Short Trade on MSTR 08 Oct 2025 at 17:03:29

Take profit at 329.8563 (0.22 %) and Stop Loss at 330.9268 (0.11 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 08 Oct 2025 at 17:03:29

With 22.4184 MSTR at 330.57$ per unit.

Position size of 7410.8556 $

Take profit at 329.8563 (0.22 %) and Stop Loss at 330.9268 (0.11 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -60
ML Pullback Score: 6
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.81
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.58
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.5
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bull_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_medium

15m_regime : range_low

5m_regime : range_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.413567

15m : 0.130175

1H : -0.223964

0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.41
  4. atr: 0.2378996572
Details
  1. score: 1.41
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 329.714
  4. ema21 : 331.642
  5. ema50 : 337.818
  6. ema100 : 343.155
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00259576
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0058146
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0182829
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.036675
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.0781849
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.102868
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.11798
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0854037
  17. rsi : 0.447899
  18. adx : 0.310059
  19. kc_percentage : 0.413352
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0299049
  21. volume_ema_diff : 0.120289
  22. volume_ema1 : 169601.69722137
  23. volume_ema2 : 151391.01820508
  24. chop : 32.8291
  25. regime : bear_medium
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 329.869
  29. ema21 : 329.418
  30. ema50 : 330.092
  31. ema100 : 330.548
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.00212374
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00136769
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00204067
  35. price_ema100_diff : 6.39798E-5
  36. all_emas_in_trend : False
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.0357465
  39. ema_slope_21 : 0.0110489
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.00996299
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.00792619
  42. rsi : 0.569001
  43. adx : 0.201161
  44. kc_percentage : 0.850037
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0099767
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.894267
  47. volume_ema1 : 7055.7293129084
  48. volume_ema2 : 66731.589334742
  49. chop : 63.923
  50. regime : range_low
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 330.393
  54. ema21 : 329.885
  55. ema50 : 329.275
  56. ema100 : 329.711
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.000533099
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00154023
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00185332
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.0026032
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.0361678
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.0298697
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.0175725
  66. ema_slope_100 : 0.00462101
  67. rsi : 0.677134
  68. adx : 0.398064
  69. kc_percentage : 1.41398
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.00213961
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.825164
  72. volume_ema1 : 3079.1769547236
  73. volume_ema2 : 17611.886331139
  74. chop : 40.3081
  75. regime : range_low
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    123108
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0025223
  81. 5m_price:
    122797
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.413567
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    122549
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00202802
  86. 15m_price:
    122797
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.130175
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    122862
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.000528126
  91. 1H_price:
    122797
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.223964
  93. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
08 Oct 2025
17:03:29
08 Oct 2025
18:35:00
1 hour

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
330.57 330.9268 329.8563 2 132.89
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 330.57
  • Stop Loss: 330.9268
  • Take Profit: 329.8563

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 330.9268 - 330.57 = 0.35680000000002

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 330.57 - 329.8563 = 0.71370000000002

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.71370000000002 / 0.35680000000002 = 2.0003

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
7410.8556 100 22.4184 74.11
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.35680000000002

Taille de position = 8 / 0.35680000000002 = 22.42

Taille de position USD = 22.42 x 330.57 = 7411.38

Donc, tu peux acheter 22.42 avec un stoploss a 330.9268

Avec un position size USD de 7411.38$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 22.42 x 0.35680000000002 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 22.42 x 0.71370000000002 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 22.42
  • Taille de position USD 7411.38
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0003

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.22 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.11 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.11
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.1119 % 103.71 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 329.8563
            [entry_price] => 330.57
            [stop_loss] => 330.96248
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-08 21:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 329.8563
            [entry_price] => 330.57
            [stop_loss] => 330.99816
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-08 21:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 329.8563
            [entry_price] => 330.57
            [stop_loss] => 331.03384
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-08 21:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 329.8563
            [entry_price] => 330.57
            [stop_loss] => 331.1052
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-08 21:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0
            [max_drawdown] => 0.37
            [rr_ratio] => 0
            [high] => 330.94000000
            [low] => 330.57000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0
            [mae_pct] => 0.11
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-10-08T17:03:29-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-08T19:03:29-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 5.42
            [max_drawdown] => 0.37
            [rr_ratio] => 14.65
            [high] => 330.94000000
            [low] => 325.15000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.64
            [mae_pct] => 0.11
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 14.65
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-10-08T17:03:29-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-09T00:03:29-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 331.27000000
            [high_after] => 330.94000000
            [low_before] => 325.89000000
            [low_after] => 325.15000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)