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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 09 Oct 2025 at 15:39:24

Take profit at 320.9093 (0.34 %) and Stop Loss at 322.5303 (0.17 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 09 Oct 2025 at 15:39:24

With 14.8052 MSTR at 321.99$ per unit.

Position size of 4767.1343 $

Take profit at 320.9093 (0.34 %) and Stop Loss at 322.5303 (0.17 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 60
ML Pullback Score: 5
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.95
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.52
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.62
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_medium

15m_regime : bear_low

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.28276

15m : 0.055586

1H : -0.01755

 2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.61
  4. atr: 0.3602331902
Details
  1. score: 1.61
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 322.735
  4. ema21 : 325.098
  5. ema50 : 330.36
  6. ema100 : 336.842
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.0023084
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00727137
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0159278
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0440923
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.117781
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.102527
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.103858
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0870435
  17. rsi : 0.390772
  18. adx : 0.355397
  19. kc_percentage : 0.173688
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0278898
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.117237
  22. volume_ema1 : 156869.77788065
  23. volume_ema2 : 177703.18467063
  24. chop : 40.6553
  25. regime : bear_medium
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 320.669
  28. ema21 : 321.538
  29. ema50 : 323.525
  30. ema100 : 325.151
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00411642
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00270169
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00614191
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.00972197
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : -0.0569999
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.068908
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0522352
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0343251
  41. rsi : 0.493579
  42. adx : 0.528778
  43. kc_percentage : 0.638543
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0121016
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.686582
  46. volume_ema1 : 17118.334600318
  47. volume_ema2 : 54618.390649523
  48. chop : 57.095
  49. regime : bear_low
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 320.851
  52. ema21 : 320.448
  53. ema50 : 321.14
  54. ema100 : 322.587
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00354864
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00125804
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00215657
  58. price_ema100_diff : -0.00185352
  59. all_emas_in_trend : False
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0339051
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.00904301
  63. ema_slope_50 : -0.0108592
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.0152492
  65. rsi : 0.699176
  66. adx : 0.199733
  67. kc_percentage : 1.61254
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00429562
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.694195
  70. volume_ema1 : 3950.3220946241
  71. volume_ema2 : 12917.815779168
  72. chop : 19.4545
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    121323
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00385421
  78. 5m_price: 
    120856
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.28276
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    121952
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00890145
  83. 15m_price: 
    120867
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.055586
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    122634
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0145044
  88. 1H_price: 
    120856
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.01755
    90. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
09 Oct 2025
15:39:24		 09 Oct 2025
15:50:00		 10 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
321.99 322.5303 320.9093 2 133.02
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 321.99
  • Stop Loss: 322.5303
  • Take Profit: 320.9093

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 322.5303 - 321.99 = 0.5403

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 321.99 - 320.9093 = 1.0807

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.0807 / 0.5403 = 2.0002

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
4767.1343 100 14.8052 47.67
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.5403

Taille de position = 8 / 0.5403 = 14.81

Taille de position USD = 14.81 x 321.99 = 4768.67

Donc, tu peux acheter 14.81 avec un stoploss a 322.5303

Avec un position size USD de 4768.67$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 14.81 x 0.5403 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 14.81 x 1.0807 = 16.01

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 14.81
  • Taille de position USD 4768.67
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16.01
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0002

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.34 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.17 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.34
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
0 % 0 % 2

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 320.9094
            [stop_loss] => 322.5303
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 15:50:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 320.63925
            [stop_loss] => 322.5303
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 15:50:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 320.3691
            [stop_loss] => 322.5303
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 15:50:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 320.09895
            [stop_loss] => 322.5303
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 20:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 319.8288
            [stop_loss] => 322.5303
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 20:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 319.55865
            [stop_loss] => 322.5303
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 20:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 319.2885
            [stop_loss] => 322.5303
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 20:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 319.01835
            [stop_loss] => 322.5303
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 20:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 318.7482
            [stop_loss] => 322.5303
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 20:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 318.47805
            [stop_loss] => 322.5303
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 20:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 318.2079
            [stop_loss] => 322.5303
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 20:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.83
            [max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
            [rr_ratio] => 100
            [high] => 321.99000000
            [low] => 320.16000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.57
            [mae_pct] => 0
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-10-09T15:39:24-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-09T17:39:24-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.83
            [max_drawdown] => 1.1
            [rr_ratio] => 1.66
            [high] => 323.09000000
            [low] => 320.16000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.57
            [mae_pct] => 0.34
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.66
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-10-09T15:39:24-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-09T22:39:24-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 322.71000000
            [high_after] => 322.67000000
            [low_before] => 319.00000000
            [low_after] => 320.16000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)