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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 09 Oct 2025 at 17:55:18

Take profit at 321.0167 (0.21 %) and Stop Loss at 322.0416 (0.11 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 09 Oct 2025 at 17:55:18

With 23.4173 MSTR at 321.7$ per unit.

Position size of 7533.3459 $

Take profit at 321.0167 (0.21 %) and Stop Loss at 322.0416 (0.11 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.67
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.85
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.58
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.91
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_medium

15m_regime : range_low

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.178192

15m : 0.087781

1H : 0.088984

 2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.12
  4. atr: 0.2277518318
Details
  1. score: 1.12
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 322.133
  4. ema21 : 324.381
  5. ema50 : 329.634
  6. ema100 : 336.217
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.00134603
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00693079
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0159361
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0431779
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.111333
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.102322
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.103727
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0876199
  17. rsi : 0.385317
  18. adx : 0.348896
  19. kc_percentage : 0.186605
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0248358
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.358552
  22. volume_ema1 : 108909.82677659
  23. volume_ema2 : 169787.50127794
  24. chop : 41.2785
  25. regime : bear_medium
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 321.212
  28. ema21 : 321.315
  29. ema50 : 322.835
  30. ema100 : 324.87
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00151711
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.000318452
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00471043
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.00975821
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.0285188
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.0089771
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0276041
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0263284
  41. rsi : 0.509479
  42. adx : 0.359584
  43. kc_percentage : 0.649507
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.00882763
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.56038
  46. volume_ema1 : 18833.5327099
  47. volume_ema2 : 42840.535741894
  48. chop : 57.6236
  49. regime : range_low
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 321.479
  52. ema21 : 321.18
  53. ema50 : 321.074
  54. ema100 : 321.818
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.000685419
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000931523
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.000330326
  58. price_ema100_diff : -0.000369553
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0216713
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0161727
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.00581811
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.00276149
  65. rsi : 0.618845
  66. adx : 0.205782
  67. kc_percentage : 1.12016
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0025083
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.141642
  70. volume_ema1 : 6809.4539229452
  71. volume_ema2 : 7933.1176360012
  72. chop : 42.8311
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    121215
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00148638
  78. 5m_price: 
    121395
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.178192
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    121765
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00407792
  83. 15m_price: 
    121269
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.087781
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    122544
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0093779
  88. 1H_price: 
    121395
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.088984
    90. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
09 Oct 2025
17:55:18		 09 Oct 2025
18:40:00		 44 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
321.7 322.0416 321.0167 2 132.91
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 321.7
  • Stop Loss: 322.0416
  • Take Profit: 321.0167

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 322.0416 - 321.7 = 0.34160000000003

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 321.7 - 321.0167 = 0.68329999999997

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.68329999999997 / 0.34160000000003 = 2.0003

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
7533.3459 100 23.4173 75.33
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.34160000000003

Taille de position = 8 / 0.34160000000003 = 23.42

Taille de position USD = 23.42 x 321.7 = 7534.21

Donc, tu peux acheter 23.42 avec un stoploss a 322.0416

Avec un position size USD de 7534.21$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 23.42 x 0.34160000000003 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 23.42 x 0.68329999999997 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 23.42
  • Taille de position USD 7534.21
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0003

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.21 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.11 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.11
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.1243 % 117.04 % 4

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 321.0167
            [entry_price] => 321.7
            [stop_loss] => 322.07576
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 18:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 321.0167
            [entry_price] => 321.7
            [stop_loss] => 322.10992
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 18:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 321.0167
            [entry_price] => 321.7
            [stop_loss] => 322.14408
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 18:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 321.0167
            [entry_price] => 321.7
            [stop_loss] => 322.2124
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 18:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.39999999999998
            [max_drawdown] => 0.75999999999999
            [rr_ratio] => 0.53
            [high] => 322.46000000
            [low] => 321.30000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.12
            [mae_pct] => 0.24
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.53
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-10-09T17:55:18-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-09T19:55:18-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.56999999999999
            [max_drawdown] => 1.39
            [rr_ratio] => 0.41
            [high] => 323.09000000
            [low] => 321.13000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.18
            [mae_pct] => 0.43
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.41
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-10-09T17:55:18-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-10T00:55:18-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 321.99000000
            [high_after] => 323.09000000
            [low_before] => 319.00000000
            [low_after] => 321.27000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)