Short Trade on AVAX 26 Sep 2025 at 04:17:08

Take profit at 28.1626 (1.34 %) and Stop Loss at 28.7362 (0.67 %)

Short Trade on AVAX

The 26 Sep 2025 at 04:17:08

With 41.8445 AVAX at 28.545$ per unit.

Position size of 1194.4506 $

Take profit at 28.1626 (1.34 %) and Stop Loss at 28.7362 (0.67 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 120
ML Pullback Score: 10
Prediction Score: 3
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.66
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.49
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.66
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_medium

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.660278

15m : -0.177797

1H : -0.065962

2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.05
  4. atr: 0.1274560906
Details
  1. score: 1.05
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 28.4689
  4. ema21 : 29.157
  5. ema50 : 30.5654
  6. ema100 : 31.3971
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00267198
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.023602
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0460749
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0908397
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.373316
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.415809
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.335234
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.203187
  17. rsi : 0.338099
  18. adx : 0.653621
  19. kc_percentage : 0.230901
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0715685
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.344338
  22. volume_ema1 : 5977795.2014183
  23. volume_ema2 : 9117199.8689432
  24. chop : 44.7588
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 28.3176
  29. ema21 : 28.3205
  30. ema50 : 28.6523
  31. ema100 : 29.2089
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.00802752
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.000103033
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0115782
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.0227303
  36. all_emas_in_trend : True
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.00141397
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.0418728
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.0759606
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.0762781
  42. rsi : 0.546937
  43. adx : 0.262009
  44. kc_percentage : 0.749354
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0324461
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.302574
  47. volume_ema1 : 1291193.1436586
  48. volume_ema2 : 1851371.2256029
  49. chop : 51.5155
  50. regime : bear_high
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 28.3607
  54. ema21 : 28.2667
  55. ema50 : 28.2514
  56. ema100 : 28.3505
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.00649542
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00332725
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00054001
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.00685794
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.0471853
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.0315797
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.00753887
  66. ema_slope_100 : -0.00523935
  67. rsi : 0.660517
  68. adx : 0.19414
  69. kc_percentage : 1.05343
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.0173414
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.205759
  72. volume_ema1 : 507213.80582802
  73. volume_ema2 : 638614.49304414
  74. chop : 46.3756
  75. regime : bull_medium
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    109310
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00129338
  81. 5m_price:
    109452
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.660278
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    110005
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00502841
  86. 15m_price:
    109452
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.177797
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    111709
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0202063
  91. 1H_price:
    109452
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.065962
  93. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
26 Sep 2025
04:17:08
26 Sep 2025
05:20:00
1 hour

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
28.545 28.7362 28.1626 2 9.344
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 28.545
  • Stop Loss: 28.7362
  • Take Profit: 28.1626

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 28.7362 - 28.545 = 0.1912

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 28.545 - 28.1626 = 0.3824

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.3824 / 0.1912 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1194.4506 100 41.8445 11.94
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.1912

Taille de position = 8 / 0.1912 = 41.84

Taille de position USD = 41.84 x 28.545 = 1194.32

Donc, tu peux acheter 41.84 avec un stoploss a 28.7362

Avec un position size USD de 1194.32$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 41.84 x 0.1912 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 41.84 x 0.3824 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 41.84
  • Taille de position USD 1194.32
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.34 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.67 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 1.34
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.0245 % 3.66 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 28.1626
            [stop_loss] => 28.7362
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-09-26 05:20:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 28.067
            [stop_loss] => 28.7362
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-09-26 05:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 27.9714
            [stop_loss] => 28.7362
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-09-26 05:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 27.8758
            [stop_loss] => 28.7362
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-09-26 06:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 27.7802
            [stop_loss] => 28.7362
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-09-26 06:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 27.6846
            [stop_loss] => 28.7362
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-09-26 06:10:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 27.589
            [stop_loss] => 28.7362
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-09-26 06:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 27.4934
            [stop_loss] => 28.7362
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-09-26 07:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 27.3978
            [stop_loss] => 28.7362
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2025-09-26 08:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.913
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0069999999999979
            [rr_ratio] => 100
            [high] => 28.55200000
            [low] => 27.63200000
            [mfe_pct] => 3.2
            [mae_pct] => 0.02
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 130.43
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-09-26T04:17:08-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-09-26T06:17:08-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.488
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0069999999999979
            [rr_ratio] => 100
            [high] => 28.55200000
            [low] => 27.05700000
            [mfe_pct] => 5.21
            [mae_pct] => 0.02
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 212.57
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-09-26T04:17:08-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-09-26T11:17:08-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 28.57700000
            [high_after] => 28.55200000
            [low_before] => 27.65000000
            [low_after] => 27.33400000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)