Short Trade on MERL 08 Oct 2025 at 23:09:45

Take profit at 0.3333 (2.63 %) and Stop Loss at 0.3468 (1.31 %)

Short Trade on MERL

The 08 Oct 2025 at 23:09:45

With 1780.5634 MERL at 0.3423$ per unit.

Position size of 609.4868 $

Take profit at 0.3333 (2.63 %) and Stop Loss at 0.3468 (1.31 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.5
Prediction Score: 4
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.65
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.55
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.75
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_medium_confirmed

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_high

5m_regime : bull_high

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.062054

15m : -0.038406

1H : -0.083108

3

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.17
  4. atr: 0.002995306682
Details
  1. score: 1.17
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 0.335457
  4. ema21 : 0.344275
  5. ema50 : 0.353038
  6. ema100 : 0.353776
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.0203969
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0256127
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.024821
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0324409
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.644209
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.485512
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.250052
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.113523
  17. rsi : 0.463027
  18. adx : 0.292055
  19. kc_percentage : 0.464039
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.110502
  21. volume_ema_diff : 0.21841
  22. volume_ema1 : 473230.88151575
  23. volume_ema2 : 388400.35543523
  24. chop : 26.5911
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 0.333757
  29. ema21 : 0.330899
  30. ema50 : 0.337698
  31. ema100 : 0.347743
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.0255951
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00863719
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0201328
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.0156524
  36. all_emas_in_trend : False
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.222037
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.0111921
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.131255
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.124565
  42. rsi : 0.659945
  43. adx : 0.361327
  44. kc_percentage : 1.05744
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0600829
  46. volume_ema_diff : 0.515203
  47. volume_ema1 : 192421.56427724
  48. volume_ema2 : 126993.85741633
  49. chop : 28.1574
  50. regime : range_high
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 0.339508
  54. ema21 : 0.333751
  55. ema50 : 0.32947
  56. ema100 : 0.331412
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.00822135
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.01725
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.0129943
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.032852
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.442102
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.31788
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.146815
  66. ema_slope_100 : 0.0481047
  67. rsi : 0.715611
  68. adx : 0.518264
  69. kc_percentage : 1.16504
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.0359657
  71. volume_ema_diff : 0.169926
  72. volume_ema1 : 66456.159486841
  73. volume_ema2 : 56803.690844051
  74. chop : 23.5077
  75. regime : bull_high
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    122827
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0079651
  81. 5m_price:
    121849
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.062054
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    122630
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0063647
  86. 15m_price:
    121849
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.038406
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    122899
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00853983
  91. 1H_price:
    121849
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.083108
  93. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
08 Oct 2025
23:09:45
09 Oct 2025
11:10:00
12 hours

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.3423 0.3468 0.3333 2 0.0435
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.3423
  • Stop Loss: 0.3468
  • Take Profit: 0.3333

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.3468 - 0.3423 = 0.0045

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.3423 - 0.3333 = 0.009

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.009 / 0.0045 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
609.4868 100 1780.5634 6.09
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0045

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0045 = 1777.78

Taille de position USD = 1777.78 x 0.3423 = 608.53

Donc, tu peux acheter 1777.78 avec un stoploss a 0.3468

Avec un position size USD de 608.53$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 1777.78 x 0.0045 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 1777.78 x 0.009 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 1777.78
  • Taille de position USD 608.53
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.63 % 16.03 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
1.31 % 8.01 $
PNL PNL %
-8.01 $ -1.31
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.5776 % 120.01 % 23

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0019
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0043
            [rr_ratio] => 0.44
            [high] => 0.34660000
            [low] => 0.34040000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.56
            [mae_pct] => 1.26
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.44
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-10-08T23:09:45-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-09T01:09:45-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0084
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0044
            [rr_ratio] => 1.91
            [high] => 0.34670000
            [low] => 0.33390000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.45
            [mae_pct] => 1.29
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.91
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-10-08T23:09:45-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-09T06:09:45-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 0.34400000
            [high_after] => 0.34670000
            [low_before] => 0.31460000
            [low_after] => 0.33390000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)