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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 09 Oct 2025 at 01:17:01

Take profit at 326.8666 (0.087 %) and Stop Loss at 327.2917 (0.043 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 09 Oct 2025 at 01:17:01

With 56.4536 MSTR at 327.15$ per unit.

Position size of 18468.7878 $

Take profit at 326.8666 (0.087 %) and Stop Loss at 327.2917 (0.043 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 140
ML Pullback Score: 7.52
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.97
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.86
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.7
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_medium

15m_regime : range_low

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.110785

15m : -0.061216

1H : 0.006621

 1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.13
  4. atr: 0.09447290331
Details
  1. score: 1.13
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 328.184
  4. ema21 : 329.839
  5. ema50 : 335.253
  6. ema100 : 340.991
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.00315337
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00501535
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0161507
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0405932
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.0367193
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.0687899
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.0982885
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0798564
  17. rsi : 0.392181
  18. adx : 0.277191
  19. kc_percentage : 0.117364
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0201658
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.853677
  22. volume_ema1 : 16587.160420516
  23. volume_ema2 : 113360.61176485
  24. chop : 56.0727
  25. regime : bear_medium
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 327.074
  28. ema21 : 327.704
  29. ema50 : 328.771
  30. ema100 : 329.694
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.000230677
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00192316
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00324508
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.00771829
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : -0.0600916
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.0530176
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0332039
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0211241
  41. rsi : 0.408581
  42. adx : 0.230725
  43. kc_percentage : 0.147901
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.00435909
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.898023
  46. volume_ema1 : 2046.0442661083
  47. volume_ema2 : 20063.913499628
  48. chop : 22.5712
  49. regime : range_low
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 327.104
  52. ema21 : 326.974
  53. ema50 : 327.495
  54. ema100 : 328.417
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.000140042
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000397835
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00159209
  58. price_ema100_diff : -0.00385976
  59. all_emas_in_trend : False
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0171265
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.00982547
  63. ema_slope_50 : -0.00534777
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.008687
  65. rsi : 0.559843
  66. adx : 0.315242
  67. kc_percentage : 1.12749
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.000861677
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.815313
  70. volume_ema1 : 204.01682868399
  71. volume_ema2 : 1104.6669857846
  72. chop : 48.3419
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    122416
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.004244
  78. 5m_price: 
    121896
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.110785
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    122451
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00453383
  83. 15m_price: 
    121896
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.061216
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    123122
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00995222
  88. 1H_price: 
    121896
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.006621
    90. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
09 Oct 2025
01:17:01		 09 Oct 2025
01:50:00		 32 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
327.15 327.2917 326.8666 2 132.91
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 327.15
  • Stop Loss: 327.2917
  • Take Profit: 326.8666

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 327.2917 - 327.15 = 0.14170000000001

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 327.15 - 326.8666 = 0.28339999999997

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.28339999999997 / 0.14170000000001 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
18468.7878 100 56.4536 184.69
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.14170000000001

Taille de position = 8 / 0.14170000000001 = 56.46

Taille de position USD = 56.46 x 327.15 = 18470.89

Donc, tu peux acheter 56.46 avec un stoploss a 327.2917

Avec un position size USD de 18470.89$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 56.46 x 0.14170000000001 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 56.46 x 0.28339999999997 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 56.46
  • Taille de position USD 18470.89
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.087 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.043 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.09
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
0 % 0 % 0

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 326.8666
            [stop_loss] => 327.2917
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 01:50:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 326.79575
            [stop_loss] => 327.2917
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 01:50:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 326.7249
            [stop_loss] => 327.2917
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 01:50:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 326.65405
            [stop_loss] => 327.2917
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 02:20:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 326.5832
            [stop_loss] => 327.2917
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 02:20:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 326.51235
            [stop_loss] => 327.2917
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 02:20:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 326.4415
            [stop_loss] => 327.2917
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 02:20:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 326.37065
            [stop_loss] => 327.2917
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 02:20:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 326.2998
            [stop_loss] => 327.2917
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 02:20:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 326.22895
            [stop_loss] => 327.2917
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 02:20:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 326.1581
            [stop_loss] => 327.2917
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 02:20:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.94
            [max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
            [rr_ratio] => 100
            [high] => 327.15000000
            [low] => 325.21000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.59
            [mae_pct] => 0
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-10-09T01:17:01-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-09T03:17:01-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 4.09
            [max_drawdown] => 1.61
            [rr_ratio] => 2.54
            [high] => 328.76000000
            [low] => 323.06000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.25
            [mae_pct] => 0.49
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.54
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-10-09T01:17:01-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-09T08:17:01-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 330.03000000
            [high_after] => 327.15000000
            [low_before] => 325.15000000
            [low_after] => 323.06000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)