Short Trade on MSTR 08 Oct 2025 at 16:37:38

Take profit at 329.5099 (0.28 %) and Stop Loss at 330.92 (0.14 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 08 Oct 2025 at 16:37:38

With 17.0203 MSTR at 330.45$ per unit.

Position size of 5624.3616 $

Take profit at 329.5099 (0.28 %) and Stop Loss at 330.92 (0.14 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -60
ML Pullback Score: 4
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.75
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.78
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.54
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bull_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_low

5m_regime : range_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.430377

15m : 0.181099

1H : 0.093159

0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.43
  4. atr: 0.313351118
Details
  1. score: 1.43
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 329.476
  4. ema21 : 331.738
  5. ema50 : 338.109
  6. ema100 : 343.407
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00295567
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00682065
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0188433
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.037731
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.0734524
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.103485
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.118835
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0851884
  17. rsi : 0.445459
  18. adx : 0.326321
  19. kc_percentage : 0.403112
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0329613
  21. volume_ema_diff : 0.591503
  22. volume_ema1 : 249937.62796539
  23. volume_ema2 : 157044.95898304
  24. chop : 32.1358
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 329.475
  29. ema21 : 329.177
  30. ema50 : 330.05
  31. ema100 : 330.535
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.00295811
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000905956
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00264745
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.000258102
  36. all_emas_in_trend : False
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.0462148
  39. ema_slope_21 : 0.00984185
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.0121413
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.0088337
  42. rsi : 0.563099
  43. adx : 0.211042
  44. kc_percentage : 0.825039
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0120125
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.873088
  47. volume_ema1 : 9178.0141540438
  48. volume_ema2 : 72318.505582553
  49. chop : 55.3831
  50. regime : range_low
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 330.057
  54. ema21 : 329.479
  55. ema50 : 329.008
  56. ema100 : 329.727
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.00119065
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00175133
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00143276
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.00219195
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.038911
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.0265351
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.0133627
  66. ema_slope_100 : 0.000660641
  67. rsi : 0.679161
  68. adx : 0.336912
  69. kc_percentage : 1.42955
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.00303992
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.9581
  72. volume_ema1 : 875.57719993253
  73. volume_ema2 : 20897.321169405
  74. chop : 33.8529
  75. regime : range_low
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    123116
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00248294
  81. 5m_price:
    123422
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.430377
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    122460
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00738843
  86. 15m_price:
    123365
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.181099
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    122899
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    0.0042508
  91. 1H_price:
    123422
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    0.093159
  93. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
08 Oct 2025
16:37:38
08 Oct 2025
18:35:00
1 hour

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
330.45 330.92 329.5099 2 132.95
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 330.45
  • Stop Loss: 330.92
  • Take Profit: 329.5099

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 330.92 - 330.45 = 0.47000000000003

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 330.45 - 329.5099 = 0.94009999999997

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.94009999999997 / 0.47000000000003 = 2.0002

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
5624.3616 100 17.0203 56.24
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.47000000000003

Taille de position = 8 / 0.47000000000003 = 17.02

Taille de position USD = 17.02 x 330.45 = 5624.26

Donc, tu peux acheter 17.02 avec un stoploss a 330.92

Avec un position size USD de 5624.26$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 17.02 x 0.47000000000003 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 17.02 x 0.94009999999997 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 17.02
  • Taille de position USD 5624.26
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0002

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.28 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.14 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.14
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.1483 % 104.29 % 3

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 329.5099
            [entry_price] => 330.45
            [stop_loss] => 330.967
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-08 21:25:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 329.5099
            [entry_price] => 330.45
            [stop_loss] => 331.014
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-08 21:25:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 329.5099
            [entry_price] => 330.45
            [stop_loss] => 331.061
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-08 21:25:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 329.5099
            [entry_price] => 330.45
            [stop_loss] => 331.155
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-08 21:25:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0
            [max_drawdown] => 0.49000000000001
            [rr_ratio] => 0
            [high] => 330.94000000
            [low] => 330.45000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0
            [mae_pct] => 0.15
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-10-08T16:37:38-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-08T18:37:38-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 5.3
            [max_drawdown] => 0.49000000000001
            [rr_ratio] => 10.82
            [high] => 330.94000000
            [low] => 325.15000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.6
            [mae_pct] => 0.15
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 10.82
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-10-08T16:37:38-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-08T23:37:38-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 331.27000000
            [high_after] => 330.94000000
            [low_before] => 324.20000000
            [low_after] => 328.51000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)