Short Trade on MERL 30 Sep 2025 at 13:51:19

Take profit at 0.3059 (1.48 %) and Stop Loss at 0.3128 (0.74 %)

Short Trade on MERL

The 30 Sep 2025 at 13:51:19

With 3500.8463 MERL at 0.3105$ per unit.

Position size of 1087.0128 $

Take profit at 0.3059 (1.48 %) and Stop Loss at 0.3128 (0.74 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -80
ML Pullback Score: 7.66
Prediction Score: 0
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.8
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.49
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.7
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : range

rules_regime : bull_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_medium

BTC Correlation Score

5m : -0.029814

15m : 0.049145

1H : 0.122913

0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.27
  4. atr: 0.001523441157
Details
  1. score: 1.27
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 0.308018
  4. ema21 : 0.312919
  5. ema50 : 0.314974
  6. ema100 : 0.311127
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00805738
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0156634
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00652536
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.00201745
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.339084
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.289422
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.111867
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0214914
  17. rsi : 0.455054
  18. adx : 0.183012
  19. kc_percentage : 0.416667
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.081637
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.368943
  22. volume_ema1 : 348956.63478246
  23. volume_ema2 : 552972.06928387
  24. chop : 63.4098
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 0.305726
  29. ema21 : 0.305756
  30. ema50 : 0.309327
  31. ema100 : 0.31513
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.0156131
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : -9.60764E-5
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0115451
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.0146933
  36. all_emas_in_trend : True
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.0136326
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.0501846
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.0789905
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.0762879
  42. rsi : 0.574224
  43. adx : 0.189101
  44. kc_percentage : 0.942752
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0350704
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.353006
  47. volume_ema1 : 62530.66977603
  48. volume_ema2 : 96648.135818255
  49. chop : 52.8096
  50. regime : bear_high
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 0.307478
  54. ema21 : 0.305714
  55. ema50 : 0.305273
  56. ema100 : 0.306478
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.00982606
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00577112
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00144358
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.0131206
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.145163
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.0758685
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.022168
  66. ema_slope_100 : -0.000318729
  67. rsi : 0.74742
  68. adx : 0.251346
  69. kc_percentage : 1.27012
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.0196759
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.326388
  72. volume_ema1 : 19629.474277666
  73. volume_ema2 : 29140.65293083
  74. chop : 29.1691
  75. regime : bull_medium
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    113090
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00116435
  81. 5m_price:
    113221
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.029814
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    113500
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00245254
  86. 15m_price:
    113221
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.049145
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    111601
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    0.0145167
  91. 1H_price:
    113221
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    0.122913
  93. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
30 Sep 2025
13:51:19
30 Sep 2025
14:10:00
18 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.3105 0.3128 0.3059 2 0.04468
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.3105
  • Stop Loss: 0.3128
  • Take Profit: 0.3059

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.3128 - 0.3105 = 0.0023

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.3105 - 0.3059 = 0.0046

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0046 / 0.0023 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1087.0128 100 3500.8463 10.87
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0023

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0023 = 3478.26

Taille de position USD = 3478.26 x 0.3105 = 1080

Donc, tu peux acheter 3478.26 avec un stoploss a 0.3128

Avec un position size USD de 1080$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 3478.26 x 0.0023 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 3478.26 x 0.0046 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 3478.26
  • Taille de position USD 1080
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.48 % 16.1 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.74 % 8.05 $
PNL PNL %
-8.05 $ -0.74
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.8374 % 113.06 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.3059
            [entry_price] => 0.3105
            [stop_loss] => 0.31303
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-09-30 14:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.3059
            [entry_price] => 0.3105
            [stop_loss] => 0.31326
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-09-30 14:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.3059
            [entry_price] => 0.3105
            [stop_loss] => 0.31349
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-09-30 15:25:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.3059
            [entry_price] => 0.3105
            [stop_loss] => 0.31395
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-09-30 15:25:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0091
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0028
            [rr_ratio] => 3.25
            [high] => 0.31330000
            [low] => 0.30140000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.93
            [mae_pct] => 0.9
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 3.25
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-09-30T13:51:19-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-09-30T15:51:19-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0149
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0028
            [rr_ratio] => 5.32
            [high] => 0.31330000
            [low] => 0.29560000
            [mfe_pct] => 4.8
            [mae_pct] => 0.9
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 5.32
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-09-30T13:51:19-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-09-30T20:51:19-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 0.31150000
            [high_after] => 0.31330000
            [low_before] => 0.30040000
            [low_after] => 0.29560000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)