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Short Trade on ARIA

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Short Trade on ARIA 19 Sep 2025 at 12:38:39

Take profit at 0.1542 (2.28 %) and Stop Loss at 0.1596 (1.14 %)

Short Trade on ARIA

The 19 Sep 2025 at 12:38:39

With 4426.4441 ARIA at 0.1578$ per unit.

Position size of 698.3601 $

Take profit at 0.1542 (2.28 %) and Stop Loss at 0.1596 (1.14 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 60
ML Pullback Score: 4.32
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.65
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.73
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.63
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : range_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_high
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.341864

15m : -0.009619

1H : -0.050679

 1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.06
  4. atr: 0.001204879856
Details
  1. score: 1.06
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 0.156455
  4. ema21 : 0.159529
  5. ema50 : 0.16092
  6. ema100 : 0.159455
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00840297
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0192704
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00864564
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0105687
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.676731
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.47005
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.188012
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0650879
  17. rsi : 0.466594
  18. adx : 0.23681
  19. kc_percentage : 0.429211
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.140836
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.242006
  22. volume_ema1 : 337106.95852508
  23. volume_ema2 : 444735.67863448
  24. chop : 39.64
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 0.155596
  28. ema21 : 0.155577
  29. ema50 : 0.157563
  30. ema100 : 0.160686
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.0139714
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000121518
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0126086
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0181488
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.0086827
  38. ema_slope_21 : 0.00974382
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0576812
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0676371
  41. rsi : 0.553305
  42. adx : 0.188522
  43. kc_percentage : 0.727298
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0617285
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.391954
  46. volume_ema1 : 55762.034829713
  47. volume_ema2 : 91706.945812826
  48. chop : 44.5561
  49. regime : bear_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 0.155818
  52. ema21 : 0.155164
  53. ema50 : 0.155234
  54. ema100 : 0.155361
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.0125239
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00421437
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.000449112
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.0155004
  59. all_emas_in_trend : False
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.118123
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0154373
  63. ema_slope_50 : -0.0084299
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.00723781
  65. rsi : 0.649734
  66. adx : 0.263441
  67. kc_percentage : 1.06255
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0292596
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.549746
  70. volume_ema1 : 14207.969574282
  71. volume_ema2 : 31555.501708744
  72. chop : 41.6749
  73. regime : bull_high
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    116237
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00363832
  78. 5m_price: 
    115814
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.341864
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    116715
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0071859
  83. 15m_price: 
    115876
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.009619
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    116288
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00408072
  88. 1H_price: 
    115814
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.050679
    90. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
19 Sep 2025
12:38:39		 19 Sep 2025
13:25:00		 46 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1578 0.1596 0.1542 2 0.08024
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1578
  • Stop Loss: 0.1596
  • Take Profit: 0.1542

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.1596 - 0.1578 = 0.0018

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1578 - 0.1542 = 0.0036

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0036 / 0.0018 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
698.3601 100 4426.4441 6.98
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0018

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0018 = 4444.44

Taille de position USD = 4444.44 x 0.1578 = 701.33

Donc, tu peux acheter 4444.44 avec un stoploss a 0.1596

Avec un position size USD de 701.33$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 4444.44 x 0.0018 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 4444.44 x 0.0036 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 4444.44
  • Taille de position USD 701.33
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.28 % 15.94 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
1.14 % 7.97 $
PNL PNL %
15.93 $ 2.28
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.4563 % 40 % 3

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1542
            [stop_loss] => 0.1596
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-09-19 13:25:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1533
            [stop_loss] => 0.1596
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-09-19 13:25:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1524
            [stop_loss] => 0.1596
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-09-19 13:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1515
            [stop_loss] => 0.1596
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-09-19 15:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1506
            [stop_loss] => 0.1596
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-09-19 15:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1497
            [stop_loss] => 0.1596
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-09-19 15:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1488
            [stop_loss] => 0.1596
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-09-19 15:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1479
            [stop_loss] => 0.1596
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-09-19 15:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.147
            [stop_loss] => 0.1596
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2025-09-19 15:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1461
            [stop_loss] => 0.1596
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-09-19 15:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1452
            [stop_loss] => 0.1596
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2025-09-19 15:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.00576
            [max_drawdown] => 0.00072
            [rr_ratio] => 8
            [high] => 0.15852000
            [low] => 0.15204000
            [mfe_pct] => 3.65
            [mae_pct] => 0.46
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 8
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-09-19T12:38:39-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-09-19T14:38:39-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.00576
            [max_drawdown] => 0.01092
            [rr_ratio] => 0.53
            [high] => 0.16872000
            [low] => 0.15204000
            [mfe_pct] => 3.65
            [mae_pct] => 6.92
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.53
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-09-19T12:38:39-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-09-19T19:38:39-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 0.15996000
            [high_after] => 0.16872000
            [low_before] => 0.14952000
            [low_after] => 0.15204000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)