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Short Trade on AVAX

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Short Trade on AVAX 04 Oct 2025 at 18:39:27

Take profit at 30.0969 (0.46 %) and Stop Loss at 30.304 (0.23 %)

Short Trade on AVAX

The 04 Oct 2025 at 18:39:27

With 115.8981 AVAX at 30.235$ per unit.

Position size of 3504.1799 $

Take profit at 30.0969 (0.46 %) and Stop Loss at 30.304 (0.23 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 120
ML Pullback Score: 6.3
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.75
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.69
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.57
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bull_moderate

rules_regime : bull_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_low

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.599761

15m : -0.021427

1H : -0.083298

 0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.08
  4. atr: 0.0460174247
Details
  1. score: 1.08
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 30.1385
  4. ema21 : 30.3423
  5. ema50 : 30.5186
  6. ema100 : 30.492
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.0032016
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00671726
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00577605
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.00842849
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.182022
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.149534
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.0721618
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.029847
  17. rsi : 0.441042
  18. adx : 0.20159
  19. kc_percentage : 0.395527
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0294931
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.60268
  22. volume_ema1 : 2023039.7603081
  23. volume_ema2 : 5091714.6449505
  24. chop : 57.2278
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 30.134
  28. ema21 : 30.106
  29. ema50 : 30.2281
  30. ema100 : 30.4887
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00335105
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000927907
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00403896
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.00832401
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.0347942
  38. ema_slope_21 : 0.0135737
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0178749
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0272182
  41. rsi : 0.602097
  42. adx : 0.168019
  43. kc_percentage : 0.869918
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0115568
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.275612
  46. volume_ema1 : 554614.13443333
  47. volume_ema2 : 765631.8823737
  48. chop : 55.0208
  49. regime : range_low
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 30.1498
  52. ema21 : 30.1211
  53. ema50 : 30.0903
  54. ema100 : 30.0924
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.0028253
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000950216
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00102526
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.00473679
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0073686
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.00585527
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.0055719
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.00209086
  65. rsi : 0.670004
  66. adx : 0.158933
  67. kc_percentage : 1.07637
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00643766
  69. volume_ema_diff : 0.637552
  70. volume_ema1 : 287640.11827166
  71. volume_ema2 : 175652.47840773
  72. chop : 30.3993
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    121990
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00186448
  78. 5m_price: 
    122217
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.599761
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    122069
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00195411
  83. 15m_price: 
    122308
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.021427
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    119730
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.0207709
  88. 1H_price: 
    122217
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.083298
    90. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
04 Oct 2025
18:39:27		 04 Oct 2025
20:00:00		 1 hour

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
30.235 30.304 30.0969 2 9.242
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 30.235
  • Stop Loss: 30.304
  • Take Profit: 30.0969

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 30.304 - 30.235 = 0.068999999999999

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 30.235 - 30.0969 = 0.1381

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.1381 / 0.068999999999999 = 2.0014

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
3504.1799 100 115.8981 35.04
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.068999999999999

Taille de position = 8 / 0.068999999999999 = 115.94

Taille de position USD = 115.94 x 30.235 = 3505.45

Donc, tu peux acheter 115.94 avec un stoploss a 30.304

Avec un position size USD de 3505.45$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 115.94 x 0.068999999999999 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 115.94 x 0.1381 = 16.01

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 115.94
  • Taille de position USD 3505.45
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16.01
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0014

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.46 % 16.01 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.23 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16.01 $ 0.46
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.1224 % 53.64 % 2

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 30.097
            [stop_loss] => 30.304
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-04 20:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 30.0625
            [stop_loss] => 30.304
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-04 20:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 30.028
            [stop_loss] => 30.304
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-04 20:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 29.9935
            [stop_loss] => 30.304
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-04 20:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 29.959
            [stop_loss] => 30.304
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-04 20:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 29.9245
            [stop_loss] => 30.304
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-04 20:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 29.89
            [stop_loss] => 30.304
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-04 20:50:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 29.8555
            [stop_loss] => 30.304
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-04 21:20:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 29.821
            [stop_loss] => 30.304
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-04 21:20:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 29.7865
            [stop_loss] => 30.304
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-04 22:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 29.752
            [stop_loss] => 30.304
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-04 22:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.223
            [max_drawdown] => 0.036999999999999
            [rr_ratio] => 6.03
            [high] => 30.27200000
            [low] => 30.01200000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.74
            [mae_pct] => 0.12
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 6.03
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-10-04T18:39:27-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-04T20:39:27-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.419
            [max_drawdown] => 0.84
            [rr_ratio] => 0.5
            [high] => 31.07500000
            [low] => 29.81600000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.39
            [mae_pct] => 2.78
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.5
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-10-04T18:39:27-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-05T01:39:27-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 30.29500000
            [high_after] => 30.69600000
            [low_before] => 29.90900000
            [low_after] => 29.81600000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)