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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 08 Oct 2025 at 17:10:58

Take profit at 330.0505 (0.19 %) and Stop Loss at 331.0097 (0.097 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 08 Oct 2025 at 17:10:58

With 25.0199 MSTR at 330.69$ per unit.

Position size of 8273.8331 $

Take profit at 330.0505 (0.19 %) and Stop Loss at 331.0097 (0.097 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 140
ML Pullback Score: 6.29
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.83
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.72
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.6
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_medium

15m_regime : range_low

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.418443

15m : -0.027439

1H : -0.18649

 0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.52
  4. atr: 0.2131635945
Details
  1. score: 1.52
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 329.738
  4. ema21 : 331.653
  5. ema50 : 337.823
  6. ema100 : 343.157
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00288671
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00577494
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0182642
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.036332
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.077584
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.102597
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.117866
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0853466
  17. rsi : 0.450503
  18. adx : 0.310019
  19. kc_percentage : 0.4247
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0300392
  21. volume_ema_diff : 0.120617
  22. volume_ema1 : 169659.01682137
  23. volume_ema2 : 151397.76168743
  24. chop : 32.8388
  25. regime : bear_medium
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 329.893
  28. ema21 : 329.429
  29. ema50 : 330.097
  30. ema100 : 330.551
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00241459
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00140738
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00202185
  34. price_ema100_diff : 0.00041982
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.0363554
  38. ema_slope_21 : 0.0113252
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.00984433
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.00786634
  41. rsi : 0.575184
  42. adx : 0.201241
  43. kc_percentage : 0.877463
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0101182
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.893418
  46. volume_ema1 : 7113.0489129083
  47. volume_ema2 : 66738.332817095
  48. chop : 63.8235
  49. regime : range_low
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 330.5
  52. ema21 : 330.025
  53. ema50 : 329.382
  54. ema100 : 329.735
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.000573448
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00143971
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00195252
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.00289432
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0306154
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0284197
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.0179364
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.00540177
  65. rsi : 0.691914
  66. adx : 0.421835
  67. kc_percentage : 1.51833
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00186313
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.913764
  70. volume_ema1 : 1406.7361576549
  71. volume_ema2 : 16312.70046183
  72. chop : 44.9572
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    123103
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.000713174
  78. 5m_price: 
    123015
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.418443
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    122553
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00377234
  83. 15m_price: 
    123015
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.027439
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    122866
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00121183
  88. 1H_price: 
    123015
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.18649
    90. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
08 Oct 2025
17:10:58		 08 Oct 2025
20:35:00		 3 hours

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
330.69 331.0097 330.0505 2 133.91
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 330.69
  • Stop Loss: 331.0097
  • Take Profit: 330.0505

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 331.0097 - 330.69 = 0.31970000000001

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 330.69 - 330.0505 = 0.6395

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.6395 / 0.31970000000001 = 2.0003

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
8273.8331 100 25.0199 82.74
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.31970000000001

Taille de position = 8 / 0.31970000000001 = 25.02

Taille de position USD = 25.02 x 330.69 = 8273.86

Donc, tu peux acheter 25.02 avec un stoploss a 331.0097

Avec un position size USD de 8273.86$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 25.02 x 0.31970000000001 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 25.02 x 0.6395 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 25.02
  • Taille de position USD 8273.86
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0003

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.19 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.097 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.19
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.0756 % 78.18 % 14

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 330.0506
            [stop_loss] => 331.0097
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-08 20:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 329.89075
            [stop_loss] => 331.0097
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-08 21:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 329.7309
            [stop_loss] => 331.0097
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-08 21:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 329.57105
            [stop_loss] => 331.0097
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-08 21:25:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 329.4112
            [stop_loss] => 331.0097
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-08 21:25:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 329.25135
            [stop_loss] => 331.0097
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-08 21:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 329.0915
            [stop_loss] => 331.0097
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-08 21:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 328.93165
            [stop_loss] => 331.0097
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-08 22:15:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 328.7718
            [stop_loss] => 331.0097
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-08 22:15:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 328.61195
            [stop_loss] => 331.0097
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-08 22:15:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 328.4521
            [stop_loss] => 331.0097
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-08 22:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.089999999999975
            [max_drawdown] => 0.25
            [rr_ratio] => 0.36
            [high] => 330.94000000
            [low] => 330.60000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.03
            [mae_pct] => 0.08
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.36
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-10-08T17:10:58-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-08T19:10:58-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 5.54
            [max_drawdown] => 0.25
            [rr_ratio] => 22.16
            [high] => 330.94000000
            [low] => 325.15000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.68
            [mae_pct] => 0.08
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 22.16
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-10-08T17:10:58-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-09T00:10:58-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 331.27000000
            [high_after] => 330.94000000
            [low_before] => 327.03000000
            [low_after] => 325.15000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)