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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 09 Oct 2025 at 00:24:33

Take profit at 326.571 (0.18 %) and Stop Loss at 327.4395 (0.088 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 09 Oct 2025 at 00:24:33

With 27.6332 MSTR at 327.15$ per unit.

Position size of 9040.1935 $

Take profit at 326.571 (0.18 %) and Stop Loss at 327.4395 (0.088 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 140
ML Pullback Score: 10
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.99
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.59
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.65
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_medium

15m_regime : bear_low

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.132769

15m : 0.024673

1H : 0.055891

 1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.21
  4. atr: 0.1930047191
Details
  1. score: 1.21
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 328.441
  4. ema21 : 330.107
  5. ema50 : 335.584
  6. ema100 : 341.271
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.00393254
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00504546
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0163206
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0413788
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.0265588
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.067951
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.0991242
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0799073
  17. rsi : 0.392089
  18. adx : 0.275596
  19. kc_percentage : 0.116766
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0222461
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.801511
  22. volume_ema1 : 23385.216530774
  23. volume_ema2 : 117816.2265226
  24. chop : 55.2295
  25. regime : bear_medium
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 326.886
  28. ema21 : 327.926
  29. ema50 : 329.036
  30. ema100 : 329.895
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.000807089
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00317246
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00337423
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.00832216
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : -0.0833737
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.057011
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0312282
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0191556
  41. rsi : 0.373469
  42. adx : 0.268863
  43. kc_percentage : 0.125174
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.00580524
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.969938
  46. volume_ema1 : 676.21737217335
  47. volume_ema2 : 22494.770971917
  48. chop : 9.53433
  49. regime : bear_low
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 326.576
  52. ema21 : 326.639
  53. ema50 : 327.659
  54. ema100 : 328.555
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00175564
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.000193735
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00311193
  58. price_ema100_diff : -0.00427693
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0168626
  62. ema_slope_21 : -0.0131873
  63. ema_slope_50 : -0.021599
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.0159523
  65. rsi : 0.561936
  66. adx : 0.449189
  67. kc_percentage : 1.20583
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00234169
  69. volume_ema_diff : 3.84541
  70. volume_ema1 : 7451.8299131264
  71. volume_ema2 : 1537.9141726835
  72. chop : 11.2345
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    122560
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00316581
  78. 5m_price: 
    122172
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.132769
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    122448
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00332462
  83. 15m_price: 
    122041
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.024673
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    122916
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00605385
  88. 1H_price: 
    122172
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.055891
    90. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
09 Oct 2025
00:24:33		 09 Oct 2025
02:20:00		 1 hour

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
327.15 327.4395 326.571 2 133.41
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 327.15
  • Stop Loss: 327.4395
  • Take Profit: 326.571

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 327.4395 - 327.15 = 0.28950000000003

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 327.15 - 326.571 = 0.57899999999995

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.57899999999995 / 0.28950000000003 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
9040.1935 100 27.6332 90.40
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.28950000000003

Taille de position = 8 / 0.28950000000003 = 27.63

Taille de position USD = 27.63 x 327.15 = 9039.15

Donc, tu peux acheter 27.63 avec un stoploss a 327.4395

Avec un position size USD de 9039.15$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 27.63 x 0.28950000000003 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 27.63 x 0.57899999999995 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 27.63
  • Taille de position USD 9039.15
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.18 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.088 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.18
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.0611 % 69.04 % 10

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 326.571
            [stop_loss] => 327.4395
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 02:20:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 326.42625
            [stop_loss] => 327.4395
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 02:20:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 326.2815
            [stop_loss] => 327.4395
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 02:20:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 326.13675
            [stop_loss] => 327.4395
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 02:20:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 325.992
            [stop_loss] => 327.4395
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 02:20:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 325.84725
            [stop_loss] => 327.4395
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 02:20:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 325.7025
            [stop_loss] => 327.4395
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 02:55:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 325.55775
            [stop_loss] => 327.4395
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 02:55:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 325.413
            [stop_loss] => 327.4395
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 02:55:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 325.26825
            [stop_loss] => 327.4395
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 02:55:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 325.1235
            [stop_loss] => 327.4395
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 04:25:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.37
            [max_drawdown] => 0.20000000000005
            [rr_ratio] => 6.85
            [high] => 327.35000000
            [low] => 325.78000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.42
            [mae_pct] => 0.06
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 6.85
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-10-09T00:24:33-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-09T02:24:33-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 4.09
            [max_drawdown] => 0.20000000000005
            [rr_ratio] => 20.45
            [high] => 327.35000000
            [low] => 323.06000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.25
            [mae_pct] => 0.06
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 20.45
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-10-09T00:24:33-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-09T07:24:33-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 330.80000000
            [high_after] => 327.35000000
            [low_before] => 325.15000000
            [low_after] => 323.06000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)