Short Trade on MSTR 08 Oct 2025 at 17:31:20

Take profit at 330.2138 (0.14 %) and Stop Loss at 330.9281 (0.072 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 08 Oct 2025 at 17:31:20

With 33.6009 MSTR at 330.69$ per unit.

Position size of 11111.491 $

Take profit at 330.2138 (0.14 %) and Stop Loss at 330.9281 (0.072 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -60
ML Pullback Score: 6.77
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.85
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.72
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.58
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_medium

15m_regime : range_low

5m_regime : range_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.421711

15m : -0.062133

1H : 0.107817

0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.54
  4. atr: 0.1587257732
Details
  1. score: 1.54
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 329.738
  4. ema21 : 331.653
  5. ema50 : 337.823
  6. ema100 : 343.157
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00288671
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00577494
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0182642
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.036332
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.077584
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.102597
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.117866
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0853466
  17. rsi : 0.450503
  18. adx : 0.310019
  19. kc_percentage : 0.4247
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0300392
  21. volume_ema_diff : 0.120617
  22. volume_ema1 : 169659.01682137
  23. volume_ema2 : 151397.76168743
  24. chop : 32.8388
  25. regime : bear_medium
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 330.18
  29. ema21 : 329.648
  30. ema50 : 330.173
  31. ema100 : 330.79
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.001544
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00161252
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00159097
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.000302731
  36. all_emas_in_trend : False
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.0397298
  39. ema_slope_21 : 0.0172883
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.00607299
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.00736551
  42. rsi : 0.57512
  43. adx : 0.191007
  44. kc_percentage : 0.881443
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.00819573
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.948723
  47. volume_ema1 : 3161.3550724037
  48. volume_ema2 : 61652.855499727
  49. chop : 61.1578
  50. regime : range_low
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 330.612
  54. ema21 : 330.236
  55. ema50 : 329.573
  56. ema100 : 329.792
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.000234805
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00113965
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00201052
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.00272056
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.0165071
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.0215845
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.0163467
  66. ema_slope_100 : 0.00563915
  67. rsi : 0.691944
  68. adx : 0.458565
  69. kc_percentage : 1.53994
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.00122255
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.979947
  72. volume_ema1 : 277.8738089195
  73. volume_ema2 : 13857.316030005
  74. chop : 101.526
  75. regime : range_low
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    123115
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.000917098
  81. 5m_price:
    123228
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.421711
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    122547
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00555771
  86. 15m_price:
    123228
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.062133
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    122871
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00291178
  91. 1H_price:
    123228
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    0.107817
  93. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
08 Oct 2025
17:31:20
08 Oct 2025
18:35:00
1 hour

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
330.69 330.9281 330.2138 2 135.36
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 330.69
  • Stop Loss: 330.9281
  • Take Profit: 330.2138

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 330.9281 - 330.69 = 0.23809999999997

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 330.69 - 330.2138 = 0.47620000000001

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.47620000000001 / 0.23809999999997 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
11111.491 100 33.6009 111.11
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.23809999999997

Taille de position = 8 / 0.23809999999997 = 33.6

Taille de position USD = 33.6 x 330.69 = 11111.18

Donc, tu peux acheter 33.6 avec un stoploss a 330.9281

Avec un position size USD de 11111.18$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 33.6 x 0.23809999999997 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 33.6 x 0.47620000000001 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 33.6
  • Taille de position USD 11111.18
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.14 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.072 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.07
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.0756 % 105 % 7

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 330.2138
            [entry_price] => 330.69
            [stop_loss] => 330.95191
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-08 20:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 330.2138
            [entry_price] => 330.69
            [stop_loss] => 330.97572
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-08 20:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 330.2138
            [entry_price] => 330.69
            [stop_loss] => 330.99953
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-08 20:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 330.2138
            [entry_price] => 330.69
            [stop_loss] => 331.04715
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-08 20:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.24000000000001
            [max_drawdown] => 0.25
            [rr_ratio] => 0.96
            [high] => 330.94000000
            [low] => 330.45000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.07
            [mae_pct] => 0.08
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.96
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-10-08T17:31:20-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-08T19:31:20-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 5.54
            [max_drawdown] => 0.25
            [rr_ratio] => 22.16
            [high] => 330.94000000
            [low] => 325.15000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.68
            [mae_pct] => 0.08
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 22.16
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-10-08T17:31:20-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-09T00:31:20-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 331.27000000
            [high_after] => 330.94000000
            [low_before] => 327.48000000
            [low_after] => 325.15000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)