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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 08 Oct 2025 at 17:24:16

Take profit at 330.1383 (0.17 %) and Stop Loss at 330.9658 (0.083 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 08 Oct 2025 at 17:24:16

With 29.0031 MSTR at 330.69$ per unit.

Position size of 9591.0424 $

Take profit at 330.1383 (0.17 %) and Stop Loss at 330.9658 (0.083 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 140
ML Pullback Score: 6.77
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.91
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.78
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.52
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_medium

15m_regime : range_low

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.421094

15m : 0.039279

1H : -0.02115

 0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.53
  4. atr: 0.1838882493
Details
  1. score: 1.53
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 329.738
  4. ema21 : 331.653
  5. ema50 : 337.823
  6. ema100 : 343.157
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00288671
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00577494
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0182642
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.036332
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.077584
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.102597
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.117866
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0853466
  17. rsi : 0.450503
  18. adx : 0.310019
  19. kc_percentage : 0.4247
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0300392
  21. volume_ema_diff : 0.120617
  22. volume_ema1 : 169659.01682137
  23. volume_ema2 : 151397.76168743
  24. chop : 32.8388
  25. regime : bear_medium
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 330.052
  28. ema21 : 329.544
  29. ema50 : 330.143
  30. ema100 : 330.723
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00193074
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00154241
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00181401
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.000100185
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.0382588
  38. ema_slope_21 : 0.0144592
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.00802464
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.00795932
  41. rsi : 0.575139
  42. adx : 0.195715
  43. kc_percentage : 0.879441
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.00910644
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.926238
  46. volume_ema1 : 4742.0326086056
  47. volume_ema2 : 64288.843604326
  48. chop : 62.5187
  49. regime : range_low
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 330.568
  52. ema21 : 330.14
  53. ema50 : 329.482
  54. ema100 : 329.773
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.000366931
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00129646
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00199682
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.00278051
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0224016
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0248584
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.0171712
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.00550593
  65. rsi : 0.691914
  66. adx : 0.441694
  67. kc_percentage : 1.5291
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00150919
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.95899
  70. volume_ema1 : 625.21607006886
  71. volume_ema2 : 15245.48281401
  72. chop : 86.9319
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    123088
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    1.3794E-6
  78. 5m_price: 
    123088
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.421094
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    122548
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00440493
  83. 15m_price: 
    123088
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.039279
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    122868
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00179099
  88. 1H_price: 
    123088
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.02115
    90. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
08 Oct 2025
17:24:16		 08 Oct 2025
20:35:00		 3 hours

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
330.69 330.9658 330.1383 2 134.96
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 330.69
  • Stop Loss: 330.9658
  • Take Profit: 330.1383

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 330.9658 - 330.69 = 0.2758

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 330.69 - 330.1383 = 0.55169999999998

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.55169999999998 / 0.2758 = 2.0004

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
9591.0424 100 29.0031 95.91
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.2758

Taille de position = 8 / 0.2758 = 29.01

Taille de position USD = 29.01 x 330.69 = 9593.32

Donc, tu peux acheter 29.01 avec un stoploss a 330.9658

Avec un position size USD de 9593.32$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 29.01 x 0.2758 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 29.01 x 0.55169999999998 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 29.01
  • Taille de position USD 9593.32
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0004

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.17 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.083 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.17
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.0756 % 90.65 % 12

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 330.1384
            [stop_loss] => 330.9658
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-08 20:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 330.0005
            [stop_loss] => 330.9658
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-08 21:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 329.8626
            [stop_loss] => 330.9658
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-08 21:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 329.7247
            [stop_loss] => 330.9658
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-08 21:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 329.5868
            [stop_loss] => 330.9658
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-08 21:25:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 329.4489
            [stop_loss] => 330.9658
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-08 21:25:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 329.311
            [stop_loss] => 330.9658
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-08 21:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 329.1731
            [stop_loss] => 330.9658
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-08 21:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 329.0352
            [stop_loss] => 330.9658
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-08 22:15:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 328.8973
            [stop_loss] => 330.9658
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-08 22:15:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 328.7594
            [stop_loss] => 330.9658
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-08 22:15:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.24000000000001
            [max_drawdown] => 0.25
            [rr_ratio] => 0.96
            [high] => 330.94000000
            [low] => 330.45000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.07
            [mae_pct] => 0.08
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.96
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-10-08T17:24:16-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-08T19:24:16-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 5.54
            [max_drawdown] => 0.25
            [rr_ratio] => 22.16
            [high] => 330.94000000
            [low] => 325.15000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.68
            [mae_pct] => 0.08
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 22.16
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-10-08T17:24:16-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-09T00:24:16-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 331.27000000
            [high_after] => 330.94000000
            [low_before] => 327.48000000
            [low_after] => 325.15000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)