Short Trade on KSM 25 Sep 2025 at 15:05:25
Take profit at 13.2931 (1.24 %) and Stop Loss at 13.5435 (0.62 %)
Short Trade on KSM 25 Sep 2025 at 15:05:25
Take profit at 13.2931 (1.24 %) and Stop Loss at 13.5435 (0.62 %)
Position size of 1290.0176 $
Take profit at 13.2931 (1.24 %) and Stop Loss at 13.5435 (0.62 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Strong Trade
|
0.57 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.53 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.75 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear rules_regime : bear_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : range_medium |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : -0.009971 15m : -0.180721 1H : -0.015947 |
2 |
Indicators:
110617
-0.00767419
109768
-0.009971
111689
-0.0171995
109768
-0.180721
112696
-0.0259833
109768
-0.015947
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-09-22 19:00:00
[1] => 14.36
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-09-22 23:00:00
[1] => 13.95
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-09-23 05:00:00
[1] => 14.52
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-09-23 12:00:00
[1] => 14.51
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-09-23 16:00:00
[1] => 14.13
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-09-23 21:00:00
[1] => 14.34
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-09-24 00:00:00
[1] => 13.85
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-09-24 10:00:00
[1] => 14.49
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-09-25 09:00:00
[1] => 13.88
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-09-25 13:00:00
[1] => 13.01
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -3.1700288184438
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.3051498847041
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 6
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 6.6871637202152
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-09-24 22:30:00
[1] => 14.12
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-09-25 00:45:00
[1] => 13.65
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-09-25 03:00:00
[1] => 13.64
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-09-25 04:45:00
[1] => 13.62
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-09-25 05:30:00
[1] => 13.83
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-09-25 08:15:00
[1] => 13.33
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-09-25 09:15:00
[1] => 13.88
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-09-25 10:15:00
[1] => 13.88
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-09-25 13:45:00
[1] => 13.01
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-09-25 14:45:00
[1] => 13.47
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.2227171492205
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.3051498847041
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.5357417371253
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-09-25 08:10:00
[1] => 13.67
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-09-25 08:25:00
[1] => 13.33
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-09-25 09:15:00
[1] => 13.88
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-09-25 09:40:00
[1] => 13.56
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-09-25 10:15:00
[1] => 13.88
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-09-25 10:40:00
[1] => 13.71
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-09-25 11:25:00
[1] => 13.63
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-09-25 12:00:00
[1] => 13.71
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-09-25 13:55:00
[1] => 13.01
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-09-25 14:55:00
[1] => 13.47
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.2227171492205
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.3051498847041
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 14
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.5357417371253
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 3
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-25 08:10:00 | 13.67 | ↑ High |
| 2025-09-25 08:25:00 | 13.33 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-09-25 09:15:00 | 13.88 | ↑ High |
| 2025-09-25 09:40:00 | 13.56 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-09-25 10:15:00 | 13.88 | ↑ High |
| 2025-09-25 10:40:00 | 13.71 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-09-25 11:25:00 | 13.63 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-09-25 12:00:00 | 13.71 | ↑ High |
| 2025-09-25 13:55:00 | 13.01 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-09-25 14:55:00 | 13.47 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-24 22:30:00 | 14.12 | ↑ High |
| 2025-09-25 00:45:00 | 13.65 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-09-25 03:00:00 | 13.64 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-09-25 04:45:00 | 13.62 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-09-25 05:30:00 | 13.83 | ↑ High |
| 2025-09-25 08:15:00 | 13.33 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-09-25 09:15:00 | 13.88 | ↑ High |
| 2025-09-25 10:15:00 | 13.88 | ↑ High |
| 2025-09-25 13:45:00 | 13.01 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-09-25 14:45:00 | 13.47 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-22 19:00:00 | 14.36 | ↑ High |
| 2025-09-22 23:00:00 | 13.95 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-09-23 05:00:00 | 14.52 | ↑ High |
| 2025-09-23 12:00:00 | 14.51 | ↑ High |
| 2025-09-23 16:00:00 | 14.13 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-09-23 21:00:00 | 14.34 | ↑ High |
| 2025-09-24 00:00:00 | 13.85 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-09-24 10:00:00 | 14.49 | ↑ High |
| 2025-09-25 09:00:00 | 13.88 | ↑ High |
| 2025-09-25 13:00:00 | 13.01 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep 2025 15:05:25 |
25 Sep 2025 16:10:00 |
1 hour |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13.46 | 13.5435 | 13.2931 | 2 | 4.45 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 13.5435 - 13.46 = 0.083499999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 13.46 - 13.2931 = 0.1669
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.1669 / 0.083499999999999 = 1.9988
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1290.0176 | 100 | 95.8408 | 12.90 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.083499999999999 = 95.81
Taille de position USD = 95.81 x 13.46 = 1289.6
Donc, tu peux acheter 95.81 avec un stoploss a 13.5435
Avec un position size USD de 1289.6$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 95.81 x 0.083499999999999 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 95.81 x 0.1669 = 15.99
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.99$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.24 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.62 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 1.24 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2229 % | 35.93 % | 4 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 13.293
[stop_loss] => 13.5435
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2025-09-25 16:10:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 13.25125
[stop_loss] => 13.5435
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2025-09-25 16:35:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 13.2095
[stop_loss] => 13.5435
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2025-09-25 17:30:00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 13.16775
[stop_loss] => 13.5435
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2025-09-25 17:30:00
[result] => win
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 13.126
[stop_loss] => 13.5435
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2025-09-25 19:30:00
[result] => win
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 13.08425
[stop_loss] => 13.5435
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2025-09-25 19:35:00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.24
[max_drawdown] => 0.029999999999999
[rr_ratio] => 8
[high] => 13.49000000
[low] => 13.22000000
[mfe_pct] => 1.78
[mae_pct] => 0.22
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 8
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-09-25T15:05:25-04:00
[end_at] => 2025-09-25T17:05:25-04:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.41
[max_drawdown] => 0.029999999999999
[rr_ratio] => 13.67
[high] => 13.49000000
[low] => 13.05000000
[mfe_pct] => 3.05
[mae_pct] => 0.22
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 13.67
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-09-25T15:05:25-04:00
[end_at] => 2025-09-25T22:05:25-04:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 13.71000000
[high_after] => 13.49000000
[low_before] => 13.01000000
[low_after] => 13.05000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)