Short Trade on UMA 29 Aug 2025 at 08:13:45

Take profit at 1.4343 (0.61 %) and Stop Loss at 1.449 (0.41 %)

Short Trade on UMA

The 29 Aug 2025 at 08:13:45

With 1361.2934 UMA at 1.4431$ per unit.

Position size of 1964.4825 $

Take profit at 1.4343 (0.61 %) and Stop Loss at 1.449 (0.41 %)

That's a 1.49 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 2.28
Prediction Score: 3.3857
Prediction 1 Probability
Strong Trade
0.6
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.44
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.55
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.452228

2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.15
  4. atr: 0.003917842694
Details
  1. score: 1.15
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 1.44373
  4. ema21 : 1.46103
  5. ema50 : 1.46576
  6. ema100 : 1.45308
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.000438862
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0118392
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00322832
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.00687494
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. rsi : 0.424809
  14. adx : 0.203454
  15. kc_percentage : 0.30101
  16. kc_width_percentage : 0.0589528
  17. volume_ema_diff : -0.755717
  18. volume_ema1 : 100495.44167999
  19. volume_ema2 : 411390.27288686
  20. ¸
  21. 15m
  22. ema9 : 1.43447
  23. ema21 : 1.43763
  24. ema50 : 1.45259
  25. ema100 : 1.47611
  26. price_ema9_diff : 0.00601222
  27. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00219739
  28. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.010301
  29. price_ema100_diff : -0.0223662
  30. all_emas_in_trend : True
  31. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  32. rsi : 0.520603
  33. adx : 0.113909
  34. kc_percentage : 0.67639
  35. kc_width_percentage : 0.0232009
  36. volume_ema_diff : -0.697615
  37. volume_ema1 : 18172.746369386
  38. volume_ema2 : 60098.107972105
  39. ¸
  40. 5m
  41. ema9 : 1.43611
  42. ema21 : 1.43344
  43. ema50 : 1.43473
  44. ema100 : 1.44098
  45. price_ema9_diff : 0.00486316
  46. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00186649
  47. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.000901517
  48. price_ema100_diff : 0.0014651
  49. all_emas_in_trend : False
  50. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  51. rsi : 0.642452
  52. adx : 0.182178
  53. kc_percentage : 1.15139
  54. kc_width_percentage : 0.0101787
  55. volume_ema_diff : -0.0347553
  56. volume_ema1 : 9206.5764353439
  57. volume_ema2 : 9538.0759851234
  58. ¸
  59. btc_indicators
  60. btc_indicators
  61. 5m_ema100:
    110366
  62. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00149169
  63. 5m_price:
    110202
  64. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.452228
  65. btc_indicators
  66. 15m_ema100:
    111378
  67. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0105621
  68. 15m_price:
    110202
  69. btc_indicators
  70. 1H_ema100:
    111494
  71. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0115924
  72. 1H_price:
    110202
  73. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
29 Aug 2025
08:13:45
29 Aug 2025
08:20:00
6 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
1.4431 1.449 1.4343 1.49 0.4088
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 1.4431
  • Stop Loss: 1.449
  • Take Profit: 1.4343

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 1.449 - 1.4431 = 0.0059

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 1.4431 - 1.4343 = 0.0088000000000001

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0088000000000001 / 0.0059 = 1.4915

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1964.4825 100 1361.2934 19.64
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0059

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0059 = 1355.93

Taille de position USD = 1355.93 x 1.4431 = 1956.74

Donc, tu peux acheter 1355.93 avec un stoploss a 1.449

Avec un position size USD de 1956.74$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 1355.93 x 0.0059 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 1355.93 x 0.0088000000000001 = 11.93

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 11.93$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 1355.93
  • Taille de position USD 1956.74
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 11.93
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.4915

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.61 % 11.98 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.41 % 8.03 $
PNL PNL %
-8.03 $ -0.41
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.686 % 167.81 % 0

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 1.4343
            [entry_price] => 1.4431
            [stop_loss] => 1.44959
            [rr_ratio] => 1.36
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-08-29 08:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 1.4343
            [entry_price] => 1.4431
            [stop_loss] => 1.45018
            [rr_ratio] => 1.24
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-08-29 08:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 1.4343
            [entry_price] => 1.4431
            [stop_loss] => 1.45077
            [rr_ratio] => 1.15
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-08-29 08:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 1.4343
            [entry_price] => 1.4431
            [stop_loss] => 1.45195
            [rr_ratio] => 0.99
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-08-29 08:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0041
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0659
            [rr_ratio] => 0.06
            [high] => 1.50900000
            [low] => 1.43900000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.28
            [mae_pct] => 4.57
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.06
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-08-29T08:13:45-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-08-29T10:13:45-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.026
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0659
            [rr_ratio] => 0.39
            [high] => 1.50900000
            [low] => 1.41710000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.8
            [mae_pct] => 4.57
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.39
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-08-29T08:13:45-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-08-29T15:13:45-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 1.44710000
            [high_after] => 1.50900000
            [low_before] => 1.42070000
            [low_after] => 1.41710000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)