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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 09 Oct 2025 at 20:47:49

Take profit at 322.3599 (0.09 %) and Stop Loss at 322.795 (0.045 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 09 Oct 2025 at 20:47:49

With 55.1597 MSTR at 322.65$ per unit.

Position size of 17797.2712 $

Take profit at 322.3599 (0.09 %) and Stop Loss at 322.795 (0.045 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 2.34
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.56
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.59
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.65
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_medium

15m_regime : range_low

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.093978

15m : -0.130628

1H : 0.087597

 1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.55
  4. atr: 0.09668898025
Details
  1. score: 1.55
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 322.231
  4. ema21 : 323.862
  5. ema50 : 328.802
  6. ema100 : 335.404
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00130017
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0050377
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0150246
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0380283
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.122392
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.109549
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.106688
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.090001
  17. rsi : 0.4222
  18. adx : 0.321904
  19. kc_percentage : 0.337005
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0201348
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.696126
  22. volume_ema1 : 46506.573081952
  23. volume_ema2 : 153045.82374583
  24. chop : 41.0922
  25. regime : bear_medium
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 322.305
  28. ema21 : 321.949
  29. ema50 : 322.578
  30. ema100 : 324.245
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00106844
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00110549
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00195004
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.00492053
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.028511
  38. ema_slope_21 : 0.0165341
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.00635042
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0145529
  41. rsi : 0.574334
  42. adx : 0.205101
  43. kc_percentage : 0.946593
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.00479974
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.892626
  46. volume_ema1 : 3059.1169410974
  47. volume_ema2 : 28490.506924851
  48. chop : 66.253
  49. regime : range_low
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 322.566
  52. ema21 : 322.331
  53. ema50 : 321.884
  54. ema100 : 321.603
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.000259705
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000729279
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00138737
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.00325324
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.017348
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0147895
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.0112506
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.00690508
  65. rsi : 0.703838
  66. adx : 0.466001
  67. kc_percentage : 1.54962
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.000884909
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.824502
  70. volume_ema1 : 491.75006653242
  71. volume_ema2 : 2802.037317104
  72. chop : 28.9845
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    121258
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00253064
  78. 5m_price: 
    121565
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.093978
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    121719
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00126428
  83. 15m_price: 
    121565
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.130628
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    122454
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00726157
  88. 1H_price: 
    121565
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.087597
    90. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
09 Oct 2025
20:47:49		 09 Oct 2025
21:40:00		 52 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
322.65 322.795 322.3599 2 134.53
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 322.65
  • Stop Loss: 322.795
  • Take Profit: 322.3599

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 322.795 - 322.65 = 0.14500000000004

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 322.65 - 322.3599 = 0.2901

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.2901 / 0.14500000000004 = 2.0007

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
17797.2712 100 55.1597 177.97
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.14500000000004

Taille de position = 8 / 0.14500000000004 = 55.17

Taille de position USD = 55.17 x 322.65 = 17800.6

Donc, tu peux acheter 55.17 avec un stoploss a 322.795

Avec un position size USD de 17800.6$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 55.17 x 0.14500000000004 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 55.17 x 0.2901 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 55.17
  • Taille de position USD 17800.6
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0007

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.09 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.045 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.04
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.0496 % 110.47 % 9

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 322.3599
            [entry_price] => 322.65
            [stop_loss] => 322.8095
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 21:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 322.3599
            [entry_price] => 322.65
            [stop_loss] => 322.824
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 22:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 322.3599
            [entry_price] => 322.65
            [stop_loss] => 322.8385
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 22:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 322.3599
            [entry_price] => 322.65
            [stop_loss] => 322.8675
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 22:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.14999999999998
            [max_drawdown] => 0.44
            [rr_ratio] => 0.34
            [high] => 323.09000000
            [low] => 322.50000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.05
            [mae_pct] => 0.14
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.34
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-10-09T20:47:49-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-09T22:47:49-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.52
            [max_drawdown] => 0.44
            [rr_ratio] => 3.45
            [high] => 323.09000000
            [low] => 321.13000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.47
            [mae_pct] => 0.14
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 3.45
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-10-09T20:47:49-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-10T03:47:49-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 322.66000000
            [high_after] => 323.09000000
            [low_before] => 320.53000000
            [low_after] => 321.13000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)