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Short Trade on ALPHA

Short Trade on ALPHA

The 24 Sep 2025 at 12:27:13

With 23190.3767 ALPHA at 0.01793$ per unit.

Position size of 415.8035 $

Take profit at 0.01724 (3.85 %) and Stop Loss at 0.01827 (1.9 %)

That's a 2.03 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 40
ML Pullback Score: 1.68
Prediction Score: 0
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.55
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.67
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.81
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bull_moderate

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : bull_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_high
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.192178

15m : 0.093016

1H : 0.014864

 0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.02
  4. atr: 0.0002299804532
Details
  1. score: 1.02
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 - 0.0177391
  4. ema21 - 0.0181921
  5. ema50 - 0.0186161
  6. ema100 - 0.0188941
  7. price_ema9_diff - 0.0107608
  8. ema9_ema21_diff - -0.0249055
  9. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.0227744
  10. price_ema100_diff - -0.0510275
  11. all_emas_in_trend - True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  13. ema_slope_9 - -0.509505
  14. ema_slope_21 - -0.412282
  15. ema_slope_50 - -0.21716
  16. ema_slope_100 - -0.125283
  17. rsi - 0.469282
  18. adx - 0.200977
  19. kc_percentage - 0.445138
  20. kc_width_percentage - 0.23538
  21. volume_ema_diff - -0.846027
  22. volume_ema1 - 209172.50473925
  23. volume_ema2 - 1358509.9994444
  24. chop - 80.4229
  25. regime - bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 - 0.0173308
  28. ema21 - 0.0174607
  29. ema50 - 0.0178565
  30. ema100 - 0.0182913
  31. price_ema9_diff - 0.034569
  32. ema9_ema21_diff - -0.0074351
  33. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.0221671
  34. price_ema100_diff - -0.0197558
  35. all_emas_in_trend - True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  37. ema_slope_9 - -0.0939454
  38. ema_slope_21 - -0.149238
  39. ema_slope_50 - -0.153613
  40. ema_slope_100 - -0.119207
  41. rsi - 0.50548
  42. adx - 0.276524
  43. kc_percentage - 0.869213
  44. kc_width_percentage - 0.0729944
  45. volume_ema_diff - -0.111617
  46. volume_ema1 - 47505.832396533
  47. volume_ema2 - 53474.506535247
  48. chop - 73.1481
  49. regime - bear_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 - 0.0175011
  52. ema21 - 0.017392
  53. ema50 - 0.0174351
  54. ema100 - 0.0176124
  55. price_ema9_diff - 0.0245018
  56. ema9_ema21_diff - 0.00627414
  57. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.00246829
  58. price_ema100_diff - 0.018031
  59. all_emas_in_trend - False
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  61. ema_slope_9 - 0.0730809
  62. ema_slope_21 - 0.00944519
  63. ema_slope_50 - -0.0233627
  64. ema_slope_100 - -0.0348247
  65. rsi - 0.681095
  66. adx - 0.228491
  67. kc_percentage - 1.01537
  68. kc_width_percentage - 0.0579262
  69. volume_ema_diff - 1.55886
  70. volume_ema1 - 53069.187244492
  71. volume_ema2 - 20739.369614228
  72. chop - 9.40768
  73. regime - bull_high
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 113041
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 0.00354091
  78. 5m_price: 113441
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 0.192178
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 112681
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 0.00602817
  83. 15m_price: 113361
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 0.093016
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 113491
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: -0.000436217
  88. 1H_price: 113441
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 0.014864
    90. ¸

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
24 Sep 2025
12:27:13		 24 Sep 2025
12:35:00		 7 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.01793 0.01827 0.01724 2.03 0.01155
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.01793
  • Stop Loss: 0.01827
  • Take Profit: 0.01724

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.01827 - 0.01793 = 0.00034

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.01793 - 0.01724 = 0.00069

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00069 / 0.00034 = 2.0294

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
415.8035 100 23190.3767 4.16
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.00034

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00034 = 23529.41

Taille de position USD = 23529.41 x 0.01793 = 421.88

Donc, tu peux acheter 23529.41 avec un stoploss a 0.01827

Avec un position size USD de 421.88$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 23529.41 x 0.00034 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 23529.41 x 0.00069 = 16.24

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.24$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 23529.41
  • Taille de position USD 421.88
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16.24
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0294

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
3.85 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
1.9 % 7.88 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 3.85
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
0 % 0 % 0

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.01725
            [stop_loss] => 0.01827
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-09-24 12:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.01708
            [stop_loss] => 0.01827
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-09-24 12:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.01691
            [stop_loss] => 0.01827
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-09-24 12:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.01674
            [stop_loss] => 0.01827
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-09-24 12:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.01657
            [stop_loss] => 0.01827
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-09-24 12:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.0164
            [stop_loss] => 0.01827
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-09-24 12:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.01623
            [stop_loss] => 0.01827
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-09-24 12:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.01606
            [stop_loss] => 0.01827
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-09-24 12:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.01589
            [stop_loss] => 0.01827
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2025-09-24 12:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.01572
            [stop_loss] => 0.01827
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-09-24 12:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.01555
            [stop_loss] => 0.01827
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2025-09-24 12:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.00079
            [max_drawdown] => 0.00066
            [rr_ratio] => 1.2
            [high] => 0.01859000
            [low] => 0.01714000
            [mfe_pct] => 4.41
            [mae_pct] => 3.68
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.2
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-09-24T12:27:13-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-09-24T14:27:13-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.00079
            [max_drawdown] => 0.00066
            [rr_ratio] => 1.2
            [high] => 0.01859000
            [low] => 0.01714000
            [mfe_pct] => 4.41
            [mae_pct] => 3.68
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.2
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-09-24T12:27:13-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-09-24T19:27:13-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 0.01856000
            [high_after] => 0.01859000
            [low_before] => 0.01690000
            [low_after] => 0.01714000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)