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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 09 Oct 2025 at 15:30:19

Take profit at 320.4021 (0.32 %) and Stop Loss at 321.9589 (0.16 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 09 Oct 2025 at 15:30:19

With 15.4161 MSTR at 321.44$ per unit.

Position size of 4955.3525 $

Take profit at 320.4021 (0.32 %) and Stop Loss at 321.9589 (0.16 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -60
ML Pullback Score: 2.33
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.81
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.84
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.67
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_medium

15m_regime : bear_low

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.295478

15m : 0.160045

1H : 0.173567

 2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.42
  4. atr: 0.3459585669
Details
  1. score: 1.42
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 322.625
  4. ema21 : 325.048
  5. ema50 : 330.339
  6. ema100 : 336.831
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.003673
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00745707
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0160149
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0456943
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.120581
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.103793
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.104395
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0873101
  17. rsi : 0.374097
  18. adx : 0.356726
  19. kc_percentage : 0.114324
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0276513
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.120062
  22. volume_ema1 : 156309.67434732
  23. volume_ema2 : 177637.2901373
  24. chop : 40.6342
  25. regime : bear_medium
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 320.571
  28. ema21 : 321.494
  29. ema50 : 323.506
  30. ema100 : 325.141
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.0027077
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00286833
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00622057
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0113839
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : -0.0595292
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.070053
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.052727
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0345728
  41. rsi : 0.467169
  42. adx : 0.530799
  43. kc_percentage : 0.509867
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0115126
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.694158
  46. volume_ema1 : 16689.154466984
  47. volume_ema2 : 54567.898869131
  48. chop : 57.0137
  49. regime : bear_low
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 320.468
  52. ema21 : 320.249
  53. ema50 : 321.082
  54. ema100 : 322.558
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00303066
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00068455
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00259448
  58. price_ema100_diff : -0.00346773
  59. all_emas_in_trend : False
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0225451
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.00188935
  63. ema_slope_50 : -0.0145298
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.0169639
  65. rsi : 0.655253
  66. adx : 0.181812
  67. kc_percentage : 1.42055
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00404684
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.610034
  70. volume_ema1 : 5299.9179086028
  71. volume_ema2 : 13590.739040337
  72. chop : 22.9123
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    121310
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00211854
  78. 5m_price: 
    121053
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.295478
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    121956
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00740384
  83. 15m_price: 
    121053
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.160045
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    122638
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0129262
  88. 1H_price: 
    121053
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.173567
    90. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
09 Oct 2025
15:30:19		 09 Oct 2025
15:35:00		 4 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
321.44 321.9589 320.4021 2 133.08
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 321.44
  • Stop Loss: 321.9589
  • Take Profit: 320.4021

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 321.9589 - 321.44 = 0.51890000000003

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 321.44 - 320.4021 = 1.0379

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.0379 / 0.51890000000003 = 2.0002

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
4955.3525 100 15.4161 49.55
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.51890000000003

Taille de position = 8 / 0.51890000000003 = 15.42

Taille de position USD = 15.42 x 321.44 = 4956.6

Donc, tu peux acheter 15.42 avec un stoploss a 321.9589

Avec un position size USD de 4956.6$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 15.42 x 0.51890000000003 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 15.42 x 1.0379 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 15.42
  • Taille de position USD 4956.6
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0002

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.32 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.16 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.16
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.1711 % 106.01 % 0

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 320.4021
            [entry_price] => 321.44
            [stop_loss] => 322.01079
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 15:50:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 320.4021
            [entry_price] => 321.44
            [stop_loss] => 322.06268
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 15:50:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 320.4021
            [entry_price] => 321.44
            [stop_loss] => 322.11457
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 15:50:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 320.4021
            [entry_price] => 321.44
            [stop_loss] => 322.21835
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 15:50:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.28
            [max_drawdown] => 0.55000000000001
            [rr_ratio] => 2.33
            [high] => 321.99000000
            [low] => 320.16000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.4
            [mae_pct] => 0.17
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.33
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-10-09T15:30:19-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-09T17:30:19-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.28
            [max_drawdown] => 1.65
            [rr_ratio] => 0.78
            [high] => 323.09000000
            [low] => 320.16000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.4
            [mae_pct] => 0.51
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.78
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-10-09T15:30:19-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-09T22:30:19-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 322.71000000
            [high_after] => 322.67000000
            [low_before] => 319.00000000
            [low_after] => 320.16000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)