Short Trade on UMA 29 Aug 2025 at 23:14:05

Take profit at 1.4253 (0.55 %) and Stop Loss at 1.4384 (0.36 %)

Short Trade on UMA

The 29 Aug 2025 at 23:14:05

With 1527.2015 UMA at 1.4332$ per unit.

Position size of 2188.7852 $

Take profit at 1.4253 (0.55 %) and Stop Loss at 1.4384 (0.36 %)

That's a 1.52 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.08
Prediction Score: 2.5233
Prediction 1 Probability
Strong Trade
0.6
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.68
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.74
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.591604

2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.06
  4. atr: 0.003492226271
Details
  1. score: 1.06
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 1.42807
  4. ema21 : 1.43706
  5. ema50 : 1.44933
  6. ema100 : 1.44056
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00359209
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0062617
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0084628
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.00510976
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. rsi : 0.465111
  14. adx : 0.158214
  15. kc_percentage : 0.458491
  16. kc_width_percentage : 0.0509426
  17. volume_ema_diff : -0.717788
  18. volume_ema1 : 89846.284634532
  19. volume_ema2 : 318364.9223678
  20. ¸
  21. 15m
  22. ema9 : 1.42604
  23. ema21 : 1.42716
  24. ema50 : 1.43198
  25. ema100 : 1.44169
  26. price_ema9_diff : 0.00501858
  27. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.000786579
  28. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00336625
  29. price_ema100_diff : -0.00589417
  30. all_emas_in_trend : True
  31. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  32. rsi : 0.543806
  33. adx : 0.150118
  34. kc_percentage : 0.715712
  35. kc_width_percentage : 0.0199008
  36. volume_ema_diff : -0.611124
  37. volume_ema1 : 15165.345731641
  38. volume_ema2 : 38997.963589928
  39. ¸
  40. 5m
  41. ema9 : 1.4268
  42. ema21 : 1.42556
  43. ema50 : 1.42638
  44. ema100 : 1.42633
  45. price_ema9_diff : 0.00447929
  46. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000871638
  47. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.000572984
  48. price_ema100_diff : 0.00481495
  49. all_emas_in_trend : False
  50. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  51. rsi : 0.627941
  52. adx : 0.276856
  53. kc_percentage : 1.05621
  54. kc_width_percentage : 0.00958618
  55. volume_ema_diff : -0.649634
  56. volume_ema1 : 3308.2266240822
  57. volume_ema2 : 9442.2026805745
  58. ¸
  59. btc_indicators
  60. btc_indicators
  61. 5m_ema100:
    108065
  62. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.000423604
  63. 5m_price:
    108020
  64. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.591604
  65. btc_indicators
  66. 15m_ema100:
    109088
  67. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00979429
  68. 15m_price:
    108020
  69. btc_indicators
  70. 1H_ema100:
    110297
  71. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0206517
  72. 1H_price:
    108020
  73. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
29 Aug 2025
23:14:05
29 Aug 2025
23:20:00
5 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
1.4332 1.4384 1.4253 1.52 0.4328
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 1.4332
  • Stop Loss: 1.4384
  • Take Profit: 1.4253

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 1.4384 - 1.4332 = 0.0051999999999999

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 1.4332 - 1.4253 = 0.0079

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0079 / 0.0051999999999999 = 1.5192

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
2188.7852 100 1527.2015 21.89
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0051999999999999

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0051999999999999 = 1538.46

Taille de position USD = 1538.46 x 1.4332 = 2204.92

Donc, tu peux acheter 1538.46 avec un stoploss a 1.4384

Avec un position size USD de 2204.92$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 1538.46 x 0.0051999999999999 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 1538.46 x 0.0079 = 12.15

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 12.15$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 1538.46
  • Taille de position USD 2204.92
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 12.15
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.5192

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.55 % 12.06 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.36 % 7.94 $
PNL PNL %
-7.94 $ -0.36
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.4047 % 111.55 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 1.4253
            [entry_price] => 1.4332
            [stop_loss] => 1.43892
            [rr_ratio] => 1.38
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-08-29 23:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 1.4253
            [entry_price] => 1.4332
            [stop_loss] => 1.43944
            [rr_ratio] => 1.27
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-08-29 23:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 1.4253
            [entry_price] => 1.4332
            [stop_loss] => 1.43996
            [rr_ratio] => 1.17
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-08-29 23:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 1.4253
            [entry_price] => 1.4332
            [stop_loss] => 1.441
            [rr_ratio] => 1.01
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-08-29 23:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.002
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0334
            [rr_ratio] => 0.06
            [high] => 1.46660000
            [low] => 1.43120000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.14
            [mae_pct] => 2.33
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.06
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-08-29T23:14:05-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-08-30T01:14:05-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.002
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0372
            [rr_ratio] => 0.05
            [high] => 1.47040000
            [low] => 1.43120000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.14
            [mae_pct] => 2.6
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.05
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-08-29T23:14:05-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-08-30T06:14:05-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 1.43920000
            [high_after] => 1.47040000
            [low_before] => 1.41050000
            [low_after] => 1.43120000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)