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Short Trade on ALPHA

Short Trade on ALPHA

The 22 Sep 2025 at 10:43:28

With 28494.3513 ALPHA at 0.01552$ per unit.

Position size of 442.2323 $

Take profit at 0.01496 (3.61 %) and Stop Loss at 0.0158 (1.8 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 2.05
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.64
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.58
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.64
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high_confirmed

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_high
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.121826

15m : -0.027315

1H : -0.095007

 2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.01
  4. atr: 0.0001871716001
Details
  1. score: 1.01
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 - 0.0152443
  4. ema21 - 0.0161492
  5. ema50 - 0.0175192
  6. ema100 - 0.018644
  7. price_ema9_diff - 0.0180842
  8. ema9_ema21_diff - -0.0560384
  9. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.0781992
  10. price_ema100_diff - -0.167563
  11. all_emas_in_trend - True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  13. ema_slope_9 - -1.19981
  14. ema_slope_21 - -0.976701
  15. ema_slope_50 - -0.623225
  16. ema_slope_100 - -0.391813
  17. rsi - 0.354115
  18. adx - 0.591794
  19. kc_percentage - 0.25052
  20. kc_width_percentage - 0.144693
  21. volume_ema_diff - 1.06968
  22. volume_ema1 - 595999.89176963
  23. volume_ema2 - 287966.76323473
  24. chop - 25.0456
  25. regime - bear_high_confirmed
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 - 0.0150586
  28. ema21 - 0.0149647
  29. ema50 - 0.0155036
  30. ema100 - 0.0163719
  31. price_ema9_diff - 0.0306382
  32. ema9_ema21_diff - 0.00627269
  33. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.0347605
  34. price_ema100_diff - -0.0520344
  35. all_emas_in_trend - False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  37. ema_slope_9 - 0.303396
  38. ema_slope_21 - 0.027241
  39. ema_slope_50 - -0.184151
  40. ema_slope_100 - -0.1963
  41. rsi - 0.658545
  42. adx - 0.403491
  43. kc_percentage - 0.97054
  44. kc_width_percentage - 0.0769331
  45. volume_ema_diff - 1.3986
  46. volume_ema1 - 254862.81117297
  47. volume_ema2 - 106254.4375213
  48. chop - 43.3112
  49. regime - bear_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 - 0.0153028
  52. ema21 - 0.0151058
  53. ema50 - 0.0149174
  54. ema100 - 0.0149221
  55. price_ema9_diff - 0.0141904
  56. ema9_ema21_diff - 0.0130432
  57. ema21_ema50_diff - 0.0126284
  58. price_ema100_diff - 0.0400619
  59. all_emas_in_trend - True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - True
  61. ema_slope_9 - 0.242127
  62. ema_slope_21 - 0.185946
  63. ema_slope_50 - 0.106746
  64. ema_slope_100 - 0.0438553
  65. rsi - 0.681267
  66. adx - 0.441027
  67. kc_percentage - 1.00622
  68. kc_width_percentage - 0.0511127
  69. volume_ema_diff - 1.03179
  70. volume_ema1 - 115637.06616362
  71. volume_ema2 - 56913.619474897
  72. chop - 39.0038
  73. regime - bull_high
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 112728
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 0.00169276
  78. 5m_price: 112919
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 0.121826
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 113885
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: -0.00696378
  83. 15m_price: 113092
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: -0.027315
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 115304
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: -0.0206892
  88. 1H_price: 112919
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: -0.095007
    90. ¸

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
22 Sep 2025
10:43:28		 22 Sep 2025
11:05:00		 21 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.01552 0.0158 0.01496 2 0.01155
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.01552
  • Stop Loss: 0.0158
  • Take Profit: 0.01496

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.0158 - 0.01552 = 0.00028

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.01552 - 0.01496 = 0.00056

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00056 / 0.00028 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
442.2323 100 28494.3513 4.42
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.00028

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00028 = 28571.43

Taille de position USD = 28571.43 x 0.01552 = 443.43

Donc, tu peux acheter 28571.43 avec un stoploss a 0.0158

Avec un position size USD de 443.43$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 28571.43 x 0.00028 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 28571.43 x 0.00056 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 28571.43
  • Taille de position USD 443.43
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
3.61 % 15.96 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
1.8 % 7.98 $
PNL PNL %
-7.98 $ -1.80
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.933 % 107.14 % 3

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.01496
            [entry_price] => 0.01552
            [stop_loss] => 0.015828
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-09-22 11:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.01496
            [entry_price] => 0.01552
            [stop_loss] => 0.015856
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-09-22 11:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.01496
            [entry_price] => 0.01552
            [stop_loss] => 0.015884
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-09-22 11:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.01496
            [entry_price] => 0.01552
            [stop_loss] => 0.01594
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-09-22 11:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.00015
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0068
            [rr_ratio] => 0.02
            [high] => 0.02232000
            [low] => 0.01537000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.97
            [mae_pct] => 43.81
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.02
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-09-22T10:43:28-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-09-22T12:43:28-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.00152
            [max_drawdown] => 0.02903
            [rr_ratio] => 0.05
            [high] => 0.04455000
            [low] => 0.01400000
            [mfe_pct] => 9.79
            [mae_pct] => 187.05
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.05
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-09-22T10:43:28-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-09-22T17:43:28-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 0.01563000
            [high_after] => 0.02561000
            [low_before] => 0.01430000
            [low_after] => 0.01400000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)