Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 09 Oct 2025 at 20:06:23

Take profit at 322.0894 (0.16 %) and Stop Loss at 322.8403 (0.078 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 09 Oct 2025 at 20:06:23

With 31.9611 MSTR at 322.59$ per unit.

Position size of 10310.3162 $

Take profit at 322.0894 (0.16 %) and Stop Loss at 322.8403 (0.078 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:

loss

Trade Type:

sell

ML Trade Score: -100

ML Pullback Score: 1.75

Prediction Score: 4

Prediction 1	Probability
Strong Trade	0.64

Prediction 2	Probability
0	0.45

Prediction 3	Probability
1	0.77

BTC Market Regime	Coin Market Regime
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low	1H_regime : bear_medium 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low

BTC Market Regime

Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_medium

15m_regime : range_low

5m_regime : range_low

BTC Correlation	Score
5m : 0.093685 15m : -0.146328 1H : -0.155407	2

BTC Correlation

Score

5m : 0.093685

15m : -0.146328

1H : -0.155407

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

long_trend: -1
short_kc: True
short_kc_percentage: 0.43
atr: 0.1668697602

Details

score: 1.43
1H
ema9 : 322.219
ema21 : 323.857
ema50 : 328.8
ema100 : 335.403
price_ema9_diff : 0.00115125
ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00505799
ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0150342
price_ema100_diff : -0.0382038
all_emas_in_trend : True
all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
ema_slope_9 : -0.122698
ema_slope_21 : -0.109688
ema_slope_50 : -0.106747
ema_slope_100 : -0.0900302
rsi : 0.419888
adx : 0.322169
kc_percentage : 0.328226
kc_width_percentage : 0.0200889
volume_ema_diff : -0.700492
volume_ema1 : 45813.949548618
volume_ema2 : 152964.33862427
chop : 41.0886
regime : bear_medium
15m
ema9 : 321.992
ema21 : 321.723
ema50 : 322.574
ema100 : 324.359
price_ema9_diff : 0.0018559
ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000834483
ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00263588
price_ema100_diff : -0.00545405
all_emas_in_trend : False
all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
ema_slope_9 : 0.0319628
ema_slope_21 : 0.013734
ema_slope_50 : -0.0103668
ema_slope_100 : -0.01707
rsi : 0.569484
adx : 0.224045
kc_percentage : 0.915112
kc_width_percentage : 0.00647808
volume_ema_diff : -0.726503
volume_ema1 : 8766.1167262038
volume_ema2 : 32051.967415274
chop : 61.3618
regime : range_low
5m
ema9 : 322.273
ema21 : 322.003
ema50 : 321.617
ema100 : 321.483
price_ema9_diff : 0.000981202
ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000840286
ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00119952
price_ema100_diff : 0.0034412
all_emas_in_trend : True
all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
ema_slope_9 : 0.0132029
ema_slope_21 : 0.0103548
ema_slope_50 : 0.0082839
ema_slope_100 : 0.00445362
rsi : 0.689412
adx : 0.375239
kc_percentage : 1.431
kc_width_percentage : 0.0018926
volume_ema_diff : 0.18948
volume_ema1 : 4713.6014192156
volume_ema2 : 3962.7379273403
chop : 40.8235
regime : range_low
btc_indicators
btc_indicators
5m_ema100:
```
121191
```
5m_price_ema100_diff:
```
0.00311622
```
5m_price:
```
121569
```
5m_correlation_with_coin:
```
0.093685
```
btc_indicators
15m_ema100:
```
121774
```
15m_price_ema100_diff:
```
-0.00168531
```
15m_price:
```
121569
```
15m_correlation_with_coin:
```
-0.146328
```
btc_indicators
1H_ema100:
```
122454
```
1H_price_ema100_diff:
```
-0.00722955
```
1H_price:
```
121569
```
1H_correlation_with_coin:
```
-0.155407
```

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

📌 Time Data

Start at	Closed at	Duration
09 Oct 2025 20:06:23	09 Oct 2025 22:00:00	1 hour

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
322.59	322.8403	322.0894	2	129.94

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 322.59
Stop Loss: 322.8403
Take Profit: 322.0894

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 322.8403 - 322.59 = 0.25030000000004
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 322.59 - 322.0894 = 0.50059999999996
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.50059999999996 / 0.25030000000004 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
10310.3162	100	31.9611	103.10

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.25030000000004

Taille de position = 8 / 0.25030000000004 = 31.96

Taille de position USD = 31.96 x 322.59 = 10309.98

Donc, tu peux acheter 31.96 avec un stoploss a 322.8403

Avec un position size USD de 10309.98$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 31.96 x 0.25030000000004 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 31.96 x 0.50059999999996 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

Taille de position 31.96
Taille de position USD 10309.98
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 16
Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
0.16 %	16 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
0.078 %	8 $

PNL	PNL %
-8 $	-0.08

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-0.155 %	199.74 %	6

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


                              Array
(
)

Extra SL data


                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 322.0894
            [entry_price] => 322.59
            [stop_loss] => 322.86533
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 22:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 322.0894
            [entry_price] => 322.59
            [stop_loss] => 322.89036
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 22:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 322.0894
            [entry_price] => 322.59
            [stop_loss] => 322.91539
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 22:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 322.0894
            [entry_price] => 322.59
            [stop_loss] => 322.96545
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 22:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)

Extra Pullback data


                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0
            [max_drawdown] => 0.5
            [rr_ratio] => 0
            [high] => 323.09000000
            [low] => 322.59000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0
            [mae_pct] => 0.15
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-10-09T20:06:23-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-09T22:06:23-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.46
            [max_drawdown] => 0.5
            [rr_ratio] => 2.92
            [high] => 323.09000000
            [low] => 321.13000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.45
            [mae_pct] => 0.15
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.92
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-10-09T20:06:23-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-10T03:06:23-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 322.62000000
            [high_after] => 323.09000000
            [low_before] => 320.16000000
            [low_after] => 321.13000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)