Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 09 Oct 2025 at 17:11:46

Take profit at 320.4004 (0.26 %) and Stop Loss at 321.6298 (0.13 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 09 Oct 2025 at 17:11:46

With 19.5209 MSTR at 321.22$ per unit.

Position size of 6270.5102 $

Take profit at 320.4004 (0.26 %) and Stop Loss at 321.6298 (0.13 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:

loss

Trade Type:

sell

ML Trade Score: -100

ML Pullback Score: 0.22

Prediction Score: 2

Prediction 1	Probability
Weak Trade	0.74

Prediction 2	Probability
0	0.53

Prediction 3	Probability
0	0.82

BTC Market Regime	Coin Market Regime
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low	1H_regime : bear_medium 15m_regime : bear_low 5m_regime : range_low

BTC Market Regime

Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_medium

15m_regime : bear_low

5m_regime : range_low

BTC Correlation	Score
5m : 0.228344 15m : -0.031262 1H : -0.057466	2

BTC Correlation

Score

5m : 0.228344

15m : -0.031262

1H : -0.057466

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

long_trend: -1
short_kc: True
short_kc_percentage: 0.01
atr: 0.2732111545

Details

score: 1.01
1H
ema9 : 322.037
ema21 : 324.338
ema50 : 329.616
ema100 : 336.207
price_ema9_diff : -0.00253884
ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00709317
ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0160123
price_ema100_diff : -0.0445785
all_emas_in_trend : True
all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
ema_slope_9 : -0.113783
ema_slope_21 : -0.10343
ema_slope_50 : -0.104197
ema_slope_100 : -0.087853
rsi : 0.368126
adx : 0.35227
kc_percentage : 0.122031
kc_width_percentage : 0.0242005
volume_ema_diff : -0.494543
volume_ema1 : 84360.407843254
volume_ema2 : 166899.33434461
chop : 41.2296
regime : bear_medium
15m
ema9 : 320.77
ema21 : 321.198
ema50 : 322.98
ema100 : 325.034
price_ema9_diff : 0.00140251
ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00133295
ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00551764
price_ema100_diff : -0.0117354
all_emas_in_trend : True
all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
ema_slope_9 : 0.00304251
ema_slope_21 : -0.0301713
ema_slope_50 : -0.0379936
ema_slope_100 : -0.0310678
rsi : 0.477415
adx : 0.428687
kc_percentage : 0.524419
kc_width_percentage : 0.0104639
volume_ema_diff : -0.787387
volume_ema1 : 9620.0549959127
volume_ema2 : 45246.911488549
chop : 60.253
regime : bear_low
5m
ema9 : 320.895
ema21 : 320.705
ema50 : 320.947
ema100 : 322.289
price_ema9_diff : 0.0010119
ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000592615
ema21_ema50_diff : -0.000753727
price_ema100_diff : -0.00331907
all_emas_in_trend : False
all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
ema_slope_9 : 0.00608945
ema_slope_21 : 0.0031016
ema_slope_50 : -0.0041634
ema_slope_100 : -0.0114178
rsi : 0.595092
adx : 0.183004
kc_percentage : 1.01456
kc_width_percentage : 0.0030625
volume_ema_diff : -0.620004
volume_ema1 : 2863.1747744749
volume_ema2 : 7534.7667465553
chop : 55.8628
regime : range_low
btc_indicators
btc_indicators
5m_ema100:
```
121308
```
5m_price_ema100_diff:
```
-0.00231312
```
5m_price:
```
121028
```
5m_correlation_with_coin:
```
0.228344
```
btc_indicators
15m_ema100:
```
121851
```
15m_price_ema100_diff:
```
-0.00675465
```
15m_price:
```
121028
```
15m_correlation_with_coin:
```
-0.031262
```
btc_indicators
1H_ema100:
```
122537
```
1H_price_ema100_diff:
```
-0.0123157
```
1H_price:
```
121028
```
1H_correlation_with_coin:
```
-0.057466
```

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

📌 Time Data

Start at	Closed at	Duration
09 Oct 2025 17:11:46	09 Oct 2025 17:40:00	28 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
321.22	321.6298	320.4004	2	133.73

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 321.22
Stop Loss: 321.6298
Take Profit: 320.4004

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 321.6298 - 321.22 = 0.40979999999996
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 321.22 - 320.4004 = 0.81960000000004
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.81960000000004 / 0.40979999999996 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
6270.5102	100	19.5209	62.71

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.40979999999996

Taille de position = 8 / 0.40979999999996 = 19.52

Taille de position USD = 19.52 x 321.22 = 6270.21

Donc, tu peux acheter 19.52 avec un stoploss a 321.6298

Avec un position size USD de 6270.21$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 19.52 x 0.40979999999996 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 19.52 x 0.81960000000004 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

Taille de position 19.52
Taille de position USD 6270.21
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 16
Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
0.26 %	16 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
0.13 %	8 $

PNL	PNL %
-8 $	-0.13

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-0.1681 %	131.74 %	3

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


                              Array
(
)

Extra SL data


                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 320.4004
            [entry_price] => 321.22
            [stop_loss] => 321.67078
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 17:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 320.4004
            [entry_price] => 321.22
            [stop_loss] => 321.71176
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 17:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 320.4004
            [entry_price] => 321.22
            [stop_loss] => 321.75274
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 17:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 320.4004
            [entry_price] => 321.22
            [stop_loss] => 321.8347
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 18:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)

Extra Pullback data


                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.20000000000005
            [max_drawdown] => 1.04
            [rr_ratio] => 0.19
            [high] => 322.26000000
            [low] => 321.02000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.06
            [mae_pct] => 0.32
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.19
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-10-09T17:11:46-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-09T19:11:46-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.20000000000005
            [max_drawdown] => 1.8699999999999
            [rr_ratio] => 0.11
            [high] => 323.09000000
            [low] => 321.02000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.06
            [mae_pct] => 0.58
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.11
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-10-09T17:11:46-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-10T00:11:46-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 321.99000000
            [high_after] => 323.09000000
            [low_before] => 319.00000000
            [low_after] => 321.02000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)