Short Trade on ORCA 15 Aug 2025 at 02:13:23

Take profit at 2.4483 (0.44 %) and Stop Loss at 2.4662 (0.29 %)

Short Trade on ORCA

The 15 Aug 2025 at 02:13:23

With 1117.708 ORCA at 2.459$ per unit.

Position size of 2748.4441 $

Take profit at 2.4483 (0.44 %) and Stop Loss at 2.4662 (0.29 %)

That's a 1.49 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -80
ML Pullback Score: 5.91
Prediction Score: 3.2583
Prediction 1 Probability
Strong Trade
0.82
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.49
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.89
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : range

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.657598

1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.19
  4. atr: 0.004771669496
Details
  1. score: 1.19
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 2.43758
  4. ema21 : 2.46076
  5. ema50 : 2.52566
  6. ema100 : 2.57013
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00878487
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00942065
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.025696
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0432395
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. rsi : 0.461017
  14. adx : 0.437004
  15. kc_percentage : 0.508215
  16. kc_width_percentage : 0.0553751
  17. volume_ema_diff : -0.757887
  18. volume_ema1 : 108041.41855468
  19. volume_ema2 : 446244.87386719
  20. ¸
  21. 15m
  22. ema9 : 2.44451
  23. ema21 : 2.43635
  24. ema50 : 2.43712
  25. ema100 : 2.47319
  26. price_ema9_diff : 0.00592382
  27. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00335035
  28. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.000314528
  29. price_ema100_diff : -0.00573894
  30. all_emas_in_trend : False
  31. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  32. rsi : 0.636411
  33. adx : 0.252246
  34. kc_percentage : 1.00478
  35. kc_width_percentage : 0.0177783
  36. volume_ema_diff : -0.381239
  37. volume_ema1 : 34464.361450355
  38. volume_ema2 : 55698.998563505
  39. ¸
  40. 5m
  41. ema9 : 2.4506
  42. ema21 : 2.44512
  43. ema50 : 2.43787
  44. ema100 : 2.42545
  45. price_ema9_diff : 0.00342433
  46. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00224084
  47. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00297606
  48. price_ema100_diff : 0.0138321
  49. all_emas_in_trend : True
  50. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  51. rsi : 0.670697
  52. adx : 0.228363
  53. kc_percentage : 1.19494
  54. kc_width_percentage : 0.00796337
  55. volume_ema_diff : 0.349177
  56. volume_ema1 : 15212.672886971
  57. volume_ema2 : 11275.519284403
  58. ¸
  59. btc_indicators
  60. btc_indicators
  61. 5m_ema100:
    118572
  62. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00228922
  63. 5m_price:
    118844
  64. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.657598
  65. btc_indicators
  66. 15m_ema100:
    119329
  67. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00406665
  68. 15m_price:
    118844
  69. btc_indicators
  70. 1H_ema100:
    120173
  71. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0110595
  72. 1H_price:
    118844
  73. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
15 Aug 2025
02:13:23
15 Aug 2025
02:35:00
21 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
2.459 2.4662 2.4483 1.49 0.868
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 2.459
  • Stop Loss: 2.4662
  • Take Profit: 2.4483

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 2.4662 - 2.459 = 0.0072000000000001

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 2.459 - 2.4483 = 0.0107

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0107 / 0.0072000000000001 = 1.4861

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
2748.4441 100 1117.708 27.48
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0072000000000001

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0072000000000001 = 1111.11

Taille de position USD = 1111.11 x 2.459 = 2732.22

Donc, tu peux acheter 1111.11 avec un stoploss a 2.4662

Avec un position size USD de 2732.22$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 1111.11 x 0.0072000000000001 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 1111.11 x 0.0107 = 11.89

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 11.89$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 1111.11
  • Taille de position USD 2732.22
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 11.89
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.4861

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.44 % 11.96 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.29 % 8.05 $
PNL PNL %
-8.05 $ -0.29
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.3253 % 111.1 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 2.4483
            [entry_price] => 2.459
            [stop_loss] => 2.46692
            [rr_ratio] => 1.35
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-08-15 02:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 2.4483
            [entry_price] => 2.459
            [stop_loss] => 2.46764
            [rr_ratio] => 1.24
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-08-15 02:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 2.4483
            [entry_price] => 2.459
            [stop_loss] => 2.46836
            [rr_ratio] => 1.14
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-08-15 03:15:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 2.4483
            [entry_price] => 2.459
            [stop_loss] => 2.4698
            [rr_ratio] => 0.99
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-08-15 03:15:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.011
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0089999999999999
            [rr_ratio] => 1.22
            [high] => 2.46800000
            [low] => 2.44800000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.45
            [mae_pct] => 0.37
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.22
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-08-15T02:13:23-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-08-15T04:13:23-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.044
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0089999999999999
            [rr_ratio] => 4.89
            [high] => 2.46800000
            [low] => 2.41500000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.79
            [mae_pct] => 0.37
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 4.89
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-08-15T02:13:23-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-08-15T09:13:23-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 2.46600000
            [high_after] => 2.46800000
            [low_before] => 2.42400000
            [low_after] => 2.42200000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)