Short Trade on UMA 29 Aug 2025 at 08:25:26

Take profit at 1.4449 (0.61 %) and Stop Loss at 1.4598 (0.41 %)

Short Trade on UMA

The 29 Aug 2025 at 08:25:26

With 1341.1337 UMA at 1.4538$ per unit.

Position size of 1949.7401 $

Take profit at 1.4449 (0.61 %) and Stop Loss at 1.4598 (0.41 %)

That's a 1.48 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 2.61
Prediction Score: 4.0603
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.52
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.4
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.85
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.049095

2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.53
  4. atr: 0.003976735108
Details
  1. score: 1.53
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 1.44587
  4. ema21 : 1.462
  5. ema50 : 1.46618
  6. ema100 : 1.4533
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00548208
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0110329
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00285015
  10. price_ema100_diff : 0.000342808
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. rsi : 0.461117
  14. adx : 0.203317
  15. kc_percentage : 0.418848
  16. kc_width_percentage : 0.0614354
  17. volume_ema_diff : -0.748715
  18. volume_ema1 : 103463.69933999
  19. volume_ema2 : 411739.47967038
  20. ¸
  21. 15m
  22. ema9 : 1.4369
  23. ema21 : 1.43847
  24. ema50 : 1.45253
  25. ema100 : 1.47668
  26. price_ema9_diff : 0.011761
  27. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00109119
  28. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00968023
  29. price_ema100_diff : -0.0154995
  30. all_emas_in_trend : True
  31. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  32. rsi : 0.53353
  33. adx : 0.11816
  34. kc_percentage : 0.998453
  35. kc_width_percentage : 0.0216513
  36. volume_ema_diff : -0.750725
  37. volume_ema1 : 13140.946181813
  38. volume_ema2 : 52716.852001232
  39. ¸
  40. 5m
  41. ema9 : 1.44368
  42. ema21 : 1.4379
  43. ema50 : 1.43657
  44. ema100 : 1.44131
  45. price_ema9_diff : 0.00700975
  46. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00401673
  47. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.000928284
  48. price_ema100_diff : 0.00866481
  49. all_emas_in_trend : True
  50. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  51. rsi : 0.729157
  52. adx : 0.249329
  53. kc_percentage : 1.52606
  54. kc_width_percentage : 0.0104807
  55. volume_ema_diff : -0.49302
  56. volume_ema1 : 4432.9502218303
  57. volume_ema2 : 8743.8408685323
  58. ¸
  59. btc_indicators
  60. btc_indicators
  61. 5m_ema100:
    110361
  62. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00050403
  63. 5m_price:
    110305
  64. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.049095
  65. btc_indicators
  66. 15m_ema100:
    111342
  67. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0107745
  68. 15m_price:
    110142
  69. btc_indicators
  70. 1H_ema100:
    111496
  71. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0106797
  72. 1H_price:
    110305
  73. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
29 Aug 2025
08:25:26
29 Aug 2025
08:30:00
4 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
1.4538 1.4598 1.4449 1.48 0.4181
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 1.4538
  • Stop Loss: 1.4598
  • Take Profit: 1.4449

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 1.4598 - 1.4538 = 0.006

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 1.4538 - 1.4449 = 0.0088999999999999

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0088999999999999 / 0.006 = 1.4833

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1949.7401 100 1341.1337 19.50
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.006

Taille de position = 8 / 0.006 = 1333.33

Taille de position USD = 1333.33 x 1.4538 = 1938.4

Donc, tu peux acheter 1333.33 avec un stoploss a 1.4598

Avec un position size USD de 1938.4$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 1333.33 x 0.006 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 1333.33 x 0.0088999999999999 = 11.87

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 11.87$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 1333.33
  • Taille de position USD 1938.4
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 11.87
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.4833

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.61 % 11.94 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.41 % 8.05 $
PNL PNL %
-8.05 $ -0.41
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-3.7969 % 920.01 % 0

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 1.4449
            [entry_price] => 1.4538
            [stop_loss] => 1.4604
            [rr_ratio] => 1.35
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-08-29 08:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 1.4449
            [entry_price] => 1.4538
            [stop_loss] => 1.461
            [rr_ratio] => 1.24
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-08-29 08:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 1.4449
            [entry_price] => 1.4538
            [stop_loss] => 1.4616
            [rr_ratio] => 1.14
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-08-29 08:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 1.4449
            [entry_price] => 1.4538
            [stop_loss] => 1.4628
            [rr_ratio] => 0.99
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-08-29 08:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0148
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0552
            [rr_ratio] => 0.27
            [high] => 1.50900000
            [low] => 1.43900000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.02
            [mae_pct] => 3.8
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.27
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-08-29T08:25:26-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-08-29T10:25:26-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0367
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0552
            [rr_ratio] => 0.66
            [high] => 1.50900000
            [low] => 1.41710000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.52
            [mae_pct] => 3.8
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.66
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-08-29T08:25:26-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-08-29T15:25:26-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 1.46240000
            [high_after] => 1.50900000
            [low_before] => 1.42070000
            [low_after] => 1.41710000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)