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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 09 Oct 2025 at 17:46:41

Take profit at 320.9434 (0.24 %) and Stop Loss at 322.1233 (0.12 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 09 Oct 2025 at 17:46:41

With 20.3407 MSTR at 321.73$ per unit.

Position size of 6544.2172 $

Take profit at 320.9434 (0.24 %) and Stop Loss at 322.1233 (0.12 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.75
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.69
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.56
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.88
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_medium

15m_regime : range_low

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.204067

15m : 0.072406

1H : -0.01391

 2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.15
  4. atr: 0.2621999364
Details
  1. score: 1.15
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 322.139
  4. ema21 : 324.384
  5. ema50 : 329.636
  6. ema100 : 336.217
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.0012715
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00692064
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0159314
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0430903
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.11118
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.102253
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.103698
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0876053
  17. rsi : 0.386361
  18. adx : 0.348896
  19. kc_percentage : 0.190002
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0248335
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.36125
  22. volume_ema1 : 108414.40877659
  23. volume_ema2 : 169729.21680735
  24. chop : 41.2785
  25. regime : bear_medium
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 321.212
  28. ema21 : 321.315
  29. ema50 : 322.835
  30. ema100 : 324.87
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00161051
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.000318452
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00471043
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.00966586
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.0285188
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.0089771
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0276041
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0263284
  41. rsi : 0.509479
  42. adx : 0.359584
  43. kc_percentage : 0.660071
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0088268
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.56038
  46. volume_ema1 : 18833.5327099
  47. volume_ema2 : 42840.535741894
  48. chop : 57.6236
  49. regime : range_low
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 321.355
  52. ema21 : 321.071
  53. ema50 : 321.008
  54. ema100 : 321.715
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00116473
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00088577
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.000197221
  58. price_ema100_diff : 4.55587E-5
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0246699
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.016138
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.00516917
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.00277921
  65. rsi : 0.625092
  66. adx : 0.19641
  67. kc_percentage : 1.15247
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00305521
  69. volume_ema_diff : 0.751546
  70. volume_ema1 : 14578.144326627
  71. volume_ema2 : 8323.012742449
  72. chop : 34.4893
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    121280
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.0010322
  78. 5m_price: 
    121405
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.204067
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    121768
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00297986
  83. 15m_price: 
    121405
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.072406
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    122544
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0092987
  88. 1H_price: 
    121405
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.01391
    90. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
09 Oct 2025
17:46:41		 09 Oct 2025
18:55:00		 1 hour

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
321.73 322.1233 320.9434 2 133.41
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 321.73
  • Stop Loss: 322.1233
  • Take Profit: 320.9434

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 322.1233 - 321.73 = 0.39329999999995

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 321.73 - 320.9434 = 0.78660000000002

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.78660000000002 / 0.39329999999995 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
6544.2172 100 20.3407 65.44
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.39329999999995

Taille de position = 8 / 0.39329999999995 = 20.34

Taille de position USD = 20.34 x 321.73 = 6543.99

Donc, tu peux acheter 20.34 avec un stoploss a 322.1233

Avec un position size USD de 6543.99$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 20.34 x 0.39329999999995 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 20.34 x 0.78660000000002 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 20.34
  • Taille de position USD 6543.99
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.24 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.12 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.12
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.1647 % 134.78 % 6

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 320.9434
            [entry_price] => 321.73
            [stop_loss] => 322.16263
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 18:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 320.9434
            [entry_price] => 321.73
            [stop_loss] => 322.20196
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 18:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 320.9434
            [entry_price] => 321.73
            [stop_loss] => 322.24129
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 18:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 320.9434
            [entry_price] => 321.73
            [stop_loss] => 322.31995
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 19:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.43000000000001
            [max_drawdown] => 0.70999999999998
            [rr_ratio] => 0.61
            [high] => 322.44000000
            [low] => 321.30000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.13
            [mae_pct] => 0.22
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.61
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-10-09T17:46:41-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-09T19:46:41-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.60000000000002
            [max_drawdown] => 1.36
            [rr_ratio] => 0.44
            [high] => 323.09000000
            [low] => 321.13000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.19
            [mae_pct] => 0.42
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.44
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-10-09T17:46:41-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-10T00:46:41-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 321.99000000
            [high_after] => 323.09000000
            [low_before] => 319.00000000
            [low_after] => 321.27000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)