Short Trade on MSTR 09 Oct 2025 at 21:20:55

Take profit at 322.4776 (0.053 %) and Stop Loss at 322.7362 (0.027 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 09 Oct 2025 at 21:20:55

With 92.7872 MSTR at 322.65$ per unit.

Position size of 29937.8025 $

Take profit at 322.4776 (0.053 %) and Stop Loss at 322.7362 (0.027 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 4.58
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.73
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.67
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.55
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_medium

15m_regime : range_low

5m_regime : range_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.002173

15m : 0.014908

1H : 0.102476

0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.59
  4. atr: 0.05747916877
Details
  1. score: 1.59
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 322.314
  4. ema21 : 323.752
  5. ema50 : 328.561
  6. ema100 : 335.152
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00103986
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00444011
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0146368
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0373034
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.105492
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.103054
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.104036
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0890023
  17. rsi : 0.4222
  18. adx : 0.312818
  19. kc_percentage : 0.336145
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0181215
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.781068
  22. volume_ema1 : 32223.999054635
  23. volume_ema2 : 147187.51108913
  24. chop : 40.7012
  25. regime : bear_medium
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 322.429
  29. ema21 : 322.071
  30. ema50 : 322.578
  31. ema100 : 324.136
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.00068354
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00111271
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00157104
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.00458722
  36. all_emas_in_trend : False
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.0281351
  39. ema_slope_21 : 0.0184472
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.00365216
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.0125982
  42. rsi : 0.574364
  43. adx : 0.194883
  44. kc_percentage : 0.951334
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.00388787
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.902559
  47. volume_ema1 : 2579.2245293766
  48. volume_ema2 : 26469.840249212
  49. chop : 70.0883
  50. regime : range_low
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 322.632
  54. ema21 : 322.486
  55. ema50 : 322.031
  56. ema100 : 321.436
  57. price_ema9_diff : 5.44529E-5
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000453346
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00141282
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.00377668
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.00528112
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.0087331
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.00974794
  66. ema_slope_100 : 0.0084823
  67. rsi : 0.705499
  68. adx : 0.530867
  69. kc_percentage : 1.58984
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.000423231
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.638043
  72. volume_ema1 : 841.85898240336
  73. volume_ema2 : 2325.8538469434
  74. chop : 111.782
  75. regime : range_low
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    121191
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00405986
  81. 5m_price:
    121683
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.002173
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    121700
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.000147442
  86. 15m_price:
    121683
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.014908
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    122509
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00674415
  91. 1H_price:
    121683
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    0.102476
  93. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
09 Oct 2025
21:20:55
09 Oct 2025
21:40:00
19 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
322.65 322.7362 322.4776 2 133.41
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 322.65
  • Stop Loss: 322.7362
  • Take Profit: 322.4776

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 322.7362 - 322.65 = 0.086200000000019

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 322.65 - 322.4776 = 0.17239999999998

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.17239999999998 / 0.086200000000019 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
29937.8025 100 92.7872 299.38
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.086200000000019

Taille de position = 8 / 0.086200000000019 = 92.81

Taille de position USD = 92.81 x 322.65 = 29945.15

Donc, tu peux acheter 92.81 avec un stoploss a 322.7362

Avec un position size USD de 29945.15$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 92.81 x 0.086200000000019 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 92.81 x 0.17239999999998 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 92.81
  • Taille de position USD 29945.15
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.053 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.027 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.03
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.0496 % 185.77 % 2

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 322.4776
            [entry_price] => 322.65
            [stop_loss] => 322.74482
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 21:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 322.4776
            [entry_price] => 322.65
            [stop_loss] => 322.75344
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 21:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 322.4776
            [entry_price] => 322.65
            [stop_loss] => 322.76206
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 21:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 322.4776
            [entry_price] => 322.65
            [stop_loss] => 322.7793
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 21:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.38
            [max_drawdown] => 0.44
            [rr_ratio] => 3.14
            [high] => 323.09000000
            [low] => 321.27000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.43
            [mae_pct] => 0.14
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 3.14
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-10-09T21:20:55-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-09T23:20:55-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.52
            [max_drawdown] => 0.44
            [rr_ratio] => 3.45
            [high] => 323.09000000
            [low] => 321.13000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.47
            [mae_pct] => 0.14
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 3.45
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-10-09T21:20:55-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-10T04:20:55-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 322.66000000
            [high_after] => 323.09000000
            [low_before] => 321.02000000
            [low_after] => 321.13000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)