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Short Trade on MERL

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Short Trade on MERL 08 Oct 2025 at 22:57:33

Take profit at 0.3324 (2.61 %) and Stop Loss at 0.3457 (1.29 %)

Short Trade on MERL

The 08 Oct 2025 at 22:57:33

With 1798.1443 MERL at 0.3413$ per unit.

Position size of 613.7066 $

Take profit at 0.3324 (2.61 %) and Stop Loss at 0.3457 (1.29 %)

That's a 2.02 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.96
Prediction Score: 6
Prediction 1 Probability
Strong Trade
0.51
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.68
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.69
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_medium_confirmed

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_high_confirmed
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.05054

15m : -0.079109

1H : -0.040553

 3

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.24
  4. atr: 0.002966020847
Details
  1. score: 1.24
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 0.333847
  4. ema21 : 0.344518
  5. ema50 : 0.353524
  6. ema100 : 0.354225
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.0223242
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0309752
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0254752
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.03649
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.713418
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.497499
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.245889
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.109716
  17. rsi : 0.455387
  18. adx : 0.302121
  19. kc_percentage : 0.437104
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.118842
  21. volume_ema_diff : 0.630119
  22. volume_ema1 : 647141.81799018
  23. volume_ema2 : 396990.44475235
  24. chop : 25.877
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 0.331601
  28. ema21 : 0.32975
  29. ema50 : 0.337498
  30. ema100 : 0.347795
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.0292465
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00561511
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.022959
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.018677
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.142044
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.0651559
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.15701
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.136569
  41. rsi : 0.643124
  42. adx : 0.359936
  43. kc_percentage : 1.05347
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0618366
  45. volume_ema_diff : 0.455169
  46. volume_ema1 : 174827.04067599
  47. volume_ema2 : 120142.01290264
  48. chop : 27.832
  49. regime : bear_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 0.337713
  52. ema21 : 0.331871
  53. ema50 : 0.328322
  54. ema100 : 0.330627
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.0106193
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0176034
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.0108097
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.0322787
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.41412
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.281077
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.11884
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.0325935
  65. rsi : 0.729712
  66. adx : 0.483669
  67. kc_percentage : 1.24367
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0358175
  69. volume_ema_diff : 0.450248
  70. volume_ema1 : 81368.996167224
  71. volume_ema2 : 56106.94768921
  72. chop : 21.5637
  73. regime : bull_high_confirmed
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    122833
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0113287
  78. 5m_price: 
    121442
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.05054
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    122613
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00820685
  83. 15m_price: 
    121606
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.079109
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    122950
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0122647
  88. 1H_price: 
    121442
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.040553
    90. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
08 Oct 2025
22:57:33		 08 Oct 2025
23:30:00		 32 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.3413 0.3457 0.3324 2.02 0.04346
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.3413
  • Stop Loss: 0.3457
  • Take Profit: 0.3324

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.3457 - 0.3413 = 0.0044

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.3413 - 0.3324 = 0.0089

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0089 / 0.0044 = 2.0227

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
613.7066 100 1798.1443 6.14
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0044

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0044 = 1818.18

Taille de position USD = 1818.18 x 0.3413 = 620.54

Donc, tu peux acheter 1818.18 avec un stoploss a 0.3457

Avec un position size USD de 620.54$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 1818.18 x 0.0044 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 1818.18 x 0.0089 = 16.18

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.18$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 1818.18
  • Taille de position USD 620.54
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16.18
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0227

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.61 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
1.29 % 7.91 $
PNL PNL %
-7.91 $ -1.29
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.5529 % 120.45 % 2

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.3324
            [entry_price] => 0.3413
            [stop_loss] => 0.34614
            [rr_ratio] => 1.84
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-08 23:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.3324
            [entry_price] => 0.3413
            [stop_loss] => 0.34658
            [rr_ratio] => 1.69
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-08 23:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.00090000000000001
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0053
            [rr_ratio] => 0.17
            [high] => 0.34660000
            [low] => 0.34040000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.26
            [mae_pct] => 1.55
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.17
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-10-08T22:57:33-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-09T00:57:33-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0074
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0054
            [rr_ratio] => 1.37
            [high] => 0.34670000
            [low] => 0.33390000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.17
            [mae_pct] => 1.58
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.37
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-10-08T22:57:33-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-09T05:57:33-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 0.34400000
            [high_after] => 0.34670000
            [low_before] => 0.31460000
            [low_after] => 0.33390000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)