Short Trade on ARB

The 15 Jul 2025 at 01:05:33

With 3198.1744 ARB at 0.4025$ per unit.

Position size of 1287.2652 $

Take profit at 0.3987 (0.94 %) and Stop Loss at 0.405 (0.62 %)

That's a 1.52 RR Trade

Results

Status:

win

Trade Type:

sell

ML Trade Score: 50

ML Pullback Score: 2.82

Prediction Score: 2.4562

Prediction 1	Probability
Strong Trade	0.58

Prediction 2	Probability
2	0.39

Prediction 3	Probability
	n/a

BTC Market Regime	Coin Market Regime

BTC Correlation	Score
5m : 0.726797

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

long_trend: -1
short_kc: True
short_kc_percentage: 0.09
atr: 0.001667618028

Details

score: 1.09
1H
ema9 - 0.401517
ema21 - 0.405799
ema50 - 0.408784
ema100 - 0.409253
price_ema9_diff - 0.0024482
ema9_ema21_diff - -0.0105525
ema21_ema50_diff - -0.00730283
price_ema100_diff - -0.0165021
all_emas_in_trend - True
all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
rsi - 0.44154
kc_percentage - 0.387177
kc_width_percentage - 0.0667225
volume_ema_diff - -0.392664
volume_ema1 - 694417.64519514
volume_ema2 - 1143383.893181
15m
ema9 - 0.399241
ema21 - 0.399269
ema50 - 0.403073
ema100 - 0.409504
price_ema9_diff - 0.00816291
ema9_ema21_diff - -7.21862E-5
ema21_ema50_diff - -0.0094354
price_ema100_diff - -0.0171041
all_emas_in_trend - True
all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
rsi - 0.55575
kc_percentage - 0.746429
kc_width_percentage - 0.0334078
volume_ema_diff - -0.457981
volume_ema1 - 150002.06859031
volume_ema2 - 276747.0958991
5m
ema9 - 0.400824
ema21 - 0.398811
ema50 - 0.398405
ema100 - 0.399958
price_ema9_diff - 0.00418031
ema9_ema21_diff - 0.00504752
ema21_ema50_diff - 0.00101951
price_ema100_diff - 0.00635422
all_emas_in_trend - True
all_emas_and_price_in_trend - True
rsi - 0.638039
kc_percentage - 1.08615
kc_width_percentage - 0.0152302
volume_ema_diff - -0.648526
volume_ema1 - 26367.927981276
volume_ema2 - 75021.042600565
btc_indicators
btc_indicators
5m_ema100: 118634
5m_price_ema100_diff: -0.00795306
5m_price: 117691
5m_correlation_with_coin: 0.726797
btc_indicators
15m_ema100: 119835
15m_price_ema100_diff: -0.0178948
15m_price: 117691
btc_indicators
1H_ema100: 118720
1H_price_ema100_diff: -0.00867544
1H_price: 117691

📌 Time Data

Start at	Closed at	Duration
15 Jul 2025 01:05:33	15 Jul 2025 03:45:00	2 hours

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.4025	0.405	0.3987	1.52	0.1951

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.4025
Stop Loss: 0.405
Take Profit: 0.3987

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.405 - 0.4025 = 0.0025
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.4025 - 0.3987 = 0.0038
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0038 / 0.0025 = 1.52

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
1287.2652	100	3198.1744	12.87

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.0025

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0025 = 3200

Taille de position USD = 3200 x 0.4025 = 1288

Donc, tu peux acheter 3200 avec un stoploss a 0.405

Avec un position size USD de 1288$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 3200 x 0.0025 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 3200 x 0.0038 = 12.16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 12.16$

Résumé

Taille de position 3200
Taille de position USD 1288
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 12.16
Risk-Reward Ratio 1.52

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
0.94 %	12.15 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
0.62 %	8 $

PNL	PNL %
12.15 $	0.94

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-0.5963 %	96.01 %	9

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.3975
            [stop_loss] => 0.405
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-07-15 03:50:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.39625
            [stop_loss] => 0.405
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-07-15 04:15:00
            [result] => win
        )

)

Extra SL data


                              Array
(
)

Extra Pullback data


                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0032
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0024
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [high] => 0.40490000
            [low] => 0.39930000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.8
            [mae_pct] => 0.6
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.33
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-07-15T01:05:33-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-07-15T03:05:33-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.007
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0024
            [rr_ratio] => 2.92
            [high] => 0.40490000
            [low] => 0.39550000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.74
            [mae_pct] => 0.6
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.92
            [candles_analyzed] => 72
            [start_at] => 2025-07-15T01:05:33-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-07-15T07:05:33-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 0.40270000
            [high_after] => 0.40490000
            [low_before] => 0.39010000
            [low_after] => 0.39550000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)