Short Trade on CVX 22 Sep 2025 at 10:19:43
Take profit at 3.4055 (1.4 %) and Stop Loss at 3.4783 (0.7 %)
Short Trade on CVX 22 Sep 2025 at 10:19:43
Take profit at 3.4055 (1.4 %) and Stop Loss at 3.4783 (0.7 %)
Position size of 1139.2081 $
Take profit at 3.4055 (1.4 %) and Stop Loss at 3.4783 (0.7 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.85 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.7 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.74 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : bull_medium |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.511608 15m : 0.075584 1H : 0.154723 |
2 |
Indicators:
112652
0.00471756
113184
0.511608
113895
-0.00624182
113184
0.075584
115310
-0.0184365
113184
0.154723
Market Structure Score: 0
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep 2025 10:19:43 |
22 Sep 2025 10:50:00 |
30 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.454 | 3.4783 | 3.4055 | 2 | 1.742 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 3.4783 - 3.454 = 0.0243
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 3.454 - 3.4055 = 0.0485
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0485 / 0.0243 = 1.9959
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1139.2081 | 100 | 329.8228 | 11.39 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0243 = 329.22
Taille de position USD = 329.22 x 3.454 = 1137.13
Donc, tu peux acheter 329.22 avec un stoploss a 3.4783
Avec un position size USD de 1137.13$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 329.22 x 0.0243 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 329.22 x 0.0485 = 15.97
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.97$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.4 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.7 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 1.40 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.3185 % | 45.27 % | 2 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 3.4054
[stop_loss] => 3.4783
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2025-09-22 10:50:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 3.39325
[stop_loss] => 3.4783
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2025-09-22 11:05:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 3.3811
[stop_loss] => 3.4783
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2025-09-22 11:15:00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 3.36895
[stop_loss] => 3.4783
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2025-09-22 12:05:00
[result] => win
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 3.3568
[stop_loss] => 3.4783
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2025-09-22 12:55:00
[result] => win
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 3.34465
[stop_loss] => 3.4783
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2025-09-22 13:00:00
[result] => win
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 3.3325
[stop_loss] => 3.4783
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2025-09-22 15:35:00
[result] => win
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 3.32035
[stop_loss] => 3.4783
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2025-09-22 15:35:00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.097
[max_drawdown] => 0.011
[rr_ratio] => 8.82
[high] => 3.46500000
[low] => 3.35700000
[mfe_pct] => 2.81
[mae_pct] => 0.32
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 8.82
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-09-22T10:19:43-04:00
[end_at] => 2025-09-22T12:19:43-04:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.14
[max_drawdown] => 0.011
[rr_ratio] => 12.73
[high] => 3.46500000
[low] => 3.31400000
[mfe_pct] => 4.05
[mae_pct] => 0.32
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 12.73
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-09-22T10:19:43-04:00
[end_at] => 2025-09-22T17:19:43-04:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 3.46100000
[high_after] => 3.46500000
[low_before] => 3.35500000
[low_after] => 3.31400000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] => 1
)
)