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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 09 Oct 2025 at 00:31:24

Take profit at 326.651 (0.15 %) and Stop Loss at 327.3995 (0.076 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 09 Oct 2025 at 00:31:24

With 32.0662 MSTR at 327.15$ per unit.

Position size of 10490.4539 $

Take profit at 326.651 (0.15 %) and Stop Loss at 327.3995 (0.076 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 140
ML Pullback Score: 10
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.83
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.66
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.58
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_medium

15m_regime : bear_low

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.114674

15m : -0.01821

1H : -0.094695

 1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.21
  4. atr: 0.1663226411
Details
  1. score: 1.21
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 328.441
  4. ema21 : 330.107
  5. ema50 : 335.584
  6. ema100 : 341.271
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.00393254
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00504546
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0163206
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0413788
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.0265588
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.067951
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.0991242
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0799073
  17. rsi : 0.392089
  18. adx : 0.275596
  19. kc_percentage : 0.116766
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0222461
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.801511
  22. volume_ema1 : 23385.216530774
  23. volume_ema2 : 117816.2265226
  24. chop : 55.2295
  25. regime : bear_medium
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 326.998
  28. ema21 : 327.886
  29. ema50 : 328.976
  30. ema100 : 329.848
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.000464409
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00270934
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00331394
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0081803
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : -0.0764485
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.0561626
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0318518
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0197047
  41. rsi : 0.408409
  42. adx : 0.254829
  43. kc_percentage : 0.138775
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.00571991
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.761781
  46. volume_ema1 : 5346.0810481156
  47. volume_ema2 : 22441.889645664
  48. chop : 15.1536
  49. regime : bear_low
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 326.783
  52. ema21 : 326.728
  53. ema50 : 327.637
  54. ema100 : 328.626
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.0011229
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000166921
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00277316
  58. price_ema100_diff : -0.0044918
  59. all_emas_in_trend : False
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0292264
  62. ema_slope_21 : -0.00206274
  63. ema_slope_50 : -0.0163097
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.0142067
  65. rsi : 0.561823
  66. adx : 0.410672
  67. kc_percentage : 1.21328
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0018967
  69. volume_ema_diff : 1.34946
  70. volume_ema1 : 3311.9244058339
  71. volume_ema2 : 1409.6495930646
  72. chop : 9.83956
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    122571
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00316211
  78. 5m_price: 
    122184
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.114674
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    122455
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00221368
  83. 15m_price: 
    122184
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.01821
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    122917
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00596373
  88. 1H_price: 
    122184
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.094695
    90. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
09 Oct 2025
00:31:24		 09 Oct 2025
02:20:00		 1 hour

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
327.15 327.3995 326.651 2 133.25
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 327.15
  • Stop Loss: 327.3995
  • Take Profit: 326.651

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 327.3995 - 327.15 = 0.24950000000001

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 327.15 - 326.651 = 0.49899999999997

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.49899999999997 / 0.24950000000001 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
10490.4539 100 32.0662 104.90
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.24950000000001

Taille de position = 8 / 0.24950000000001 = 32.06

Taille de position USD = 32.06 x 327.15 = 10488.43

Donc, tu peux acheter 32.06 avec un stoploss a 327.3995

Avec un position size USD de 10488.43$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 32.06 x 0.24950000000001 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 32.06 x 0.49899999999997 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 32.06
  • Taille de position USD 10488.43
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.15 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.076 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.15
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.0611 % 80.08 % 8

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 326.651
            [stop_loss] => 327.3995
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 02:20:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 326.52625
            [stop_loss] => 327.3995
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 02:20:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 326.4015
            [stop_loss] => 327.3995
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 02:20:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 326.27675
            [stop_loss] => 327.3995
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 02:20:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 326.152
            [stop_loss] => 327.3995
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 02:20:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 326.02725
            [stop_loss] => 327.3995
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 02:20:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 325.9025
            [stop_loss] => 327.3995
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 02:20:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 325.77775
            [stop_loss] => 327.3995
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 02:55:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 325.653
            [stop_loss] => 327.3995
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 02:55:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 325.52825
            [stop_loss] => 327.3995
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 02:55:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 325.4035
            [stop_loss] => 327.3995
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 02:55:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.37
            [max_drawdown] => 0.20000000000005
            [rr_ratio] => 6.85
            [high] => 327.35000000
            [low] => 325.78000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.42
            [mae_pct] => 0.06
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 6.85
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-10-09T00:31:24-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-09T02:31:24-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 4.09
            [max_drawdown] => 0.25
            [rr_ratio] => 16.36
            [high] => 327.40000000
            [low] => 323.06000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.25
            [mae_pct] => 0.08
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 16.36
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-10-09T00:31:24-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-09T07:31:24-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 330.80000000
            [high_after] => 327.35000000
            [low_before] => 325.15000000
            [low_after] => 323.06000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)