Short Trade on KSM 25 Sep 2025 at 15:05:25

Take profit at 13.2931 (1.24 %) and Stop Loss at 13.5435 (0.62 %)

Short Trade on KSM

The 25 Sep 2025 at 15:05:25

With 95.8408 KSM at 13.46$ per unit.

Position size of 1290.0176 $

Take profit at 13.2931 (1.24 %) and Stop Loss at 13.5435 (0.62 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 90
ML Pullback Score: 8
Prediction Score: 3
Prediction 1 Probability
Strong Trade
0.57
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.53
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.75
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : range_medium

BTC Correlation Score

5m : -0.009971

15m : -0.180721

1H : -0.015947

2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0
  4. atr: 0.05564782145
Details
  1. score: 1
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 13.5149
  4. ema21 : 13.6939
  5. ema50 : 13.9641
  6. ema100 : 14.2914
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.00406671
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0130738
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0193488
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0581783
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.217709
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.208007
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.149586
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.114555
  17. rsi : 0.393741
  18. adx : 0.445662
  19. kc_percentage : 0.248041
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0651688
  21. volume_ema_diff : 0.147773
  22. volume_ema1 : 148758.05576548
  23. volume_ema2 : 129605.70999972
  24. chop : 39.3381
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 13.382
  29. ema21 : 13.4586
  30. ema50 : 13.6049
  31. ema100 : 13.7839
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.00582125
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00568969
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0107506
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.0235045
  36. all_emas_in_trend : True
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : -0.186816
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.142649
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.0952246
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.070429
  42. rsi : 0.482744
  43. adx : 0.301553
  44. kc_percentage : 0.516122
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0351288
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.666399
  47. volume_ema1 : 19341.704196152
  48. volume_ema2 : 57978.591585745
  49. chop : 31.1452
  50. regime : bear_high
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 13.3913
  54. ema21 : 13.3551
  55. ema50 : 13.4257
  56. ema100 : 13.5118
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.00512341
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00271475
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00526303
  60. price_ema100_diff : -0.00383867
  61. all_emas_in_trend : False
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.13131
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.0270053
  65. ema_slope_50 : -0.0256042
  66. ema_slope_100 : -0.0266107
  67. rsi : 0.596531
  68. adx : 0.341902
  69. kc_percentage : 1.00145
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.0156218
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.81066
  72. volume_ema1 : 2907.9540438224
  73. volume_ema2 : 15358.431564096
  74. chop : 30.1828
  75. regime : range_medium
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    110617
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00767419
  81. 5m_price:
    109768
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.009971
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    111689
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0171995
  86. 15m_price:
    109768
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.180721
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    112696
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0259833
  91. 1H_price:
    109768
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.015947
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-09-22 19:00:00
                        [1] => 14.36
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-09-22 23:00:00
                        [1] => 13.95
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-09-23 05:00:00
                        [1] => 14.52
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-09-23 12:00:00
                        [1] => 14.51
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-09-23 16:00:00
                        [1] => 14.13
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-09-23 21:00:00
                        [1] => 14.34
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-09-24 00:00:00
                        [1] => 13.85
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-09-24 10:00:00
                        [1] => 14.49
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-09-25 09:00:00
                        [1] => 13.88
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-09-25 13:00:00
                        [1] => 13.01
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -3.1700288184438
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.3051498847041
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 6
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 6.6871637202152
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-09-24 22:30:00
                        [1] => 14.12
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-09-25 00:45:00
                        [1] => 13.65
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-09-25 03:00:00
                        [1] => 13.64
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-09-25 04:45:00
                        [1] => 13.62
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-09-25 05:30:00
                        [1] => 13.83
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-09-25 08:15:00
                        [1] => 13.33
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-09-25 09:15:00
                        [1] => 13.88
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-09-25 10:15:00
                        [1] => 13.88
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-09-25 13:45:00
                        [1] => 13.01
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-09-25 14:45:00
                        [1] => 13.47
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.2227171492205
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.3051498847041
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.5357417371253
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-09-25 08:10:00
                        [1] => 13.67
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-09-25 08:25:00
                        [1] => 13.33
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-09-25 09:15:00
                        [1] => 13.88
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-09-25 09:40:00
                        [1] => 13.56
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-09-25 10:15:00
                        [1] => 13.88
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-09-25 10:40:00
                        [1] => 13.71
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-09-25 11:25:00
                        [1] => 13.63
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-09-25 12:00:00
                        [1] => 13.71
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-09-25 13:55:00
                        [1] => 13.01
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-09-25 14:55:00
                        [1] => 13.47
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.2227171492205
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.3051498847041
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 14
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.5357417371253
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 3

