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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 09 Oct 2025 at 21:08:07

Take profit at 322.4342 (0.067 %) and Stop Loss at 322.7579 (0.033 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 09 Oct 2025 at 21:08:07

With 74.1528 MSTR at 322.65$ per unit.

Position size of 23925.3979 $

Take profit at 322.4342 (0.067 %) and Stop Loss at 322.7579 (0.033 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 4.58
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.85
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.76
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.54
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_medium

15m_regime : range_low

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.085037

15m : 0.055308

1H : -0.086896

 1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.57
  4. atr: 0.07192356872
Details
  1. score: 1.57
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 322.314
  4. ema21 : 323.752
  5. ema50 : 328.561
  6. ema100 : 335.152
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00103986
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00444011
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0146368
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0373034
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.105492
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.103054
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.104036
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0890023
  17. rsi : 0.4222
  18. adx : 0.312818
  19. kc_percentage : 0.336145
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0181215
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.789148
  22. volume_ema1 : 31004.382054635
  23. volume_ema2 : 147044.02673619
  24. chop : 40.7012
  25. regime : bear_medium
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 322.374
  28. ema21 : 322.013
  29. ema50 : 322.581
  30. ema100 : 324.213
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.000854572
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00112146
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00176133
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.00482357
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.0285624
  38. ema_slope_21 : 0.0176469
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.00497851
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0137035
  41. rsi : 0.574334
  42. adx : 0.199954
  43. kc_percentage : 0.948952
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0043198
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.925496
  46. volume_ema1 : 2039.4112940649
  47. volume_ema2 : 27373.232143484
  48. chop : 71.6965
  49. regime : range_low
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 322.615
  52. ema21 : 322.432
  53. ema50 : 322.003
  54. ema100 : 321.726
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.000106359
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000568918
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00133164
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.00287139
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.00884089
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0111027
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.00997818
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.00633211
  65. rsi : 0.703889
  66. adx : 0.498677
  67. kc_percentage : 1.57185
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.000580635
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.959651
  70. volume_ema1 : 97.135815611342
  71. volume_ema2 : 2407.4417855471
  72. chop : 80.102
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    121177
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00438532
  78. 5m_price: 
    121709
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.085037
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    121713
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -3.44475E-5
  83. 15m_price: 
    121709
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.055308
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    122509
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00653369
  88. 1H_price: 
    121709
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.086896
    90. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
09 Oct 2025
21:08:07		 09 Oct 2025
21:40:00		 31 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
322.65 322.7579 322.4342 2 132.91
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 322.65
  • Stop Loss: 322.7579
  • Take Profit: 322.4342

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 322.7579 - 322.65 = 0.10790000000003

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 322.65 - 322.4342 = 0.2158

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.2158 / 0.10790000000003 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
23925.3979 100 74.1528 239.25
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.10790000000003

Taille de position = 8 / 0.10790000000003 = 74.14

Taille de position USD = 74.14 x 322.65 = 23921.27

Donc, tu peux acheter 74.14 avec un stoploss a 322.7579

Avec un position size USD de 23921.27$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 74.14 x 0.10790000000003 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 74.14 x 0.2158 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 74.14
  • Taille de position USD 23921.27
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.067 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.033 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.03
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.0496 % 148.5 % 5

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 322.4342
            [entry_price] => 322.65
            [stop_loss] => 322.76869
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 21:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 322.4342
            [entry_price] => 322.65
            [stop_loss] => 322.77948
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 21:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 322.4342
            [entry_price] => 322.65
            [stop_loss] => 322.79027
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 21:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 322.4342
            [entry_price] => 322.65
            [stop_loss] => 322.81185
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 22:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.38
            [max_drawdown] => 0.44
            [rr_ratio] => 3.14
            [high] => 323.09000000
            [low] => 321.27000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.43
            [mae_pct] => 0.14
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 3.14
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-10-09T21:08:07-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-09T23:08:07-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.52
            [max_drawdown] => 0.44
            [rr_ratio] => 3.45
            [high] => 323.09000000
            [low] => 321.13000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.47
            [mae_pct] => 0.14
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 3.45
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-10-09T21:08:07-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-10T04:08:07-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 322.66000000
            [high_after] => 323.09000000
            [low_before] => 321.02000000
            [low_after] => 321.13000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)