Short Trade on MERL 08 Oct 2025 at 23:29:46

Take profit at 0.3354 (2.41 %) and Stop Loss at 0.3478 (1.19 %)

Short Trade on MERL

The 08 Oct 2025 at 23:29:46

With 1935.5345 MERL at 0.3437$ per unit.

Position size of 665.2432 $

Take profit at 0.3354 (2.41 %) and Stop Loss at 0.3478 (1.19 %)

That's a 2.02 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 40
ML Pullback Score: 3.12
Prediction Score: 4
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.78
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.68
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.62
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_high

5m_regime : bull_high

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.045344

15m : -0.054553

1H : -0.036733

3

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.1
  4. atr: 0.002755483483
Details
  1. score: 1.1
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 0.335737
  4. ema21 : 0.344402
  5. ema50 : 0.353093
  6. ema100 : 0.353804
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.0237158
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0251598
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0246122
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0285598
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.637791
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.482611
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.248795
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.112879
  17. rsi : 0.473012
  18. adx : 0.290153
  19. kc_percentage : 0.497567
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.111914
  21. volume_ema_diff : 0.283204
  22. volume_ema1 : 502872.01552858
  23. volume_ema2 : 391887.54767204
  24. chop : 26.6305
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 0.335761
  29. ema21 : 0.332076
  30. ema50 : 0.33792
  31. ema100 : 0.347517
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.0236419
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.011099
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0172944
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.010986
  36. all_emas_in_trend : False
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.30315
  39. ema_slope_21 : 0.0456406
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.102876
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.110011
  42. rsi : 0.669589
  43. adx : 0.366332
  44. kc_percentage : 1.08463
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0578579
  46. volume_ema_diff : 0.149777
  47. volume_ema1 : 141085.05009831
  48. volume_ema2 : 122706.34358452
  49. chop : 26.5372
  50. regime : range_high
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 0.341843
  54. ema21 : 0.336826
  55. ema50 : 0.331509
  56. ema100 : 0.332113
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.00543197
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0148936
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.0160385
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.0348878
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.321836
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.301318
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.167119
  66. ema_slope_100 : 0.0678275
  67. rsi : 0.741126
  68. adx : 0.567415
  69. kc_percentage : 1.09825
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.031641
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.4473
  72. volume_ema1 : 28431.528375269
  73. volume_ema2 : 51441.225713552
  74. chop : 26.1307
  75. regime : bull_high
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    122684
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00596862
  81. 5m_price:
    121952
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.045344
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    122575
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00547093
  86. 15m_price:
    121905
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.054553
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    122901
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00771821
  91. 1H_price:
    121952
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.036733
  93. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
08 Oct 2025
23:29:46
09 Oct 2025
04:45:00
5 hours

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.3437 0.3478 0.3354 2.02 0.04387
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.3437
  • Stop Loss: 0.3478
  • Take Profit: 0.3354

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.3478 - 0.3437 = 0.0041

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.3437 - 0.3354 = 0.0083

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0083 / 0.0041 = 2.0244

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
665.2432 100 1935.5345 6.65
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0041

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0041 = 1951.22

Taille de position USD = 1951.22 x 0.3437 = 670.63

Donc, tu peux acheter 1951.22 avec un stoploss a 0.3478

Avec un position size USD de 670.63$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 1951.22 x 0.0041 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 1951.22 x 0.0083 = 16.2

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.2$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 1951.22
  • Taille de position USD 670.63
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16.2
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0244

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.41 % 16.06 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
1.19 % 7.94 $
PNL PNL %
16.06 $ 2.41
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.8729 % 73.17 % 21

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.3355
            [stop_loss] => 0.3478
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 04:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0042
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0029
            [rr_ratio] => 1.45
            [high] => 0.34660000
            [low] => 0.33950000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.22
            [mae_pct] => 0.84
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.45
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-10-08T23:29:46-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-09T01:29:46-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0098
            [max_drawdown] => 0.003
            [rr_ratio] => 3.27
            [high] => 0.34670000
            [low] => 0.33390000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.85
            [mae_pct] => 0.87
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 3.27
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-10-08T23:29:46-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-09T06:29:46-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 0.34560000
            [high_after] => 0.34670000
            [low_before] => 0.31460000
            [low_after] => 0.33390000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)