Short Trade on MSTR 08 Oct 2025 at 16:16:40

Take profit at 329.0627 (0.37 %) and Stop Loss at 330.9037 (0.19 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 08 Oct 2025 at 16:16:40

With 13.0366 MSTR at 330.29$ per unit.

Position size of 4305.8594 $

Take profit at 329.0627 (0.37 %) and Stop Loss at 330.9037 (0.19 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -60
ML Pullback Score: 3.58
Prediction Score: 0
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.78
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.74
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.78
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bull_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_low

5m_regime : range_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.422807

15m : 0.016275

1H : -0.059094

0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.34
  4. atr: 0.4091045491
Details
  1. score: 1.34
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 329.444
  4. ema21 : 331.724
  5. ema50 : 338.103
  6. ema100 : 343.403
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00256742
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00687357
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0188681
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0381881
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.0742546
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.103846
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.118988
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0852645
  17. rsi : 0.442171
  18. adx : 0.326738
  19. kc_percentage : 0.389375
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0328441
  21. volume_ema_diff : 0.591446
  22. volume_ema1 : 249926.61403206
  23. volume_ema2 : 157043.66322618
  24. chop : 32.1268
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 329.199
  29. ema21 : 329.035
  30. ema50 : 330.124
  31. ema100 : 331.233
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.00331191
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000498393
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00329952
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.00284944
  36. all_emas_in_trend : False
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.0529724
  39. ema_slope_21 : 0.00881602
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.014946
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.0141604
  42. rsi : 0.55591
  43. adx : 0.213378
  44. kc_percentage : 0.794726
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0131599
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.816181
  47. volume_ema1 : 13756.007297732
  48. volume_ema2 : 74834.792998861
  49. chop : 42.8384
  50. regime : range_low
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 329.49
  54. ema21 : 329.029
  55. ema50 : 328.758
  56. ema100 : 329.667
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.00242626
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00140036
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.000825367
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.00188961
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.0331226
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.0179668
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.00771665
  66. ema_slope_100 : -0.00311954
  67. rsi : 0.666907
  68. adx : 0.276223
  69. kc_percentage : 1.34488
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.0044202
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.820061
  72. volume_ema1 : 4416.0886746584
  73. volume_ema2 : 24542.244912812
  74. chop : 39.8103
  75. regime : range_low
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    123101
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00260689
  81. 5m_price:
    123422
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.422807
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    122408
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00827772
  86. 15m_price:
    123422
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.016275
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    122899
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    0.0042492
  91. 1H_price:
    123422
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.059094
  93. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
08 Oct 2025
16:16:40
08 Oct 2025
18:35:00
2 hours

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
330.29 330.9037 329.0627 2 132.76
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 330.29
  • Stop Loss: 330.9037
  • Take Profit: 329.0627

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 330.9037 - 330.29 = 0.61369999999999

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 330.29 - 329.0627 = 1.2273

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.2273 / 0.61369999999999 = 1.9998

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
4305.8594 100 13.0366 43.06
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.61369999999999

Taille de position = 8 / 0.61369999999999 = 13.04

Taille de position USD = 13.04 x 330.29 = 4306.98

Donc, tu peux acheter 13.04 avec un stoploss a 330.9037

Avec un position size USD de 4306.98$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 13.04 x 0.61369999999999 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 13.04 x 1.2273 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 13.04
  • Taille de position USD 4306.98
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9998

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.37 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.19 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.19
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.1968 % 105.92 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 329.0627
            [entry_price] => 330.29
            [stop_loss] => 330.96507
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-08 22:15:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 329.0627
            [entry_price] => 330.29
            [stop_loss] => 331.02644
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-08 22:15:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 329.0627
            [entry_price] => 330.29
            [stop_loss] => 331.08781
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-08 22:15:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 329.0627
            [entry_price] => 330.29
            [stop_loss] => 331.21055
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-08 22:15:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0
            [max_drawdown] => 0.50999999999999
            [rr_ratio] => 0
            [high] => 330.80000000
            [low] => 330.29000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0
            [mae_pct] => 0.15
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-10-08T16:16:40-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-08T18:16:40-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 5.14
            [max_drawdown] => 0.64999999999998
            [rr_ratio] => 7.91
            [high] => 330.94000000
            [low] => 325.15000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.56
            [mae_pct] => 0.2
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 7.91
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-10-08T16:16:40-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-08T23:16:40-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 331.27000000
            [high_after] => 330.94000000
            [low_before] => 324.20000000
            [low_after] => 328.51000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)