Short Trade on BTC 22 Sep 2025 at 07:16:00
Take profit at 112506.9139 (0.3 %) and Stop Loss at 113012.8431 (0.15 %)
Short Trade on BTC 22 Sep 2025 at 07:16:00
Take profit at 112506.9139 (0.3 %) and Stop Loss at 113012.8431 (0.15 %)
Position size of 5353.0436 $
Take profit at 112506.9139 (0.3 %) and Stop Loss at 113012.8431 (0.15 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.55 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.63 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.83 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : bear_low |
1H_regime : bear_low 15m_regime : bear_low 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 1 15m : -0.043496 1H : -0.136619 |
3 |
Indicators:
113065
-0.00195847
112844
1
114184
-0.0117352
112844
-0.043496
115480
-0.022825
112844
-0.136619
Market Structure Score: 0
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep 2025 07:16:00 |
22 Sep 2025 08:30:00 |
1 hour |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 112844.2 | 113012.8431 | 112506.9139 | 2 | 66967.3 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 113012.8431 - 112844.2 = 168.6431
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 112844.2 - 112506.9139 = 337.2861
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 337.2861 / 168.6431 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5353.0436 | 100 | 0.04744 | 53.53 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 168.6431 = 0.05
Taille de position USD = 0.05 x 112844.2 = 5642.21
Donc, tu peux acheter 0.05 avec un stoploss a 113012.8431
Avec un position size USD de 5642.21$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 0.05 x 168.6431 = 8.43
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.43$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 0.05 x 337.2861 = 16.86
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.86$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.3 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.15 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.30 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0672 % | 44.98 % | 2 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 112506.9138
[stop_loss] => 113012.8431
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2025-09-22 08:30:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 112422.59225
[stop_loss] => 113012.8431
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2025-09-22 09:40:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 112338.2707
[stop_loss] => 113012.8431
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2025-09-22 09:45:00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 112253.94915
[stop_loss] => 113012.8431
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2025-09-22 09:55:00
[result] => loss
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 112169.6276
[stop_loss] => 113012.8431
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2025-09-22 09:55:00
[result] => loss
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 112085.30605
[stop_loss] => 113012.8431
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2025-09-22 09:55:00
[result] => loss
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 112000.9845
[stop_loss] => 113012.8431
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2025-09-22 09:55:00
[result] => loss
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 111916.66295
[stop_loss] => 113012.8431
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2025-09-22 09:55:00
[result] => loss
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 111832.3414
[stop_loss] => 113012.8431
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2025-09-22 09:55:00
[result] => loss
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 111748.01985
[stop_loss] => 113012.8431
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2025-09-22 09:55:00
[result] => loss
)
[7] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 111663.6983
[stop_loss] => 113012.8431
[rr_ratio] => 7
[closed_at] => 2025-09-22 09:55:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 393.59999999999
[max_drawdown] => 75.800000000003
[rr_ratio] => 5.19
[high] => 112920.00000000
[low] => 112450.60000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.35
[mae_pct] => 0.07
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 5.19
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-09-22T07:16:00-04:00
[end_at] => 2025-09-22T09:16:00-04:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 644.2
[max_drawdown] => 535.7
[rr_ratio] => 1.2
[high] => 113379.90000000
[low] => 112200.00000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.57
[mae_pct] => 0.47
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.2
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-09-22T07:16:00-04:00
[end_at] => 2025-09-22T14:16:00-04:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 112950.00000000
[high_after] => 113379.90000000
[low_before] => 112118.60000000
[low_after] => 112200.00000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)