Short Trade on MSTR 08 Oct 2025 at 16:29:03

Take profit at 329.3599 (0.33 %) and Stop Loss at 330.9951 (0.16 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 08 Oct 2025 at 16:29:03

With 14.6771 MSTR at 330.45$ per unit.

Position size of 4850.0397 $

Take profit at 329.3599 (0.33 %) and Stop Loss at 330.9951 (0.16 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 70
ML Pullback Score: 4
Prediction Score: 0
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.79
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.81
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.65
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bull_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_low

5m_regime : range_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.426099

15m : -0.008403

1H : 0.028234

0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.42
  4. atr: 0.3633784664
Details
  1. score: 1.42
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 329.476
  4. ema21 : 331.738
  5. ema50 : 338.109
  6. ema100 : 343.407
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00295567
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00682065
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0188433
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.037731
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.0734524
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.103485
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.118835
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0851884
  17. rsi : 0.445459
  18. adx : 0.326321
  19. kc_percentage : 0.403112
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0329613
  21. volume_ema_diff : 0.591503
  22. volume_ema1 : 249937.62796539
  23. volume_ema2 : 157044.95898304
  24. chop : 32.1358
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 329.199
  29. ema21 : 329.035
  30. ema50 : 330.124
  31. ema100 : 331.233
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.00379794
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000498393
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00329952
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.0023664
  36. all_emas_in_trend : False
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.0529724
  39. ema_slope_21 : 0.00881602
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.014946
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.0141604
  42. rsi : 0.55591
  43. adx : 0.213378
  44. kc_percentage : 0.831536
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0131535
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.816181
  47. volume_ema1 : 13756.007297732
  48. volume_ema2 : 74834.792998861
  49. chop : 42.8384
  50. regime : range_low
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 329.835
  54. ema21 : 329.276
  55. ema50 : 328.888
  56. ema100 : 329.697
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.00186164
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00169972
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00117899
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.00228161
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.0436032
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.0256454
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.0119042
  66. ema_slope_100 : -0.000569815
  67. rsi : 0.679161
  68. adx : 0.308826
  69. kc_percentage : 1.4198
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.00375295
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.912976
  72. volume_ema1 : 1970.0486998482
  73. volume_ema2 : 22638.039300967
  74. chop : 35.8629
  75. regime : range_low
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    123146
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00288924
  81. 5m_price:
    123501
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.426099
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    122410
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00912716
  86. 15m_price:
    123528
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.008403
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    122901
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00488639
  91. 1H_price:
    123501
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    0.028234
  93. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
08 Oct 2025
16:29:03
08 Oct 2025
21:45:00
5 hours

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
330.45 330.9951 329.3599 2 134.53
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 330.45
  • Stop Loss: 330.9951
  • Take Profit: 329.3599

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 330.9951 - 330.45 = 0.54509999999999

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 330.45 - 329.3599 = 1.0901

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.0901 / 0.54509999999999 = 1.9998

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
4850.0397 100 14.6771 48.50
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.54509999999999

Taille de position = 8 / 0.54509999999999 = 14.68

Taille de position USD = 14.68 x 330.45 = 4851.01

Donc, tu peux acheter 14.68 avec un stoploss a 330.9951

Avec un position size USD de 4851.01$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 14.68 x 0.54509999999999 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 14.68 x 1.0901 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 14.68
  • Taille de position USD 4851.01
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9998

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.33 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.16 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.33
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.1483 % 89.88 % 13

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 329.3598
            [stop_loss] => 330.9951
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-08 21:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 329.08725
            [stop_loss] => 330.9951
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-08 21:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 328.8147
            [stop_loss] => 330.9951
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-08 22:15:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 328.54215
            [stop_loss] => 330.9951
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-08 22:15:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0
            [max_drawdown] => 0.35000000000002
            [rr_ratio] => 0
            [high] => 330.80000000
            [low] => 330.45000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0
            [mae_pct] => 0.11
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-10-08T16:29:03-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-08T18:29:03-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 5.3
            [max_drawdown] => 0.49000000000001
            [rr_ratio] => 10.82
            [high] => 330.94000000
            [low] => 325.15000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.6
            [mae_pct] => 0.15
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 10.82
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-10-08T16:29:03-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-08T23:29:03-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 331.27000000
            [high_after] => 330.94000000
            [low_before] => 324.20000000
            [low_after] => 328.51000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)