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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 09 Oct 2025 at 01:04:43

Take profit at 326.8082 (0.11 %) and Stop Loss at 327.3359 (0.054 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 09 Oct 2025 at 01:04:43

With 45.4857 MSTR at 327.16$ per unit.

Position size of 14881.1037 $

Take profit at 326.8082 (0.11 %) and Stop Loss at 327.3359 (0.054 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 140
ML Pullback Score: 8.21
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.98
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.83
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.7
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_medium

15m_regime : range_low

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.11378

15m : -0.06693

1H : 0.077995

 1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.15
  4. atr: 0.1172529516
Details
  1. score: 1.15
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 328.186
  4. ema21 : 329.84
  5. ema50 : 335.254
  6. ema100 : 340.992
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.00312897
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00501203
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0161491
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0405644
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.0366687
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.0687671
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.0982789
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0798516
  17. rsi : 0.392389
  18. adx : 0.277191
  19. kc_percentage : 0.118504
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0201529
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.854415
  22. volume_ema1 : 16502.101420516
  23. volume_ema2 : 113350.60482368
  24. chop : 56.0718
  25. regime : bear_medium
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 327.057
  28. ema21 : 327.761
  29. ema50 : 328.826
  30. ema100 : 329.663
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.000312822
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00214617
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00324092
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.00759396
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : -0.0664164
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.0548359
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0329655
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0202906
  41. rsi : 0.409396
  42. adx : 0.237682
  43. kc_percentage : 0.154609
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.00483103
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.856981
  46. volume_ema1 : 2984.0073991625
  47. volume_ema2 : 20864.51400132
  48. chop : 20.209
  49. regime : range_low
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 327.06
  52. ema21 : 326.915
  53. ema50 : 327.537
  54. ema100 : 328.479
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.000304131
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000442465
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00189746
  58. price_ema100_diff : -0.00401772
  59. all_emas_in_trend : False
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0244723
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.00995513
  63. ema_slope_50 : -0.00719246
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.00968935
  65. rsi : 0.564081
  66. adx : 0.339598
  67. kc_percentage : 1.15097
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0011684
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.549766
  70. volume_ema1 : 560.96829680847
  71. volume_ema2 : 1245.9495814653
  72. chop : 19.1352
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    122468
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00292797
  78. 5m_price: 
    122110
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.11378
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    122451
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00278336
  83. 15m_price: 
    122110
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.06693
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    123126
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00825302
  88. 1H_price: 
    122110
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.077995
    90. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
09 Oct 2025
01:04:43		 09 Oct 2025
01:50:00		 45 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
327.16 327.3359 326.8082 2 133.25
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 327.16
  • Stop Loss: 327.3359
  • Take Profit: 326.8082

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 327.3359 - 327.16 = 0.17589999999996

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 327.16 - 326.8082 = 0.35180000000003

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.35180000000003 / 0.17589999999996 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
14881.1037 100 45.4857 148.81
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.17589999999996

Taille de position = 8 / 0.17589999999996 = 45.48

Taille de position USD = 45.48 x 327.16 = 14879.24

Donc, tu peux acheter 45.48 avec un stoploss a 327.3359

Avec un position size USD de 14879.24$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 45.48 x 0.17589999999996 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 45.48 x 0.35180000000003 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 45.48
  • Taille de position USD 14879.24
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.11 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.054 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.11
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
0 % 0 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 326.8082
            [stop_loss] => 327.3359
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 01:50:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 326.72025
            [stop_loss] => 327.3359
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 01:50:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 326.6323
            [stop_loss] => 327.3359
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 02:20:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 326.54435
            [stop_loss] => 327.3359
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 02:20:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 326.4564
            [stop_loss] => 327.3359
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 02:20:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 326.36845
            [stop_loss] => 327.3359
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 02:20:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 326.2805
            [stop_loss] => 327.3359
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 02:20:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 326.19255
            [stop_loss] => 327.3359
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 02:20:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 326.1046
            [stop_loss] => 327.3359
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 02:20:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 326.01665
            [stop_loss] => 327.3359
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 02:20:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 325.9287
            [stop_loss] => 327.3359
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 02:20:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.95
            [max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
            [rr_ratio] => 100
            [high] => 327.16000000
            [low] => 325.21000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.6
            [mae_pct] => 0
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-10-09T01:04:43-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-09T03:04:43-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 4.1
            [max_drawdown] => 1.11
            [rr_ratio] => 3.69
            [high] => 328.27000000
            [low] => 323.06000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.25
            [mae_pct] => 0.34
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 3.69
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-10-09T01:04:43-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-09T08:04:43-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 330.26000000
            [high_after] => 327.16000000
            [low_before] => 325.15000000
            [low_after] => 323.06000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)