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Short Trade on ARKM

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Short Trade on ARKM 25 Sep 2025 at 14:57:20

Take profit at 0.5134 (1.85 %) and Stop Loss at 0.5279 (0.92 %)

Short Trade on ARKM

The 25 Sep 2025 at 14:57:20

With 1653.2433 ARKM at 0.5231$ per unit.

Position size of 864.8116 $

Take profit at 0.5134 (1.85 %) and Stop Loss at 0.5279 (0.92 %)

That's a 2.02 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 70
ML Pullback Score: 5.43
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.57
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.48
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.6
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : range_medium
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.681601

15m : -0.14957

1H : 0.048592

 2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.04
  4. atr: 0.003225982134
Details
  1. score: 1.04
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 0.522323
  4. ema21 : 0.529705
  5. ema50 : 0.538839
  6. ema100 : 0.551369
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00148747
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0139359
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0169512
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0512715
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.263647
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.219531
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.139584
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.109583
  17. rsi : 0.426984
  18. adx : 0.346209
  19. kc_percentage : 0.355012
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0807401
  21. volume_ema_diff : 0.842653
  22. volume_ema1 : 606444.08812528
  23. volume_ema2 : 329114.50769169
  24. chop : 41.6563
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 0.516345
  28. ema21 : 0.519287
  29. ema50 : 0.525502
  30. ema100 : 0.53296
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.0130822
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00566623
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0118276
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0185004
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : -0.162305
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.132243
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0961347
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0727404
  41. rsi : 0.508422
  42. adx : 0.313938
  43. kc_percentage : 0.67488
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0444654
  45. volume_ema_diff : 0.247074
  46. volume_ema1 : 143585.58046318
  47. volume_ema2 : 115137.93383571
  48. chop : 36.705
  49. regime : bear_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 0.518295
  52. ema21 : 0.516029
  53. ema50 : 0.518242
  54. ema100 : 0.521788
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00927077
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00438954
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00426891
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.00251404
  59. all_emas_in_trend : False
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.137026
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0279939
  63. ema_slope_50 : -0.0243209
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.0276528
  65. rsi : 0.665193
  66. adx : 0.337279
  67. kc_percentage : 1.03972
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0249863
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.319759
  70. volume_ema1 : 35103.211821774
  71. volume_ema2 : 51604.08999039
  72. chop : 28.3479
  73. regime : range_medium
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    110636
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00882721
  78. 5m_price: 
    109660
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.681601
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    111714
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0198624
  83. 15m_price: 
    109495
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.14957
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    112781
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0276802
  88. 1H_price: 
    109660
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.048592
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-09-22 10:00:00
                    [1] => 0.5498
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-09-22 13:00:00
                    [1] => 0.534
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-09-22 19:00:00
                    [1] => 0.5513
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-09-22 23:00:00
                    [1] => 0.5324
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-09-23 05:00:00
                    [1] => 0.556
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-09-23 15:00:00
                    [1] => 0.532
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-09-23 22:00:00
                    [1] => 0.5463
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-09-24 00:00:00
                    [1] => 0.5219
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-09-24 10:00:00
                    [1] => 0.5636
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-09-25 13:00:00
                    [1] => 0.5018
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -7.1504613200852
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.2845755280988
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 28
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 12.315663611
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-09-24 17:45:00
                    [1] => 0.5465
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-09-24 20:00:00
                    [1] => 0.5513
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-09-24 22:30:00
                    [1] => 0.5489
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-09-25 02:45:00
                    [1] => 0.5281
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-09-25 05:15:00
                    [1] => 0.5383
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-09-25 05:45:00
                    [1] => 0.5283
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-09-25 08:15:00
                    [1] => 0.5126
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-09-25 10:15:00
                    [1] => 0.5357
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-09-25 13:45:00
                    [1] => 0.5018
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-09-25 14:45:00
                    [1] => 0.5236
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.057295645530933
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.2845755280988
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.3443603029095
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-09-25 08:25:00
                    [1] => 0.5126
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-09-25 08:45:00
                    [1] => 0.53
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-09-25 09:05:00
                    [1] => 0.5207
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-09-25 09:20:00
                    [1] => 0.5309
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-09-25 09:40:00
                    [1] => 0.5201
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-09-25 10:15:00
                    [1] => 0.5357
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-09-25 11:25:00
                    [1] => 0.5239
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-09-25 12:10:00
                    [1] => 0.5285
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-09-25 13:55:00
                    [1] => 0.5018
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-09-25 14:50:00
                    [1] => 0.5236
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.057295645530933
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.2845755280988
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 12
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.3443603029095
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 2

