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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 09 Oct 2025 at 00:56:29

Take profit at 326.7812 (0.12 %) and Stop Loss at 327.3494 (0.058 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 09 Oct 2025 at 00:56:29

With 42.2391 MSTR at 327.16$ per unit.

Position size of 13818.9373 $

Take profit at 326.7812 (0.12 %) and Stop Loss at 327.3494 (0.058 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 140
ML Pullback Score: 8.21
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.97
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.76
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.61
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_medium

15m_regime : range_low

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.112112

15m : -0.066624

1H : 0.077095

 1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.15
  4. atr: 0.126265377
Details
  1. score: 1.15
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 328.443
  4. ema21 : 330.108
  5. ema50 : 335.584
  6. ema100 : 341.271
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.00390816
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00504214
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0163191
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.04135
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.0265082
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.0679283
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.0991146
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0799025
  17. rsi : 0.392389
  18. adx : 0.274946
  19. kc_percentage : 0.120512
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0223921
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.790186
  22. volume_ema1 : 24753.152130774
  23. volume_ema2 : 117977.1601226
  24. chop : 55.2392
  25. regime : bear_medium
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 327.032
  28. ema21 : 327.821
  29. ema50 : 328.894
  30. ema100 : 329.714
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.000391058
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00240717
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00326433
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.00774618
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : -0.0708552
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.0554557
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0323286
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0197208
  41. rsi : 0.409396
  42. adx : 0.245576
  43. kc_percentage : 0.156429
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.00536785
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.79396
  46. volume_ema1 : 4476.0110987437
  47. volume_ema2 : 21724.062485098
  48. chop : 20.4674
  49. regime : range_low
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 327.035
  52. ema21 : 326.891
  53. ema50 : 327.552
  54. ema100 : 328.506
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.000380193
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000441105
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00201892
  58. price_ema100_diff : -0.00409856
  59. all_emas_in_trend : False
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0281774
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.00998161
  63. ema_slope_50 : -0.00787928
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.0100783
  65. rsi : 0.564081
  66. adx : 0.348582
  67. kc_percentage : 1.14755
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00129822
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.351134
  70. volume_ema1 : 841.4524452127
  71. volume_ema2 : 1296.804666423
  72. chop : 20.1761
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    122489
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00323591
  78. 5m_price: 
    122093
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.112112
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    122444
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0030316
  83. 15m_price: 
    122073
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.066624
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    122915
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00668871
  88. 1H_price: 
    122093
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.077095
    90. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
09 Oct 2025
00:56:29		 09 Oct 2025
01:50:00		 53 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
327.16 327.3494 326.7812 2 133.34
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 327.16
  • Stop Loss: 327.3494
  • Take Profit: 326.7812

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 327.3494 - 327.16 = 0.18939999999998

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 327.16 - 326.7812 = 0.37880000000001

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.37880000000001 / 0.18939999999998 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
13818.9373 100 42.2391 138.19
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.18939999999998

Taille de position = 8 / 0.18939999999998 = 42.24

Taille de position USD = 42.24 x 327.16 = 13819.24

Donc, tu peux acheter 42.24 avec un stoploss a 327.3494

Avec un position size USD de 13819.24$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 42.24 x 0.18939999999998 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 42.24 x 0.37880000000001 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 42.24
  • Taille de position USD 13819.24
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.12 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.058 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.12
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
0 % 0 % 2

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 326.7812
            [stop_loss] => 327.3494
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 01:50:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 326.6865
            [stop_loss] => 327.3494
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 01:50:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 326.5918
            [stop_loss] => 327.3494
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 02:20:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 326.4971
            [stop_loss] => 327.3494
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 02:20:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 326.4024
            [stop_loss] => 327.3494
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 02:20:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 326.3077
            [stop_loss] => 327.3494
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 02:20:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 326.213
            [stop_loss] => 327.3494
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 02:20:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 326.1183
            [stop_loss] => 327.3494
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 02:20:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 326.0236
            [stop_loss] => 327.3494
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 02:20:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 325.9289
            [stop_loss] => 327.3494
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 02:20:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 325.8342
            [stop_loss] => 327.3494
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 02:20:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.95
            [max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
            [rr_ratio] => 100
            [high] => 327.16000000
            [low] => 325.21000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.6
            [mae_pct] => 0
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-10-09T00:56:29-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-09T02:56:29-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 4.1
            [max_drawdown] => 1.11
            [rr_ratio] => 3.69
            [high] => 328.27000000
            [low] => 323.06000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.25
            [mae_pct] => 0.34
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 3.69
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-10-09T00:56:29-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-09T07:56:29-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 330.80000000
            [high_after] => 327.16000000
            [low_before] => 325.15000000
            [low_after] => 323.06000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)