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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 09 Oct 2025 at 00:44:22

Take profit at 326.6869 (0.14 %) and Stop Loss at 327.3965 (0.072 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 09 Oct 2025 at 00:44:22

With 33.8222 MSTR at 327.16$ per unit.

Position size of 11065.263 $

Take profit at 326.6869 (0.14 %) and Stop Loss at 327.3965 (0.072 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 140
ML Pullback Score: 8.21
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.9
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.66
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.73
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_medium

15m_regime : bear_low

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.108435

15m : 0.009286

1H : -0.063433

 1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.14
  4. atr: 0.1576874706
Details
  1. score: 1.14
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 328.443
  4. ema21 : 330.108
  5. ema50 : 335.584
  6. ema100 : 341.271
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.00390816
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00504214
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0163191
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.04135
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.0265082
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.0679283
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.0991146
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0799025
  17. rsi : 0.392389
  18. adx : 0.274946
  19. kc_percentage : 0.120512
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0223921
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.790186
  22. volume_ema1 : 24753.152130774
  23. volume_ema2 : 117977.1601226
  24. chop : 55.2392
  25. regime : bear_medium
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 326.998
  28. ema21 : 327.886
  29. ema50 : 328.976
  30. ema100 : 329.848
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00049499
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00270934
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00331394
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.00814999
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : -0.0764485
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.0561626
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0318518
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0197047
  41. rsi : 0.408409
  42. adx : 0.254829
  43. kc_percentage : 0.144119
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.00571973
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.761781
  46. volume_ema1 : 5346.0810481156
  47. volume_ema2 : 22441.889645664
  48. chop : 15.1536
  49. regime : bear_low
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 326.917
  52. ema21 : 326.802
  53. ema50 : 327.602
  54. ema100 : 328.589
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.000742834
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000350574
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00244281
  58. price_ema100_diff : -0.0043509
  59. all_emas_in_trend : False
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.033294
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.00541064
  63. ema_slope_50 : -0.0119499
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.0121903
  65. rsi : 0.564081
  66. adx : 0.379887
  67. kc_percentage : 1.13738
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00178081
  69. volume_ema_diff : 0.942256
  70. volume_ema1 : 2839.9020025929
  71. volume_ema2 : 1462.1665785998
  72. chop : 6.70482
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    122543
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00436712
  78. 5m_price: 
    122008
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.108435
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    122452
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00328796
  83. 15m_price: 
    122049
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.009286
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    122913
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00736505
  88. 1H_price: 
    122008
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.063433
    90. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
09 Oct 2025
00:44:22		 09 Oct 2025
01:50:00		 1 hour

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
327.16 327.3965 326.6869 2 133.25
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 327.16
  • Stop Loss: 327.3965
  • Take Profit: 326.6869

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 327.3965 - 327.16 = 0.23649999999998

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 327.16 - 326.6869 = 0.47310000000004

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.47310000000004 / 0.23649999999998 = 2.0004

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
11065.263 100 33.8222 110.65
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.23649999999998

Taille de position = 8 / 0.23649999999998 = 33.83

Taille de position USD = 33.83 x 327.16 = 11067.82

Donc, tu peux acheter 33.83 avec un stoploss a 327.3965

Avec un position size USD de 11067.82$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 33.83 x 0.23649999999998 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 33.83 x 0.47310000000004 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 33.83
  • Taille de position USD 11067.82
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0004

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.14 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.072 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.14
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
0 % 0 % 5

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 326.687
            [stop_loss] => 327.3965
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 01:50:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 326.56875
            [stop_loss] => 327.3965
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 02:20:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 326.4505
            [stop_loss] => 327.3965
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 02:20:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 326.33225
            [stop_loss] => 327.3965
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 02:20:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 326.214
            [stop_loss] => 327.3965
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 02:20:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 326.09575
            [stop_loss] => 327.3965
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 02:20:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 325.9775
            [stop_loss] => 327.3965
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 02:20:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 325.85925
            [stop_loss] => 327.3965
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 02:20:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 325.741
            [stop_loss] => 327.3965
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 02:55:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 325.62275
            [stop_loss] => 327.3965
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 02:55:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 325.5045
            [stop_loss] => 327.3965
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 02:55:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.3800000000001
            [max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
            [rr_ratio] => 100
            [high] => 327.16000000
            [low] => 325.78000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.42
            [mae_pct] => 0
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-10-09T00:44:22-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-09T02:44:22-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 4.1
            [max_drawdown] => 1.11
            [rr_ratio] => 3.69
            [high] => 328.27000000
            [low] => 323.06000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.25
            [mae_pct] => 0.34
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 3.69
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-10-09T00:44:22-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-09T07:44:22-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 330.80000000
            [high_after] => 327.16000000
            [low_before] => 325.15000000
            [low_after] => 323.06000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)