Short Trade on ARB

The 15 Jul 2025 at 00:43:50

With 2659.736 ARB at 0.4011$ per unit.

Position size of 1066.8201 $

Take profit at 0.3966 (1.12 %) and Stop Loss at 0.4041 (0.75 %)

That's a 1.5 RR Trade

Results

Status:

loss

Trade Type:

sell

ML Trade Score: -80

ML Pullback Score: 1.28

Prediction Score: 0.3231

Prediction 1	Probability
Strong Trade	0.52

Prediction 2	Probability
0	0.42

Prediction 3	Probability
	n/a

BTC Market Regime	Coin Market Regime

BTC Correlation	Score
5m : 0.733065

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

long_trend: -1
short_kc: True
short_kc_percentage: 0.04
atr: 0.002005211563

Details

score: 1.04
1H
ema9 - 0.401051
ema21 - 0.406028
ema50 - 0.408959
ema100 - 0.409092
price_ema9_diff - 0.000121539
ema9_ema21_diff - -0.0122595
ema21_ema50_diff - -0.00716645
price_ema100_diff - -0.0195362
all_emas_in_trend - True
all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
rsi - 0.423394
kc_percentage - 0.340081
kc_width_percentage - 0.0724008
volume_ema_diff - -0.163064
volume_ema1 - 988875.18742994
volume_ema2 - 1181542.604981
15m
ema9 - 0.396762
ema21 - 0.398293
ema50 - 0.4029
ema100 - 0.409076
price_ema9_diff - 0.0109313
ema9_ema21_diff - -0.00384385
ema21_ema50_diff - -0.0114339
price_ema100_diff - -0.0194998
all_emas_in_trend - True
all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
rsi - 0.468907
kc_percentage - 0.709982
kc_width_percentage - 0.0351386
volume_ema_diff - -0.232767
volume_ema1 - 244974.0110994
volume_ema2 - 319295.74925483
5m
ema9 - 0.398032
ema21 - 0.396794
ema50 - 0.397515
ema100 - 0.39921
price_ema9_diff - 0.00770667
ema9_ema21_diff - 0.00312055
ema21_ema50_diff - -0.00181543
price_ema100_diff - 0.00473398
all_emas_in_trend - False
all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
rsi - 0.611521
kc_percentage - 1.04036
kc_width_percentage - 0.0197406
volume_ema_diff - -0.406817
volume_ema1 - 49528.958499296
volume_ema2 - 83497.00225788
btc_indicators
btc_indicators
5m_ema100: 118680
5m_price_ema100_diff: -0.00997677
5m_price: 117496
5m_correlation_with_coin: 0.733065
btc_indicators
15m_ema100: 119893
15m_price_ema100_diff: -0.0234505
15m_price: 117081
btc_indicators
1H_ema100: 118646
1H_price_ema100_diff: -0.00969238
1H_price: 117496

📌 Time Data

Start at	Closed at	Duration
15 Jul 2025 00:43:50	15 Jul 2025 02:10:00	1 hour

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.4011	0.4041	0.3966	1.5	0.1951

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.4011
Stop Loss: 0.4041
Take Profit: 0.3966

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.4041 - 0.4011 = 0.003
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.4011 - 0.3966 = 0.0045
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0045 / 0.003 = 1.5

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
1066.8201	100	2659.736	10.67

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.003

Taille de position = 8 / 0.003 = 2666.67

Taille de position USD = 2666.67 x 0.4011 = 1069.6

Donc, tu peux acheter 2666.67 avec un stoploss a 0.4041

Avec un position size USD de 1069.6$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 2666.67 x 0.003 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 2666.67 x 0.0045 = 12

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 12$

Résumé

Taille de position 2666.67
Taille de position USD 1069.6
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 12
Risk-Reward Ratio 1.5

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
1.12 %	11.97 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
0.75 %	7.98 $

PNL	PNL %
-7.98 $	-0.75

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-0.8975 %	120 %	9

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


                              Array
(
)

Extra SL data


                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.3966
            [entry_price] => 0.4011
            [stop_loss] => 0.4044
            [rr_ratio] => 1.36
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-07-15 02:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.3966
            [entry_price] => 0.4011
            [stop_loss] => 0.4047
            [rr_ratio] => 1.25
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-07-15 02:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.3966
            [entry_price] => 0.4011
            [stop_loss] => 0.405
            [rr_ratio] => 1.15
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-07-15 04:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.3966
            [entry_price] => 0.4011
            [stop_loss] => 0.4056
            [rr_ratio] => 1
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-07-15 04:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

)

Extra Pullback data


                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0018
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0036
            [rr_ratio] => 0.5
            [high] => 0.40470000
            [low] => 0.39930000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.45
            [mae_pct] => 0.9
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.5
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-07-15T00:43:51-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-07-15T02:43:51-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0056
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0038
            [rr_ratio] => 1.47
            [high] => 0.40490000
            [low] => 0.39550000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.4
            [mae_pct] => 0.95
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.47
            [candles_analyzed] => 72
            [start_at] => 2025-07-15T00:43:51-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-07-15T06:43:51-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 0.40240000
            [high_after] => 0.40490000
            [low_before] => 0.39010000
            [low_after] => 0.39550000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)