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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 09 Oct 2025 at 19:18:21

Take profit at 321.541 (0.19 %) and Stop Loss at 322.4695 (0.096 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 09 Oct 2025 at 19:18:21

With 25.8476 MSTR at 322.16$ per unit.

Position size of 8327.0496 $

Take profit at 321.541 (0.19 %) and Stop Loss at 322.4695 (0.096 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.42
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.84
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.67
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.72
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_medium

15m_regime : range_low

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.173969

15m : 0.053548

1H : -0.02184

 2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.06
  4. atr: 0.2063379889
Details
  1. score: 1.06
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 322.066
  4. ema21 : 323.956
  5. ema50 : 329.042
  6. ema100 : 335.656
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.000290916
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00583487
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0154556
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0402096
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.113987
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.104998
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.104759
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0887395
  17. rsi : 0.403642
  18. adx : 0.332941
  19. kc_percentage : 0.267199
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0217574
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.634825
  22. volume_ema1 : 57807.413656261
  23. volume_ema2 : 158300.72301789
  24. chop : 41.2331
  25. regime : bear_medium
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 321.758
  28. ema21 : 321.573
  29. ema50 : 322.635
  30. ema100 : 324.546
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00124795
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000575408
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00329166
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.00735384
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.0311371
  38. ema_slope_21 : 0.0076987
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0157905
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0203741
  41. rsi : 0.539794
  42. adx : 0.257116
  43. kc_percentage : 0.771204
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.00684508
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.848283
  46. volume_ema1 : 5335.9439509377
  47. volume_ema2 : 35170.518779066
  48. chop : 64.9369
  49. regime : range_low
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 321.906
  52. ema21 : 321.7
  53. ema50 : 321.416
  54. ema100 : 321.718
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.000787316
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000640899
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.000882534
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.00137344
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.00866026
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.00988173
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.00699701
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.000894951
  65. rsi : 0.63828
  66. adx : 0.272912
  67. kc_percentage : 1.05542
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00247379
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.831962
  70. volume_ema1 : 915.64097974932
  71. volume_ema2 : 5449.0143234353
  72. chop : 41.7227
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    121169
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.0012962
  78. 5m_price: 
    121326
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.173969
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    121763
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00358863
  83. 15m_price: 
    121326
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.053548
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    122464
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00929933
  88. 1H_price: 
    121326
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.02184
    90. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
09 Oct 2025
19:18:21		 09 Oct 2025
20:00:00		 41 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
322.16 322.4695 321.541 2 129.52
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 322.16
  • Stop Loss: 322.4695
  • Take Profit: 321.541

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 322.4695 - 322.16 = 0.30949999999996

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 322.16 - 321.541 = 0.61900000000003

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.61900000000003 / 0.30949999999996 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
8327.0496 100 25.8476 83.27
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.30949999999996

Taille de position = 8 / 0.30949999999996 = 25.85

Taille de position USD = 25.85 x 322.16 = 8327.84

Donc, tu peux acheter 25.85 avec un stoploss a 322.4695

Avec un position size USD de 8327.84$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 25.85 x 0.30949999999996 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 25.85 x 0.61900000000003 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 25.85
  • Taille de position USD 8327.84
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.19 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.096 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.10
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.1428 % 148.6 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 321.541
            [entry_price] => 322.16
            [stop_loss] => 322.50045
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 20:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 321.541
            [entry_price] => 322.16
            [stop_loss] => 322.5314
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 20:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 321.541
            [entry_price] => 322.16
            [stop_loss] => 322.56235
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 20:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 321.541
            [entry_price] => 322.16
            [stop_loss] => 322.62425
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 20:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.47000000000003
            [max_drawdown] => 0.5
            [rr_ratio] => 0.94
            [high] => 322.66000000
            [low] => 321.69000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.15
            [mae_pct] => 0.16
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.94
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-10-09T19:18:21-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-09T21:18:21-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.03
            [max_drawdown] => 0.92999999999995
            [rr_ratio] => 1.11
            [high] => 323.09000000
            [low] => 321.13000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.32
            [mae_pct] => 0.29
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.11
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-10-09T19:18:21-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-10T02:18:21-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 322.26000000
            [high_after] => 323.09000000
            [low_before] => 320.15000000
            [low_after] => 321.13000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)