Long Trade on ARB

The 16 Jul 2025 at 18:50:49

With 2269.4389 ARB at 0.445$ per unit.

Position size of 1009.9003 $

Take profit at 0.4503 (1.19 %) and Stop Loss at 0.4415 (0.79 %)

That's a 1.51 RR Trade

Results

Status:

loss

Trade Type:

buy

ML Trade Score: -100

ML Pullback Score: 0.51

Prediction Score: -0.325

Prediction 1	Probability
Weak Trade	0.64

Prediction 2	Probability
0	0.47

Prediction 3	Probability
	n/a

BTC Market Regime	Coin Market Regime

BTC Correlation	Score
5m : 0.447774

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - buy

Indicators:

long_trend: 1
short_kc: True
short_kc_percentage: 0.09
atr: 0.0023500669

Details

score: 2.09
1H
ema9 - 0.447294
ema21 - 0.441118
ema50 - 0.430027
ema100 - 0.42042
price_ema9_diff - -0.00513028
ema9_ema21_diff - 0.0140016
ema21_ema50_diff - 0.0257912
price_ema100_diff - 0.0584631
all_emas_in_trend - True
all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
rsi - 0.564063
kc_percentage - 0.590885
kc_width_percentage - 0.0833432
volume_ema_diff - -0.193172
volume_ema1 - 1669048.1169054
volume_ema2 - 2068654.2718765
15m
ema9 - 0.450005
ema21 - 0.450073
ema50 - 0.446107
ema100 - 0.440735
price_ema9_diff - -0.0111236
ema9_ema21_diff - -0.000150146
ema21_ema50_diff - 0.0088906
price_ema100_diff - 0.00967502
all_emas_in_trend - False
all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
rsi - 0.420463
kc_percentage - 0.220711
kc_width_percentage - 0.0416184
volume_ema_diff - -0.406245
volume_ema1 - 318357.49341738
volume_ema2 - 536177.13115208
5m
ema9 - 0.448126
ema21 - 0.450481
ema50 - 0.451149
ema100 - 0.450359
price_ema9_diff - -0.0069762
ema9_ema21_diff - -0.00522741
ema21_ema50_diff - -0.00148131
price_ema100_diff - -0.0118996
all_emas_in_trend - True
all_emas_and_price_in_trend - True
rsi - 0.331678
kc_percentage - -0.0858581
kc_width_percentage - 0.0206193
volume_ema_diff - -0.296175
volume_ema1 - 103658.03300309
volume_ema2 - 147278.17333957
btc_indicators
btc_indicators
5m_ema100: 119188
5m_price_ema100_diff: -0.00492815
5m_price: 118600
5m_correlation_with_coin: 0.447774
btc_indicators
15m_ema100: 118661
15m_price_ema100_diff: -0.00051112
15m_price: 118600
btc_indicators
1H_ema100: 118428
1H_price_ema100_diff: 0.00145235
1H_price: 118600

📌 Time Data

Start at	Closed at	Duration
16 Jul 2025 18:50:49	16 Jul 2025 19:00:00	9 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.445	0.4415	0.4503	1.51	0.1951

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.445
Stop Loss: 0.4415
Take Profit: 0.4503

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.4415 - 0.445 = -0.0035
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.445 - 0.4503 = -0.0053
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0053 / -0.0035 = 1.5143

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
1009.9003	100	2269.4389	10.10

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss -0.0035

Taille de position = 8 / -0.0035 = -2285.71

Taille de position USD = -2285.71 x 0.445 = -1017.14

Donc, tu peux acheter -2285.71 avec un stoploss a 0.4415

Avec un position size USD de -1017.14$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -2285.71 x -0.0035 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -2285.71 x -0.0053 = 12.11

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 12.11$

Résumé

Taille de position -2285.71
Taille de position USD -1017.14
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 12.11
Risk-Reward Ratio 1.5143

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
1.19 %	12.03 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
0.79 %	7.94 $

PNL	PNL %
-7.94 $	-0.79

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-0.8539 %	108.57 %	0

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


                              Array
(
)

Extra SL data


                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.4503
            [entry_price] => 0.445
            [stop_loss] => 0.44115
            [rr_ratio] => 1.38
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-07-16 19:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.4503
            [entry_price] => 0.445
            [stop_loss] => 0.4408
            [rr_ratio] => 1.26
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-07-16 19:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.4503
            [entry_price] => 0.445
            [stop_loss] => 0.44045
            [rr_ratio] => 1.16
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-07-16 19:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.4503
            [entry_price] => 0.445
            [stop_loss] => 0.43975
            [rr_ratio] => 1.01
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-07-16 19:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)

Extra Pullback data


                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0037
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0078
            [rr_ratio] => 0.47
            [high] => 0.44870000
            [low] => 0.43720000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.83
            [mae_pct] => 1.75
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.47
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-07-16T18:50:49-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-07-16T20:50:49-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0037
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0172
            [rr_ratio] => 0.22
            [high] => 0.44870000
            [low] => 0.42780000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.83
            [mae_pct] => 3.87
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.22
            [candles_analyzed] => 72
            [start_at] => 2025-07-16T18:50:49-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-07-17T00:50:49-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 0.45870000
            [high_after] => 0.44870000
            [low_before] => 0.44290000
            [low_after] => 0.42780000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)