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Short Trade on ALPHA

Short Trade on ALPHA

The 22 Sep 2025 at 11:28:50

With 26909.5958 ALPHA at 0.01592$ per unit.

Position size of 428.4008 $

Take profit at 0.01533 (3.71 %) and Stop Loss at 0.01622 (1.88 %)

That's a 1.97 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 2.05
Prediction Score: 3
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.77
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.51
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.51
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_high_confirmed
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.181988

15m : 0.045422

1H : 0.11862

 2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.05
  4. atr: 0.0001981944795
Details
  1. score: 1.05
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 - 0.0153698
  4. ema21 - 0.0161235
  5. ema50 - 0.0174555
  6. ema100 - 0.0185984
  7. price_ema9_diff - 0.0357938
  8. ema9_ema21_diff - -0.0467421
  9. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.0763134
  10. price_ema100_diff - -0.144014
  11. all_emas_in_trend - True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  13. ema_slope_9 - -1.04876
  14. ema_slope_21 - -0.929096
  15. ema_slope_50 - -0.616054
  16. ema_slope_100 - -0.39296
  17. rsi - 0.421975
  18. adx - 0.568524
  19. kc_percentage - 0.438952
  20. kc_width_percentage - 0.143861
  21. volume_ema_diff - 0.868577
  22. volume_ema1 - 552258.36329384
  23. volume_ema2 - 295550.15500936
  24. chop - 27.4636
  25. regime - bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 - 0.0153499
  28. ema21 - 0.0151348
  29. ema50 - 0.0155179
  30. ema100 - 0.0163162
  31. price_ema9_diff - 0.0371355
  32. ema9_ema21_diff - 0.0142144
  33. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.024689
  34. price_ema100_diff - -0.0242854
  35. all_emas_in_trend - False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  37. ema_slope_9 - 0.461717
  38. ema_slope_21 - 0.174173
  39. ema_slope_50 - -0.0983315
  40. ema_slope_100 - -0.152576
  41. rsi - 0.660734
  42. adx - 0.399912
  43. kc_percentage - 1.15459
  44. kc_width_percentage - 0.0751028
  45. volume_ema_diff - 0.44757
  46. volume_ema1 - 164425.53791158
  47. volume_ema2 - 113587.2549969
  48. chop - 38.6783
  49. regime - bear_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 - 0.0156864
  52. ema21 - 0.0154475
  53. ema50 - 0.0151429
  54. ema100 - 0.0150101
  55. price_ema9_diff - 0.0148903
  56. ema9_ema21_diff - 0.0154626
  57. ema21_ema50_diff - 0.0201175
  58. price_ema100_diff - 0.0606153
  59. all_emas_in_trend - True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - True
  61. ema_slope_9 - 0.32206
  62. ema_slope_21 - 0.26528
  63. ema_slope_50 - 0.173205
  64. ema_slope_100 - 0.0949673
  65. rsi - 0.712481
  66. adx - 0.516282
  67. kc_percentage - 1.05493
  68. kc_width_percentage - 0.0515726
  69. volume_ema_diff - 0.171827
  70. volume_ema1 - 65733.334077459
  71. volume_ema2 - 56094.703608015
  72. chop - 36.9681
  73. regime - bull_high_confirmed
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 112722
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: -0.0013879
  78. 5m_price: 112566
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 0.181988
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 113819
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: -0.0100975
  83. 15m_price: 112670
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 0.045422
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 115258
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: -0.0233575
  88. 1H_price: 112566
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 0.11862
    90. ¸

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
22 Sep 2025
11:28:50		 22 Sep 2025
11:30:00		 1 minute

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.01592 0.01622 0.01533 1.97 0.01155
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.01592
  • Stop Loss: 0.01622
  • Take Profit: 0.01533

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.01622 - 0.01592 = 0.0003

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.01592 - 0.01533 = 0.00059

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00059 / 0.0003 = 1.9667

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
428.4008 100 26909.5958 4.28
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0003

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0003 = 26666.67

Taille de position USD = 26666.67 x 0.01592 = 424.53

Donc, tu peux acheter 26666.67 avec un stoploss a 0.01622

Avec un position size USD de 424.53$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 26666.67 x 0.0003 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 26666.67 x 0.00059 = 15.73

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.73$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 26666.67
  • Taille de position USD 424.53
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 15.73
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9667

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
3.71 % 15.88 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
1.88 % 8.07 $
PNL PNL %
-8.07 $ -1.88
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-2.701 % 143.33 % 0

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.01533
            [entry_price] => 0.01592
            [stop_loss] => 0.01625
            [rr_ratio] => 1.79
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-09-22 11:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.01533
            [entry_price] => 0.01592
            [stop_loss] => 0.01628
            [rr_ratio] => 1.64
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-09-22 11:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.01533
            [entry_price] => 0.01592
            [stop_loss] => 0.01631
            [rr_ratio] => 1.51
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-09-22 11:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.01533
            [entry_price] => 0.01592
            [stop_loss] => 0.01637
            [rr_ratio] => 1.31
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-09-22 11:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 7.0000000000001E-5
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0064
            [rr_ratio] => 0.01
            [high] => 0.02232000
            [low] => 0.01585000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.44
            [mae_pct] => 40.2
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.01
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-09-22T11:28:50-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-09-22T13:28:50-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.00192
            [max_drawdown] => 0.02863
            [rr_ratio] => 0.07
            [high] => 0.04455000
            [low] => 0.01400000
            [mfe_pct] => 12.06
            [mae_pct] => 179.84
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.07
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-09-22T11:28:50-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-09-22T18:28:50-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 0.01602000
            [high_after] => 0.03533000
            [low_before] => 0.01434000
            [low_after] => 0.01400000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)