5M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.06%
Dist From Last Low Pct
4.28%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
12 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
4.34%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0
DateTime Price Type
2025-09-25 08:25:00 0.5126 ↓ Low
2025-09-25 08:45:00 0.53 ↑ High
2025-09-25 09:05:00 0.5207 ↓ Low
2025-09-25 09:20:00 0.5309 ↑ High
2025-09-25 09:40:00 0.5201 ↓ Low
2025-09-25 10:15:00 0.5357 ↑ High
2025-09-25 11:25:00 0.5239 ↓ Low
2025-09-25 12:10:00 0.5285 ↑ High
2025-09-25 13:55:00 0.5018 ↓ Low
2025-09-25 14:50:00 0.5236 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.06%
Dist From Last Low Pct
4.28%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
4 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
4.34%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0
DateTime Price Type
2025-09-24 17:45:00 0.5465 ↓ Low
2025-09-24 20:00:00 0.5513 ↑ High
2025-09-24 22:30:00 0.5489 ↑ High
2025-09-25 02:45:00 0.5281 ↓ Low
2025-09-25 05:15:00 0.5383 ↑ High
2025-09-25 05:45:00 0.5283 ↓ Low
2025-09-25 08:15:00 0.5126 ↓ Low
2025-09-25 10:15:00 0.5357 ↑ High
2025-09-25 13:45:00 0.5018 ↓ Low
2025-09-25 14:45:00 0.5236 ↑ High
1H - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-7.15%
Dist From Last Low Pct
4.28%
Bars Since Swing High
28 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
1 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
12.32%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0
DateTime Price Type
2025-09-22 10:00:00 0.5498 ↑ High
2025-09-22 13:00:00 0.534 ↓ Low
2025-09-22 19:00:00 0.5513 ↑ High
2025-09-22 23:00:00 0.5324 ↓ Low
2025-09-23 05:00:00 0.556 ↑ High
2025-09-23 15:00:00 0.532 ↓ Low
2025-09-23 22:00:00 0.5463 ↑ High
2025-09-24 00:00:00 0.5219 ↓ Low
2025-09-24 10:00:00 0.5636 ↑ High
2025-09-25 13:00:00 0.5018 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
25 Sep 2025
14:57:20		 25 Sep 2025
16:35:00		 1 hour

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.5231 0.5279 0.5134 2.02 0.1102
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.5231
  • Stop Loss: 0.5279
  • Take Profit: 0.5134

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.5279 - 0.5231 = 0.0048

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.5231 - 0.5134 = 0.0097

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0097 / 0.0048 = 2.0208

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
864.8116 100 1653.2433 8.65
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0048

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0048 = 1666.67

Taille de position USD = 1666.67 x 0.5231 = 871.84

Donc, tu peux acheter 1666.67 avec un stoploss a 0.5279

Avec un position size USD de 871.84$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 1666.67 x 0.0048 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 1666.67 x 0.0097 = 16.17

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.17$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 1666.67
  • Taille de position USD 871.84
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16.17
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0208

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.85 % 16.04 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.92 % 7.94 $
PNL PNL %
16.04 $ 1.85
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.6882 % 75 % 4

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.5135
            [stop_loss] => 0.5279
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-09-25 16:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.5111
            [stop_loss] => 0.5279
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-09-25 17:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.5087
            [stop_loss] => 0.5279
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-09-25 19:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.5063
            [stop_loss] => 0.5279
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-09-25 19:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0113
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0035999999999999
            [rr_ratio] => 3.14
            [high] => 0.52670000
            [low] => 0.51180000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.16
            [mae_pct] => 0.69
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 3.14
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-09-25T14:57:20-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-09-25T16:57:20-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0175
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0035999999999999
            [rr_ratio] => 4.86
            [high] => 0.52670000
            [low] => 0.50560000
            [mfe_pct] => 3.35
            [mae_pct] => 0.69
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 4.86
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-09-25T14:57:20-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-09-25T21:57:20-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 0.52850000
            [high_after] => 0.52670000
            [low_before] => 0.50180000
            [low_after] => 0.50560000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)