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Short Trade on ARIA

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Short Trade on ARIA 21 Sep 2025 at 18:50:30

Take profit at 0.1542 (1.72 %) and Stop Loss at 0.1582 (0.83 %)

Short Trade on ARIA

The 21 Sep 2025 at 18:50:30

With 5932.335 ARIA at 0.1569$ per unit.

Position size of 930.6054 $

Take profit at 0.1542 (1.72 %) and Stop Loss at 0.1582 (0.83 %)

That's a 2.08 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 120
ML Pullback Score: 10
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.6
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.54
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.6
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : range

rules_regime : bear_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : range_medium
BTC Correlation Score

5m : -0.024301

15m : -0.083201

1H : 0.141268

 1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.03
  4. atr: 0.0008990276737
Details
  1. score: 1.03
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 0.156981
  4. ema21 : 0.158434
  5. ema50 : 0.159043
  6. ema100 : 0.159857
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.000708016
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00917375
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00382718
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0186895
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.272454
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.101669
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.0333706
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0235579
  17. rsi : 0.461867
  18. adx : 0.151451
  19. kc_percentage : 0.408753
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.105822
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.416519
  22. volume_ema1 : 146193.17707313
  23. volume_ema2 : 250553.61343588
  24. chop : 51.5136
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 0.155062
  28. ema21 : 0.155719
  29. ema50 : 0.15768
  30. ema100 : 0.158919
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.0116553
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00421893
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0124371
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0128956
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : -0.0453553
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.100799
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0932992
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0585737
  41. rsi : 0.525897
  42. adx : 0.174935
  43. kc_percentage : 0.684849
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0425278
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.266982
  46. volume_ema1 : 35099.118113401
  47. volume_ema2 : 47883.053217901
  48. chop : 62.9109
  49. regime : bear_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 0.15543
  52. ema21 : 0.154879
  53. ema50 : 0.155252
  54. ema100 : 0.15656
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00925947
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00355666
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00239819
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.00197971
  59. all_emas_in_trend : False
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0580913
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0155204
  63. ema_slope_50 : -0.0151368
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.0265372
  65. rsi : 0.640728
  66. adx : 0.188809
  67. kc_percentage : 1.03162
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0236951
  69. volume_ema_diff : 0.231729
  70. volume_ema1 : 14811.733929332
  71. volume_ema2 : 12025.151898043
  72. chop : 33.7653
  73. regime : range_medium
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    115386
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.000585267
  78. 5m_price: 
    115453
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.024301
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    115509
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.000483766
  83. 15m_price: 
    115453
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.083201
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    115832
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00327423
  88. 1H_price: 
    115453
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.141268
    90. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
21 Sep 2025
18:50:30		 21 Sep 2025
19:10:00		 19 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1569 0.1582 0.1542 2.08 0.07705
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1569
  • Stop Loss: 0.1582
  • Take Profit: 0.1542

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.1582 - 0.1569 = 0.0013

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1569 - 0.1542 = 0.0027

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0027 / 0.0013 = 2.0769

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
930.6054 100 5932.335 9.31
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0013

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0013 = 6153.85

Taille de position USD = 6153.85 x 0.1569 = 965.54

Donc, tu peux acheter 6153.85 avec un stoploss a 0.1582

Avec un position size USD de 965.54$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 6153.85 x 0.0013 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 6153.85 x 0.0027 = 16.62

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.62$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 6153.85
  • Taille de position USD 965.54
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16.62
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0769

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.72 % 16.02 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.83 % 7.71 $
PNL PNL %
16.01 $ 1.72
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.2486 % 30 % 2

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1543
            [stop_loss] => 0.1582
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-09-21 19:10:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.15365
            [stop_loss] => 0.1582
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-09-21 19:15:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.153
            [stop_loss] => 0.1582
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-09-21 19:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.15235
            [stop_loss] => 0.1582
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-09-21 20:15:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1517
            [stop_loss] => 0.1582
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-09-21 20:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.15105
            [stop_loss] => 0.1582
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-09-21 20:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1504
            [stop_loss] => 0.1582
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-09-21 20:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.14975
            [stop_loss] => 0.1582
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-09-21 20:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1491
            [stop_loss] => 0.1582
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2025-09-21 20:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0081
            [max_drawdown] => 0.00039
            [rr_ratio] => 20.77
            [high] => 0.15729000
            [low] => 0.14880000
            [mfe_pct] => 5.16
            [mae_pct] => 0.25
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 20.77
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-09-21T18:50:30-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-09-21T20:50:30-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0081
            [max_drawdown] => 0.00073999999999999
            [rr_ratio] => 10.95
            [high] => 0.15764000
            [low] => 0.14880000
            [mfe_pct] => 5.16
            [mae_pct] => 0.47
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 10.95
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-09-21T18:50:30-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-09-22T01:50:30-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 0.15767000
            [high_after] => 0.15764000
            [low_before] => 0.15301000
            [low_after] => 0.14880000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)