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Short Trade on ORCA

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Short Trade on ORCA 29 Aug 2025 at 18:31:31

Take profit at 2.2672 (0.6 %) and Stop Loss at 2.2902 (0.4 %)

Short Trade on ORCA

The 29 Aug 2025 at 18:31:31

With 869.2267 ORCA at 2.281$ per unit.

Position size of 1982.706 $

Take profit at 2.2672 (0.6 %) and Stop Loss at 2.2902 (0.4 %)

That's a 1.5 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.26
Prediction Score: 2.9194
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.61
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.64
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.82
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : bear_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.674017

 3

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.16
  4. atr: 0.006135722243
Details
  1. score: 1.16
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 2.27006
  4. ema21 : 2.29625
  5. ema50 : 2.31095
  6. ema100 : 2.28982
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00481855
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.011405
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00636302
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.00385315
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. rsi : 0.45901
  14. adx : 0.192569
  15. kc_percentage : 0.417774
  16. kc_width_percentage : 0.072177
  17. volume_ema_diff : -0.793997
  18. volume_ema1 : 45384.970709658
  19. volume_ema2 : 220313.01050084
    20. ¸
  20. 15m
  21. ema9 : 2.26545
  22. ema21 : 2.26063
  23. ema50 : 2.27842
  24. ema100 : 2.30554
  25. price_ema9_diff : 0.00686283
  26. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00213017
  27. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00780571
  28. price_ema100_diff : -0.0106472
  29. all_emas_in_trend : False
  30. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  31. rsi : 0.590255
  32. adx : 0.266499
  33. kc_percentage : 0.891009
  34. kc_width_percentage : 0.0230645
  35. volume_ema_diff : -0.878767
  36. volume_ema1 : 4354.5007154314
  37. volume_ema2 : 35918.445250822
    38. ¸
  38. 5m
  39. ema9 : 2.27399
  40. ema21 : 2.26507
  41. ema50 : 2.25787
  42. ema100 : 2.26316
  43. price_ema9_diff : 0.00307934
  44. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00394054
  45. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00318669
  46. price_ema100_diff : 0.00788066
  47. all_emas_in_trend : True
  48. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  49. rsi : 0.671829
  50. adx : 0.249724
  51. kc_percentage : 1.16209
  52. kc_width_percentage : 0.0101484
  53. volume_ema_diff : -0.600477
  54. volume_ema1 : 1389.3592872197
  55. volume_ema2 : 3477.5505778261
    56. ¸
  56. btc_indicators
  57. btc_indicators
  58. 5m_ema100: 
    108257
  59. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.000913329
  60. 5m_price: 
    108356
  61. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.674017
  62. btc_indicators
  63. 15m_ema100: 
    109634
  64. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0116537
  65. 15m_price: 
    108356
  66. btc_indicators
  67. 1H_ema100: 
    110777
  68. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0218491
  69. 1H_price: 
    108356
    70. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
29 Aug 2025
18:31:31		 29 Aug 2025
20:00:00		 1 hour

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
2.281 2.2902 2.2672 1.5 0.889
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 2.281
  • Stop Loss: 2.2902
  • Take Profit: 2.2672

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 2.2902 - 2.281 = 0.0091999999999999

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 2.281 - 2.2672 = 0.0138

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0138 / 0.0091999999999999 = 1.5

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1982.706 100 869.2267 19.83
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0091999999999999

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0091999999999999 = 869.57

Taille de position USD = 869.57 x 2.281 = 1983.49

Donc, tu peux acheter 869.57 avec un stoploss a 2.2902

Avec un position size USD de 1983.49$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 869.57 x 0.0091999999999999 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 869.57 x 0.0138 = 12

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 12$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 869.57
  • Taille de position USD 1983.49
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 12
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.5

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.6 % 12 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.4 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.40
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-3.5949 % 891.37 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 2.2672
            [entry_price] => 2.281
            [stop_loss] => 2.29112
            [rr_ratio] => 1.36
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-08-29 20:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 2.2672
            [entry_price] => 2.281
            [stop_loss] => 2.29204
            [rr_ratio] => 1.25
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-08-29 20:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 2.2672
            [entry_price] => 2.281
            [stop_loss] => 2.29296
            [rr_ratio] => 1.15
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-08-29 20:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 2.2672
            [entry_price] => 2.281
            [stop_loss] => 2.2948
            [rr_ratio] => 1
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-08-29 20:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.012
            [max_drawdown] => 0.124
            [rr_ratio] => 0.1
            [high] => 2.40500000
            [low] => 2.26900000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.53
            [mae_pct] => 5.44
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.1
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-08-29T18:31:31-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-08-29T20:31:31-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.037
            [max_drawdown] => 0.124
            [rr_ratio] => 0.3
            [high] => 2.40500000
            [low] => 2.24400000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.62
            [mae_pct] => 5.44
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.3
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-08-29T18:31:31-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-08-30T01:31:31-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 2.28200000
            [high_after] => 2.40500000
            [low_before] => 2.22000000
            [low_after] => 2.24400000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)