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Short Trade on AR

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Short Trade on AR 25 Sep 2025 at 15:31:11

Take profit at 5.5715 (1.39 %) and Stop Loss at 5.6893 (0.7 %)

Short Trade on AR

The 25 Sep 2025 at 15:31:11

With 203.8019 AR at 5.65$ per unit.

Position size of 1151.4808 $

Take profit at 5.5715 (1.39 %) and Stop Loss at 5.6893 (0.7 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 80
ML Pullback Score: 8
Prediction Score: 3
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.53
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.54
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.59
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : range_medium
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.701886

15m : 0.018553

1H : -0.115131

 2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.05
  4. atr: 0.0261692016
Details
  1. score: 1.05
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 5.64034
  4. ema21 : 5.71535
  5. ema50 : 5.83728
  6. ema100 : 6.00318
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00171251
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0131249
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0208879
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0588335
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.235121
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.216748
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.159283
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.128708
  17. rsi : 0.430818
  18. adx : 0.45664
  19. kc_percentage : 0.361964
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.07669
  21. volume_ema_diff : 0.648757
  22. volume_ema1 : 304267.1493022
  23. volume_ema2 : 184543.34787777
  24. chop : 43.2987
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 5.60305
  28. ema21 : 5.61211
  29. ema50 : 5.66748
  30. ema100 : 5.74132
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00837886
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00161395
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00977113
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.015906
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : -0.0960669
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.108142
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0887825
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.068752
  41. rsi : 0.532571
  42. adx : 0.279123
  43. kc_percentage : 0.688361
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0372618
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.455513
  46. volume_ema1 : 40540.405589126
  47. volume_ema2 : 74456.184032688
  48. chop : 37.3696
  49. regime : bear_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 5.62529
  52. ema21 : 5.59605
  53. ema50 : 5.59955
  54. ema100 : 5.62939
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00439254
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00522428
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.000624843
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.00365945
  59. all_emas_in_trend : False
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.160711
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0946006
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.0199844
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.00388981
  65. rsi : 0.658574
  66. adx : 0.282398
  67. kc_percentage : 1.04594
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0170885
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.739129
  70. volume_ema1 : 7820.4444422988
  71. volume_ema2 : 29978.238324528
  72. chop : 49.9602
  73. regime : range_medium
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    110509
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00652569
  78. 5m_price: 
    109788
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.701886
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    111606
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0162886
  83. 15m_price: 
    109788
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.018553
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    112696
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0258066
  88. 1H_price: 
    109788
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.115131
    90. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
25 Sep 2025
15:31:11		 25 Sep 2025
16:05:00		 33 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
5.65 5.6893 5.5715 2 1.735
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 5.65
  • Stop Loss: 5.6893
  • Take Profit: 5.5715

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 5.6893 - 5.65 = 0.0393

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 5.65 - 5.5715 = 0.0785

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0785 / 0.0393 = 1.9975

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1151.4808 100 203.8019 11.51
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0393

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0393 = 203.56

Taille de position USD = 203.56 x 5.65 = 1150.11

Donc, tu peux acheter 203.56 avec un stoploss a 5.6893

Avec un position size USD de 1150.11$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 203.56 x 0.0393 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 203.56 x 0.0785 = 15.98

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.98$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 203.56
  • Taille de position USD 1150.11
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 15.98
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9975

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.39 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.7 % 8.01 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 1.39
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
0 % 0 % 0

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 5.5714
            [stop_loss] => 5.6893
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-09-25 16:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 5.55175
            [stop_loss] => 5.6893
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-09-25 16:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 5.5321
            [stop_loss] => 5.6893
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-09-25 16:50:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 5.51245
            [stop_loss] => 5.6893
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-09-25 19:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 5.4928
            [stop_loss] => 5.6893
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-09-25 19:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.127
            [max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
            [rr_ratio] => 100
            [high] => 5.62700000
            [low] => 5.52300000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.25
            [mae_pct] => -0.41
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-09-25T15:31:11-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-09-25T17:31:11-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.169
            [max_drawdown] => 0.00099999999999945
            [rr_ratio] => 100
            [high] => 5.65100000
            [low] => 5.48100000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.99
            [mae_pct] => 0.02
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 169
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-09-25T15:31:11-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-09-25T22:31:11-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 5.71300000
            [high_after] => 5.63600000
            [low_before] => 5.41000000
            [low_after] => 5.48100000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)