-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-07-01T21:38:00-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 0.32970000
            [high_after] => 0.32880000
            [low_before] => 0.32310000
            [low_after] => 0.32190000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)