5M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.22%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.31%
Bars Since Swing High
2 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
14 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.54%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0
DateTime Price Type
2025-09-25 08:10:00 13.67 ↑ High
2025-09-25 08:25:00 13.33 ↓ Low
2025-09-25 09:15:00 13.88 ↑ High
2025-09-25 09:40:00 13.56 ↓ Low
2025-09-25 10:15:00 13.88 ↑ High
2025-09-25 10:40:00 13.71 ↓ Low
2025-09-25 11:25:00 13.63 ↓ Low
2025-09-25 12:00:00 13.71 ↑ High
2025-09-25 13:55:00 13.01 ↓ Low
2025-09-25 14:55:00 13.47 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.22%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.31%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
5 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.54%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0
DateTime Price Type
2025-09-24 22:30:00 14.12 ↑ High
2025-09-25 00:45:00 13.65 ↓ Low
2025-09-25 03:00:00 13.64 ↓ Low
2025-09-25 04:45:00 13.62 ↓ Low
2025-09-25 05:30:00 13.83 ↑ High
2025-09-25 08:15:00 13.33 ↓ Low
2025-09-25 09:15:00 13.88 ↑ High
2025-09-25 10:15:00 13.88 ↑ High
2025-09-25 13:45:00 13.01 ↓ Low
2025-09-25 14:45:00 13.47 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-3.17%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.31%
Bars Since Swing High
6 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
6.69%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0
DateTime Price Type
2025-09-22 19:00:00 14.36 ↑ High
2025-09-22 23:00:00 13.95 ↓ Low
2025-09-23 05:00:00 14.52 ↑ High
2025-09-23 12:00:00 14.51 ↑ High
2025-09-23 16:00:00 14.13 ↓ Low
2025-09-23 21:00:00 14.34 ↑ High
2025-09-24 00:00:00 13.85 ↓ Low
2025-09-24 10:00:00 14.49 ↑ High
2025-09-25 09:00:00 13.88 ↑ High
2025-09-25 13:00:00 13.01 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
25 Sep 2025
15:05:25
25 Sep 2025
16:10:00
1 hour

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
13.46 13.5435 13.2931 2 4.45
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 13.46
  • Stop Loss: 13.5435
  • Take Profit: 13.2931

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 13.5435 - 13.46 = 0.083499999999999

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 13.46 - 13.2931 = 0.1669

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.1669 / 0.083499999999999 = 1.9988

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1290.0176 100 95.8408 12.90
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.083499999999999

Taille de position = 8 / 0.083499999999999 = 95.81

Taille de position USD = 95.81 x 13.46 = 1289.6

Donc, tu peux acheter 95.81 avec un stoploss a 13.5435

Avec un position size USD de 1289.6$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 95.81 x 0.083499999999999 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 95.81 x 0.1669 = 15.99

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.99$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 95.81
  • Taille de position USD 1289.6
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 15.99
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9988

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.24 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.62 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 1.24
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.2229 % 35.93 % 4

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 13.293
            [stop_loss] => 13.5435
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-09-25 16:10:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 13.25125
            [stop_loss] => 13.5435
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-09-25 16:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 13.2095
            [stop_loss] => 13.5435
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-09-25 17:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 13.16775
            [stop_loss] => 13.5435
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-09-25 17:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 13.126
            [stop_loss] => 13.5435
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-09-25 19:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 13.08425
            [stop_loss] => 13.5435
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-09-25 19:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.24
            [max_drawdown] => 0.029999999999999
            [rr_ratio] => 8
            [high] => 13.49000000
            [low] => 13.22000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.78
            [mae_pct] => 0.22
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 8
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-09-25T15:05:25-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-09-25T17:05:25-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.41
            [max_drawdown] => 0.029999999999999
            [rr_ratio] => 13.67
            [high] => 13.49000000
            [low] => 13.05000000
            [mfe_pct] => 3.05
            [mae_pct] => 0.22
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 13.67
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-09-25T15:05:25-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-09-25T22:05:25-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 13.71000000
            [high_after] => 13.49000000
            [low_before] => 13.01000000
            [low_after] => 13.05000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)