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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 09 Oct 2025 at 20:14:54

Take profit at 322.1252 (0.14 %) and Stop Loss at 322.8224 (0.072 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 09 Oct 2025 at 20:14:54

With 34.4271 MSTR at 322.59$ per unit.

Position size of 11105.8388 $

Take profit at 322.1252 (0.14 %) and Stop Loss at 322.8224 (0.072 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.75
Prediction Score: 5
Prediction 1 Probability
Strong Trade
0.64
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.47
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.68
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_medium

15m_regime : range_low

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.096785

15m : 0.038655

1H : -0.095923

 2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.44
  4. atr: 0.154916709
Details
  1. score: 1.44
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 322.219
  4. ema21 : 323.857
  5. ema50 : 328.8
  6. ema100 : 335.403
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00115125
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00505799
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0150342
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0382038
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.122698
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.109688
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.106747
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0900302
  17. rsi : 0.419888
  18. adx : 0.322169
  19. kc_percentage : 0.328226
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0200889
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.700492
  22. volume_ema1 : 45813.949548618
  23. volume_ema2 : 152964.33862427
  24. chop : 41.0886
  25. regime : bear_medium
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 321.992
  28. ema21 : 321.723
  29. ema50 : 322.574
  30. ema100 : 324.359
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.0018559
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000834483
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00263588
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.00545405
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.0319628
  38. ema_slope_21 : 0.013734
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0103668
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.01707
  41. rsi : 0.569484
  42. adx : 0.224045
  43. kc_percentage : 0.915112
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.00647808
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.726503
  46. volume_ema1 : 8766.1167262038
  47. volume_ema2 : 32051.967415274
  48. chop : 61.3618
  49. regime : range_low
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 322.337
  52. ema21 : 322.056
  53. ema50 : 321.659
  54. ema100 : 321.538
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.000784807
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000870829
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00123303
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.00327148
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0127865
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0104238
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.00832513
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.00435698
  65. rsi : 0.689385
  66. adx : 0.389228
  67. kc_percentage : 1.43593
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00170331
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.158032
  70. volume_ema1 : 3142.4009461437
  71. volume_ema2 : 3732.2101566792
  72. chop : 40.019
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    121192
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.0030648
  78. 5m_price: 
    121563
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.096785
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    121774
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00173039
  83. 15m_price: 
    121563
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.038655
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    122454
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00727438
  88. 1H_price: 
    121563
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.095923
    90. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
09 Oct 2025
20:14:54		 09 Oct 2025
22:00:00		 1 hour

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
322.59 322.8224 322.1252 2 128.9
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 322.59
  • Stop Loss: 322.8224
  • Take Profit: 322.1252

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 322.8224 - 322.59 = 0.23240000000004

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 322.59 - 322.1252 = 0.46479999999997

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.46479999999997 / 0.23240000000004 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
11105.8388 100 34.4271 111.06
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.23240000000004

Taille de position = 8 / 0.23240000000004 = 34.42

Taille de position USD = 34.42 x 322.59 = 11103.55

Donc, tu peux acheter 34.42 avec un stoploss a 322.8224

Avec un position size USD de 11103.55$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 34.42 x 0.23240000000004 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 34.42 x 0.46479999999997 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 34.42
  • Taille de position USD 11103.55
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.14 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.072 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.07
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.155 % 215.28 % 5

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 322.1252
            [entry_price] => 322.59
            [stop_loss] => 322.84564
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 22:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 322.1252
            [entry_price] => 322.59
            [stop_loss] => 322.86888
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 22:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 322.1252
            [entry_price] => 322.59
            [stop_loss] => 322.89212
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 22:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 322.1252
            [entry_price] => 322.59
            [stop_loss] => 322.9386
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 22:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0
            [max_drawdown] => 0.5
            [rr_ratio] => 0
            [high] => 323.09000000
            [low] => 322.59000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0
            [mae_pct] => 0.15
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-10-09T20:14:54-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-09T22:14:54-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.46
            [max_drawdown] => 0.5
            [rr_ratio] => 2.92
            [high] => 323.09000000
            [low] => 321.13000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.45
            [mae_pct] => 0.15
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.92
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-10-09T20:14:54-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-10T03:14:54-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 322.62000000
            [high_after] => 323.09000000
            [low_before] => 320.16000000
            [low_after] => 321.13000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)